South Korea’s former President Yoon Suk-yeol remains in custody at the Seoul Detention Center following his February 2026 conviction and life sentence for insurrection tied to the December 2024 martial law declaration. Additional convictions, including a five-year term upheld earlier and a seven-year Supreme Court ruling in July 2026 on obstruction charges, have kept extended detention warrants active while appeals and parallel cases advance. South Korean precedent shows presidential pardons or early releases after final convictions typically require multiple years amid institutional reviews and political constraints. With no major legislative or executive shifts scheduled through late 2026 that would alter this timeline, traders assign a 92.7% probability against release before 2027.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоYoon out of custody before 2027?
Yoon out of custody before 2027?
7% шанс
$182,284 Обс.
$182,284 Обс.
Dec 31, 2026
7% шанс
$182,284 Обс.
$182,284 Обс.
Dec 31, 2026
This market will resolve to "Yes" if President of South Korea Yoon Suk Yeol is released from custody by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If Yoon is released but remains under house arrest, the market will still resolve to "Yes".
If Yoon is released on parole, bond, or any other condition that results in them leaving state custody, the market will resolve to "Yes".
Transporting Yoon to another location of custody (e.g., a different prison, court, or hospital within the correctional system) will not suffice to resolve this market to "Yes".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from government authorities or corrections departments; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.South Korea’s former President Yoon Suk-yeol remains in custody at the Seoul Detention Center following his February 2026 conviction and life sentence for insurrection tied to the December 2024 martial law declaration. Additional convictions, including a five-year term upheld earlier and a seven-year Supreme Court ruling in July 2026 on obstruction charges, have kept extended detention warrants active while appeals and parallel cases advance. South Korean precedent shows presidential pardons or early releases after final convictions typically require multiple years amid institutional reviews and political constraints. With no major legislative or executive shifts scheduled through late 2026 that would alter this timeline, traders assign a 92.7% probability against release before 2027.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if President of South Korea Yoon Suk Yeol is released from custody by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If Yoon is released but remains under house arrest, the market will still resolve to "Yes".
If Yoon is released on parole, bond, or any other condition that results in them leaving state custody, the market will resolve to "Yes".
Transporting Yoon to another location of custody (e.g., a different prison, court, or hospital within the correctional system) will not suffice to resolve this market to "Yes".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from government authorities or corrections departments; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
If Yoon is released but remains under house arrest, the market will still resolve to "Yes".
If Yoon is released on parole, bond, or any other condition that results in them leaving state custody, the market will resolve to "Yes".
Transporting Yoon to another location of custody (e.g., a different prison, court, or hospital within the correctional system) will not suffice to resolve this market to "Yes".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from government authorities or corrections departments; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Ринок відкрито: Nov 5, 2025, 2:42 PM ET
Обсяг
$182,284Дата завершення
Dec 31, 2026Ринок відкрито
Nov 5, 2025, 2:42 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if President of South Korea Yoon Suk Yeol is released from custody by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If Yoon is released but remains under house arrest, the market will still resolve to "Yes".
If Yoon is released on parole, bond, or any other condition that results in them leaving state custody, the market will resolve to "Yes".
Transporting Yoon to another location of custody (e.g., a different prison, court, or hospital within the correctional system) will not suffice to resolve this market to "Yes".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from government authorities or corrections departments; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.South Korea’s former President Yoon Suk-yeol remains in custody at the Seoul Detention Center following his February 2026 conviction and life sentence for insurrection tied to the December 2024 martial law declaration. Additional convictions, including a five-year term upheld earlier and a seven-year Supreme Court ruling in July 2026 on obstruction charges, have kept extended detention warrants active while appeals and parallel cases advance. South Korean precedent shows presidential pardons or early releases after final convictions typically require multiple years amid institutional reviews and political constraints. With no major legislative or executive shifts scheduled through late 2026 that would alter this timeline, traders assign a 92.7% probability against release before 2027.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if President of South Korea Yoon Suk Yeol is released from custody by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If Yoon is released but remains under house arrest, the market will still resolve to "Yes".
If Yoon is released on parole, bond, or any other condition that results in them leaving state custody, the market will resolve to "Yes".
Transporting Yoon to another location of custody (e.g., a different prison, court, or hospital within the correctional system) will not suffice to resolve this market to "Yes".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from government authorities or corrections departments; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
If Yoon is released but remains under house arrest, the market will still resolve to "Yes".
If Yoon is released on parole, bond, or any other condition that results in them leaving state custody, the market will resolve to "Yes".
Transporting Yoon to another location of custody (e.g., a different prison, court, or hospital within the correctional system) will not suffice to resolve this market to "Yes".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from government authorities or corrections departments; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Обсяг
$182,284Дата завершення
Dec 31, 2026Ринок відкрито
Nov 5, 2025, 2:42 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...South Korea’s former President Yoon Suk-yeol remains in custody at the Seoul Detention Center following his February 2026 conviction and life sentence for insurrection tied to the December 2024 martial law declaration. Additional convictions, including a five-year term upheld earlier and a seven-year Supreme Court ruling in July 2026 on obstruction charges, have kept extended detention warrants active while appeals and parallel cases advance. South Korean precedent shows presidential pardons or early releases after final convictions typically require multiple years amid institutional reviews and political constraints. With no major legislative or executive shifts scheduled through late 2026 that would alter this timeline, traders assign a 92.7% probability against release before 2027.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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