Yoon Suk-yeol remains in detention at the Seoul Detention Center following his February 2026 life sentence for insurrection tied to the 2024 martial law declaration, a ruling the Supreme Court has upheld in related appeals as recently as July 2026. Additional convictions, including a 30-year term for drone operations and shorter sentences for obstruction and funding violations, have extended his custody through ongoing trials and appeals. South Korean courts have issued successive detention warrants, and institutional patterns show presidential pardons or early releases typically require years after final convictions, especially amid a fragmented political environment with no scheduled executive actions or legislative changes likely to intervene before 2027. These factors underpin trader consensus on the low probability of release.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоYoon out of custody before 2027?
Yoon out of custody before 2027?
6% шанс
$183,697 Обс.
$183,697 Обс.
Dec 31, 2026
6% шанс
$183,697 Обс.
$183,697 Обс.
Dec 31, 2026
This market will resolve to "Yes" if President of South Korea Yoon Suk Yeol is released from custody by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If Yoon is released but remains under house arrest, the market will still resolve to "Yes".
If Yoon is released on parole, bond, or any other condition that results in them leaving state custody, the market will resolve to "Yes".
Transporting Yoon to another location of custody (e.g., a different prison, court, or hospital within the correctional system) will not suffice to resolve this market to "Yes".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from government authorities or corrections departments; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Yoon Suk-yeol remains in detention at the Seoul Detention Center following his February 2026 life sentence for insurrection tied to the 2024 martial law declaration, a ruling the Supreme Court has upheld in related appeals as recently as July 2026. Additional convictions, including a 30-year term for drone operations and shorter sentences for obstruction and funding violations, have extended his custody through ongoing trials and appeals. South Korean courts have issued successive detention warrants, and institutional patterns show presidential pardons or early releases typically require years after final convictions, especially amid a fragmented political environment with no scheduled executive actions or legislative changes likely to intervene before 2027. These factors underpin trader consensus on the low probability of release.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if President of South Korea Yoon Suk Yeol is released from custody by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If Yoon is released but remains under house arrest, the market will still resolve to "Yes".
If Yoon is released on parole, bond, or any other condition that results in them leaving state custody, the market will resolve to "Yes".
Transporting Yoon to another location of custody (e.g., a different prison, court, or hospital within the correctional system) will not suffice to resolve this market to "Yes".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from government authorities or corrections departments; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
If Yoon is released but remains under house arrest, the market will still resolve to "Yes".
If Yoon is released on parole, bond, or any other condition that results in them leaving state custody, the market will resolve to "Yes".
Transporting Yoon to another location of custody (e.g., a different prison, court, or hospital within the correctional system) will not suffice to resolve this market to "Yes".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from government authorities or corrections departments; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Ринок відкрито: Nov 5, 2025, 2:42 PM ET
Обсяг
$183,697Дата завершення
Dec 31, 2026Ринок відкрито
Nov 5, 2025, 2:42 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if President of South Korea Yoon Suk Yeol is released from custody by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If Yoon is released but remains under house arrest, the market will still resolve to "Yes".
If Yoon is released on parole, bond, or any other condition that results in them leaving state custody, the market will resolve to "Yes".
Transporting Yoon to another location of custody (e.g., a different prison, court, or hospital within the correctional system) will not suffice to resolve this market to "Yes".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from government authorities or corrections departments; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Yoon Suk-yeol remains in detention at the Seoul Detention Center following his February 2026 life sentence for insurrection tied to the 2024 martial law declaration, a ruling the Supreme Court has upheld in related appeals as recently as July 2026. Additional convictions, including a 30-year term for drone operations and shorter sentences for obstruction and funding violations, have extended his custody through ongoing trials and appeals. South Korean courts have issued successive detention warrants, and institutional patterns show presidential pardons or early releases typically require years after final convictions, especially amid a fragmented political environment with no scheduled executive actions or legislative changes likely to intervene before 2027. These factors underpin trader consensus on the low probability of release.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if President of South Korea Yoon Suk Yeol is released from custody by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If Yoon is released but remains under house arrest, the market will still resolve to "Yes".
If Yoon is released on parole, bond, or any other condition that results in them leaving state custody, the market will resolve to "Yes".
Transporting Yoon to another location of custody (e.g., a different prison, court, or hospital within the correctional system) will not suffice to resolve this market to "Yes".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from government authorities or corrections departments; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
If Yoon is released but remains under house arrest, the market will still resolve to "Yes".
If Yoon is released on parole, bond, or any other condition that results in them leaving state custody, the market will resolve to "Yes".
Transporting Yoon to another location of custody (e.g., a different prison, court, or hospital within the correctional system) will not suffice to resolve this market to "Yes".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from government authorities or corrections departments; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Обсяг
$183,697Дата завершення
Dec 31, 2026Ринок відкрито
Nov 5, 2025, 2:42 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Yoon Suk-yeol remains in detention at the Seoul Detention Center following his February 2026 life sentence for insurrection tied to the 2024 martial law declaration, a ruling the Supreme Court has upheld in related appeals as recently as July 2026. Additional convictions, including a 30-year term for drone operations and shorter sentences for obstruction and funding violations, have extended his custody through ongoing trials and appeals. South Korean courts have issued successive detention warrants, and institutional patterns show presidential pardons or early releases typically require years after final convictions, especially amid a fragmented political environment with no scheduled executive actions or legislative changes likely to intervene before 2027. These factors underpin trader consensus on the low probability of release.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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