President Lee Jae-myung, elected in June 2025, holds office through mid-2030 under South Korea’s single-term limit and benefits from constitutional immunity shielding sitting presidents from most criminal prosecution except insurrection or treason. Multiple pre-presidency cases involving election-law violations, development projects, and related charges remain suspended, with trials postponed. His Democratic Party maintains a legislative majority following strong local-election results, while recent actions include proposed legal revisions limiting prosecutorial powers and reviews of past indictments framed as politically motivated. No verified developments in the past year indicate active arrest proceedings or imminent enforcement. These institutional protections and political dynamics underpin trader consensus that an arrest before 2027 remains unlikely.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоLee Jae-myung arrested before 2027?
Lee Jae-myung arrested before 2027?
7% шанс
$540,115 Обс.
$540,115 Обс.
Dec 31, 2026
7% шанс
$540,115 Обс.
$540,115 Обс.
Dec 31, 2026
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Leader of the Democratic Party of Korea Lee Jae-myung is arrested or detained by law enforcement by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A qualifying arrest/detention includes:
* Being taken into physical custody by law enforcement authorities (including federal, state, local, military, or international law enforcement)
* Voluntarily surrendering to law enforcement authorities in response to an arrest warrant
* Being formally booked or processed following detention
* Being handcuffed by a state authority and taken to a police station
* Surrendering at a police station or courthouse with their attorney
* Being placed under house arrest or electronic monitoring
The following scenarios will NOT qualify as an arrest/detention
* An arrest warrant being issued but not executed
* Being questioned or interviewed without arrest
* Being named in an indictment without arrest
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the arresting government and law enforcement, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.President Lee Jae-myung, elected in June 2025, holds office through mid-2030 under South Korea’s single-term limit and benefits from constitutional immunity shielding sitting presidents from most criminal prosecution except insurrection or treason. Multiple pre-presidency cases involving election-law violations, development projects, and related charges remain suspended, with trials postponed. His Democratic Party maintains a legislative majority following strong local-election results, while recent actions include proposed legal revisions limiting prosecutorial powers and reviews of past indictments framed as politically motivated. No verified developments in the past year indicate active arrest proceedings or imminent enforcement. These institutional protections and political dynamics underpin trader consensus that an arrest before 2027 remains unlikely.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Leader of the Democratic Party of Korea Lee Jae-myung is arrested or detained by law enforcement by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A qualifying arrest/detention includes:
* Being taken into physical custody by law enforcement authorities (including federal, state, local, military, or international law enforcement)
* Voluntarily surrendering to law enforcement authorities in response to an arrest warrant
* Being formally booked or processed following detention
* Being handcuffed by a state authority and taken to a police station
* Surrendering at a police station or courthouse with their attorney
* Being placed under house arrest or electronic monitoring
The following scenarios will NOT qualify as an arrest/detention
* An arrest warrant being issued but not executed
* Being questioned or interviewed without arrest
* Being named in an indictment without arrest
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the arresting government and law enforcement, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
A qualifying arrest/detention includes:
* Being taken into physical custody by law enforcement authorities (including federal, state, local, military, or international law enforcement)
* Voluntarily surrendering to law enforcement authorities in response to an arrest warrant
* Being formally booked or processed following detention
* Being handcuffed by a state authority and taken to a police station
* Surrendering at a police station or courthouse with their attorney
* Being placed under house arrest or electronic monitoring
The following scenarios will NOT qualify as an arrest/detention
* An arrest warrant being issued but not executed
* Being questioned or interviewed without arrest
* Being named in an indictment without arrest
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the arresting government and law enforcement, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Ринок відкрито: Nov 5, 2025, 12:46 PM ET
Обсяг
$540,115Дата завершення
Jan 1, 2027Ринок відкрито
Nov 5, 2025, 12:46 PM ETВирішувач
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Leader of the Democratic Party of Korea Lee Jae-myung is arrested or detained by law enforcement by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A qualifying arrest/detention includes:
* Being taken into physical custody by law enforcement authorities (including federal, state, local, military, or international law enforcement)
* Voluntarily surrendering to law enforcement authorities in response to an arrest warrant
* Being formally booked or processed following detention
* Being handcuffed by a state authority and taken to a police station
* Surrendering at a police station or courthouse with their attorney
* Being placed under house arrest or electronic monitoring
The following scenarios will NOT qualify as an arrest/detention
* An arrest warrant being issued but not executed
* Being questioned or interviewed without arrest
* Being named in an indictment without arrest
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the arresting government and law enforcement, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.President Lee Jae-myung, elected in June 2025, holds office through mid-2030 under South Korea’s single-term limit and benefits from constitutional immunity shielding sitting presidents from most criminal prosecution except insurrection or treason. Multiple pre-presidency cases involving election-law violations, development projects, and related charges remain suspended, with trials postponed. His Democratic Party maintains a legislative majority following strong local-election results, while recent actions include proposed legal revisions limiting prosecutorial powers and reviews of past indictments framed as politically motivated. No verified developments in the past year indicate active arrest proceedings or imminent enforcement. These institutional protections and political dynamics underpin trader consensus that an arrest before 2027 remains unlikely.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Leader of the Democratic Party of Korea Lee Jae-myung is arrested or detained by law enforcement by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A qualifying arrest/detention includes:
* Being taken into physical custody by law enforcement authorities (including federal, state, local, military, or international law enforcement)
* Voluntarily surrendering to law enforcement authorities in response to an arrest warrant
* Being formally booked or processed following detention
* Being handcuffed by a state authority and taken to a police station
* Surrendering at a police station or courthouse with their attorney
* Being placed under house arrest or electronic monitoring
The following scenarios will NOT qualify as an arrest/detention
* An arrest warrant being issued but not executed
* Being questioned or interviewed without arrest
* Being named in an indictment without arrest
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the arresting government and law enforcement, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
A qualifying arrest/detention includes:
* Being taken into physical custody by law enforcement authorities (including federal, state, local, military, or international law enforcement)
* Voluntarily surrendering to law enforcement authorities in response to an arrest warrant
* Being formally booked or processed following detention
* Being handcuffed by a state authority and taken to a police station
* Surrendering at a police station or courthouse with their attorney
* Being placed under house arrest or electronic monitoring
The following scenarios will NOT qualify as an arrest/detention
* An arrest warrant being issued but not executed
* Being questioned or interviewed without arrest
* Being named in an indictment without arrest
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the arresting government and law enforcement, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Обсяг
$540,115Дата завершення
Jan 1, 2027Ринок відкрито
Nov 5, 2025, 12:46 PM ETВирішувач
0x65070BE91...President Lee Jae-myung, elected in June 2025, holds office through mid-2030 under South Korea’s single-term limit and benefits from constitutional immunity shielding sitting presidents from most criminal prosecution except insurrection or treason. Multiple pre-presidency cases involving election-law violations, development projects, and related charges remain suspended, with trials postponed. His Democratic Party maintains a legislative majority following strong local-election results, while recent actions include proposed legal revisions limiting prosecutorial powers and reviews of past indictments framed as politically motivated. No verified developments in the past year indicate active arrest proceedings or imminent enforcement. These institutional protections and political dynamics underpin trader consensus that an arrest before 2027 remains unlikely.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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