President Lee Jae-myung, in office since June 2025, benefits from presidential immunity that has already suspended or frozen multiple pre-existing cases, including election-law violations and corruption-related indictments. His Democratic Party's legislative majority has advanced special-counsel measures and bills aimed at canceling or limiting those proceedings, while recent local-election gains and policy initiatives such as constitutional reform proposals signal consolidated political strength through mid-2026. No new arrest warrants or active prosecution escalations have emerged in the past year, consistent with historical patterns where sitting South Korean presidents face limited legal jeopardy until after their term. These institutional protections and party dynamics underpin the 91.8% trader consensus against arrest before 2027.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоLee Jae-myung arrested before 2027?
Lee Jae-myung arrested before 2027?
8% шанс
$538,899 Обс.
$538,899 Обс.
Dec 30, 2026
8% шанс
$538,899 Обс.
$538,899 Обс.
Dec 30, 2026
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Leader of the Democratic Party of Korea Lee Jae-myung is arrested or detained by law enforcement by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A qualifying arrest/detention includes:
* Being taken into physical custody by law enforcement authorities (including federal, state, local, military, or international law enforcement)
* Voluntarily surrendering to law enforcement authorities in response to an arrest warrant
* Being formally booked or processed following detention
* Being handcuffed by a state authority and taken to a police station
* Surrendering at a police station or courthouse with their attorney
* Being placed under house arrest or electronic monitoring
The following scenarios will NOT qualify as an arrest/detention
* An arrest warrant being issued but not executed
* Being questioned or interviewed without arrest
* Being named in an indictment without arrest
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the arresting government and law enforcement, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.President Lee Jae-myung, in office since June 2025, benefits from presidential immunity that has already suspended or frozen multiple pre-existing cases, including election-law violations and corruption-related indictments. His Democratic Party's legislative majority has advanced special-counsel measures and bills aimed at canceling or limiting those proceedings, while recent local-election gains and policy initiatives such as constitutional reform proposals signal consolidated political strength through mid-2026. No new arrest warrants or active prosecution escalations have emerged in the past year, consistent with historical patterns where sitting South Korean presidents face limited legal jeopardy until after their term. These institutional protections and party dynamics underpin the 91.8% trader consensus against arrest before 2027.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Leader of the Democratic Party of Korea Lee Jae-myung is arrested or detained by law enforcement by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A qualifying arrest/detention includes:
* Being taken into physical custody by law enforcement authorities (including federal, state, local, military, or international law enforcement)
* Voluntarily surrendering to law enforcement authorities in response to an arrest warrant
* Being formally booked or processed following detention
* Being handcuffed by a state authority and taken to a police station
* Surrendering at a police station or courthouse with their attorney
* Being placed under house arrest or electronic monitoring
The following scenarios will NOT qualify as an arrest/detention
* An arrest warrant being issued but not executed
* Being questioned or interviewed without arrest
* Being named in an indictment without arrest
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the arresting government and law enforcement, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
A qualifying arrest/detention includes:
* Being taken into physical custody by law enforcement authorities (including federal, state, local, military, or international law enforcement)
* Voluntarily surrendering to law enforcement authorities in response to an arrest warrant
* Being formally booked or processed following detention
* Being handcuffed by a state authority and taken to a police station
* Surrendering at a police station or courthouse with their attorney
* Being placed under house arrest or electronic monitoring
The following scenarios will NOT qualify as an arrest/detention
* An arrest warrant being issued but not executed
* Being questioned or interviewed without arrest
* Being named in an indictment without arrest
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the arresting government and law enforcement, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Ринок відкрито: Nov 5, 2025, 12:46 PM ET
Обсяг
$538,899Дата завершення
Dec 31, 2026Ринок відкрито
Nov 5, 2025, 12:46 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Leader of the Democratic Party of Korea Lee Jae-myung is arrested or detained by law enforcement by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A qualifying arrest/detention includes:
* Being taken into physical custody by law enforcement authorities (including federal, state, local, military, or international law enforcement)
* Voluntarily surrendering to law enforcement authorities in response to an arrest warrant
* Being formally booked or processed following detention
* Being handcuffed by a state authority and taken to a police station
* Surrendering at a police station or courthouse with their attorney
* Being placed under house arrest or electronic monitoring
The following scenarios will NOT qualify as an arrest/detention
* An arrest warrant being issued but not executed
* Being questioned or interviewed without arrest
* Being named in an indictment without arrest
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the arresting government and law enforcement, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.President Lee Jae-myung, in office since June 2025, benefits from presidential immunity that has already suspended or frozen multiple pre-existing cases, including election-law violations and corruption-related indictments. His Democratic Party's legislative majority has advanced special-counsel measures and bills aimed at canceling or limiting those proceedings, while recent local-election gains and policy initiatives such as constitutional reform proposals signal consolidated political strength through mid-2026. No new arrest warrants or active prosecution escalations have emerged in the past year, consistent with historical patterns where sitting South Korean presidents face limited legal jeopardy until after their term. These institutional protections and party dynamics underpin the 91.8% trader consensus against arrest before 2027.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Leader of the Democratic Party of Korea Lee Jae-myung is arrested or detained by law enforcement by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A qualifying arrest/detention includes:
* Being taken into physical custody by law enforcement authorities (including federal, state, local, military, or international law enforcement)
* Voluntarily surrendering to law enforcement authorities in response to an arrest warrant
* Being formally booked or processed following detention
* Being handcuffed by a state authority and taken to a police station
* Surrendering at a police station or courthouse with their attorney
* Being placed under house arrest or electronic monitoring
The following scenarios will NOT qualify as an arrest/detention
* An arrest warrant being issued but not executed
* Being questioned or interviewed without arrest
* Being named in an indictment without arrest
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the arresting government and law enforcement, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
A qualifying arrest/detention includes:
* Being taken into physical custody by law enforcement authorities (including federal, state, local, military, or international law enforcement)
* Voluntarily surrendering to law enforcement authorities in response to an arrest warrant
* Being formally booked or processed following detention
* Being handcuffed by a state authority and taken to a police station
* Surrendering at a police station or courthouse with their attorney
* Being placed under house arrest or electronic monitoring
The following scenarios will NOT qualify as an arrest/detention
* An arrest warrant being issued but not executed
* Being questioned or interviewed without arrest
* Being named in an indictment without arrest
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the arresting government and law enforcement, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Обсяг
$538,899Дата завершення
Dec 31, 2026Ринок відкрито
Nov 5, 2025, 12:46 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...President Lee Jae-myung, in office since June 2025, benefits from presidential immunity that has already suspended or frozen multiple pre-existing cases, including election-law violations and corruption-related indictments. His Democratic Party's legislative majority has advanced special-counsel measures and bills aimed at canceling or limiting those proceedings, while recent local-election gains and policy initiatives such as constitutional reform proposals signal consolidated political strength through mid-2026. No new arrest warrants or active prosecution escalations have emerged in the past year, consistent with historical patterns where sitting South Korean presidents face limited legal jeopardy until after their term. These institutional protections and party dynamics underpin the 91.8% trader consensus against arrest before 2027.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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