Current forecast models indicate overnight lows near 13°C for Amsterdam on September 14, supported by building high pressure, light southeasterly winds, and variable cloud cover that limits radiational cooling after earlier showers. Ensemble guidance from major centers shows consensus around 12–14°C, consistent with trader-implied probabilities clustering at 12°C and 13°C while allowing room for 17°C or higher if skies clear more than expected. This setup deviates modestly from the 1991–2020 September average low of 11°C, with resolution hinging on precise minimum timing and local observations overnight.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоLowest temperature in Amsterdam on September 14?
17°C or higher 55%
11°C 38%
16°C 36%
13°C 32%
7°C or below
2%
8°C
13%
9°C
15%
10°C
15%
11°C
38%
12°C
28%
13°C
32%
14°C
21%
15°C
21%
16°C
36%
17°C or higher
55%
17°C or higher 55%
11°C 38%
16°C 36%
13°C 32%
7°C or below
2%
8°C
13%
9°C
15%
10°C
15%
11°C
38%
12°C
28%
13°C
32%
14°C
21%
15°C
21%
16°C
36%
17°C or higher
55%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Ринок відкрито: Sep 12, 2026, 12:31 AM ET
Джерело вирішення
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ehamВирішувач
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Джерело вирішення
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ehamВирішувач
0x69c47De9D...Current forecast models indicate overnight lows near 13°C for Amsterdam on September 14, supported by building high pressure, light southeasterly winds, and variable cloud cover that limits radiational cooling after earlier showers. Ensemble guidance from major centers shows consensus around 12–14°C, consistent with trader-implied probabilities clustering at 12°C and 13°C while allowing room for 17°C or higher if skies clear more than expected. This setup deviates modestly from the 1991–2020 September average low of 11°C, with resolution hinging on precise minimum timing and local observations overnight.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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