Recent ensemble forecasts from major models indicate a September 5 minimum temperature in Amsterdam near 12–14 °C under westerly flow and partly cloudy skies, consistent with early-autumn climatology. Moderate northwest winds and limited nocturnal radiative cooling from residual moisture and cloud cover reduce the likelihood of sharp drops below 10 °C, while absence of strong warm advection keeps maxima near 19–20 °C. The near-even market split between 10 °C-or-below and 20 °C-or-higher outcomes, alongside roughly 25 % probabilities clustered around 13–15 °C, reflects remaining uncertainty in the precise overnight low as new model runs and observational updates arrive before resolution.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоLowest temperature in Amsterdam on September 5?
Lowest temperature in Amsterdam on September 5?
10°C or below 100%
20°C or higher 100%
15°C 50%
11°C 49%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Sep 5, 2026
10°C or below
100%
11°C
49%
12°C
24%
13°C
26%
14°C
27%
15°C
50%
16°C
49%
17°C
2%
18°C
49%
19°C
49%
20°C or higher
100%
10°C or below 100%
20°C or higher 100%
15°C 50%
11°C 49%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Sep 5, 2026
10°C or below
$0 Обс.
100%
11°C
$0 Обс.
49%
12°C
$0 Обс.
24%
13°C
$0 Обс.
26%
14°C
$0 Обс.
27%
15°C
$0 Обс.
50%
16°C
$0 Обс.
49%
17°C
$0 Обс.
2%
18°C
$0 Обс.
49%
19°C
$0 Обс.
49%
20°C or higher
$0 Обс.
100%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent ensemble forecasts from major models indicate a September 5 minimum temperature in Amsterdam near 12–14 °C under westerly flow and partly cloudy skies, consistent with early-autumn climatology. Moderate northwest winds and limited nocturnal radiative cooling from residual moisture and cloud cover reduce the likelihood of sharp drops below 10 °C, while absence of strong warm advection keeps maxima near 19–20 °C. The near-even market split between 10 °C-or-below and 20 °C-or-higher outcomes, alongside roughly 25 % probabilities clustered around 13–15 °C, reflects remaining uncertainty in the precise overnight low as new model runs and observational updates arrive before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Ринок відкрито: Sep 3, 2026, 12:31 AM ET
Обсяг
$0Дата завершення
Sep 5, 2026Ринок відкрито
Sep 3, 2026, 12:31 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ehamВирішувач
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent ensemble forecasts from major models indicate a September 5 minimum temperature in Amsterdam near 12–14 °C under westerly flow and partly cloudy skies, consistent with early-autumn climatology. Moderate northwest winds and limited nocturnal radiative cooling from residual moisture and cloud cover reduce the likelihood of sharp drops below 10 °C, while absence of strong warm advection keeps maxima near 19–20 °C. The near-even market split between 10 °C-or-below and 20 °C-or-higher outcomes, alongside roughly 25 % probabilities clustered around 13–15 °C, reflects remaining uncertainty in the precise overnight low as new model runs and observational updates arrive before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Обсяг
$0Дата завершення
Sep 5, 2026Ринок відкрито
Sep 3, 2026, 12:31 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ehamВирішувач
0x69c47De9D...Recent ensemble forecasts from major models indicate a September 5 minimum temperature in Amsterdam near 12–14 °C under westerly flow and partly cloudy skies, consistent with early-autumn climatology. Moderate northwest winds and limited nocturnal radiative cooling from residual moisture and cloud cover reduce the likelihood of sharp drops below 10 °C, while absence of strong warm advection keeps maxima near 19–20 °C. The near-even market split between 10 °C-or-below and 20 °C-or-higher outcomes, alongside roughly 25 % probabilities clustered around 13–15 °C, reflects remaining uncertainty in the precise overnight low as new model runs and observational updates arrive before resolution.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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