Current numerical weather prediction ensembles, including ECMWF and GFS runs, place Ankara’s minimum temperature on September 22 primarily between 11–14°C, aligning with the tight clustering of market-implied odds around those values. A moderating air mass, light winds, and scattered showers or thunderstorms expected during the day and evening will limit nocturnal radiative cooling, keeping overnight lows from dropping further. Model spread arises mainly from variations in cloud cover timing and precipitation intensity, which can alter surface heat loss by several degrees. Updated high-resolution guidance and official Turkish Meteorological Service forecasts in the next 24–48 hours will refine these thresholds ahead of the 24-hour observation window used for resolution.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоLowest temperature in Ankara on September 22?
Lowest temperature in Ankara on September 22?
11°C 40%
12°C 40%
13°C 40%
14°C 38%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Sep 22, 2026
8°C or below
7%
9°C
11%
10°C
30%
11°C
40%
12°C
40%
13°C
40%
14°C
38%
15°C
19%
16°C
11%
17°C
7%
18°C or higher
4%
11°C 40%
12°C 40%
13°C 40%
14°C 38%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Sep 22, 2026
8°C or below
$0 Обс.
7%
9°C
$0 Обс.
11%
10°C
$27 Обс.
30%
11°C
$0 Обс.
40%
12°C
$0 Обс.
40%
13°C
$0 Обс.
40%
14°C
$0 Обс.
38%
15°C
$0 Обс.
19%
16°C
$0 Обс.
11%
17°C
$0 Обс.
7%
18°C or higher
$0 Обс.
4%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current numerical weather prediction ensembles, including ECMWF and GFS runs, place Ankara’s minimum temperature on September 22 primarily between 11–14°C, aligning with the tight clustering of market-implied odds around those values. A moderating air mass, light winds, and scattered showers or thunderstorms expected during the day and evening will limit nocturnal radiative cooling, keeping overnight lows from dropping further. Model spread arises mainly from variations in cloud cover timing and precipitation intensity, which can alter surface heat loss by several degrees. Updated high-resolution guidance and official Turkish Meteorological Service forecasts in the next 24–48 hours will refine these thresholds ahead of the 24-hour observation window used for resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Ринок відкрито: Sep 20, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
Обсяг
$27Дата завершення
Sep 22, 2026Ринок відкрито
Sep 20, 2026, 12:29 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltacВирішувач
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current numerical weather prediction ensembles, including ECMWF and GFS runs, place Ankara’s minimum temperature on September 22 primarily between 11–14°C, aligning with the tight clustering of market-implied odds around those values. A moderating air mass, light winds, and scattered showers or thunderstorms expected during the day and evening will limit nocturnal radiative cooling, keeping overnight lows from dropping further. Model spread arises mainly from variations in cloud cover timing and precipitation intensity, which can alter surface heat loss by several degrees. Updated high-resolution guidance and official Turkish Meteorological Service forecasts in the next 24–48 hours will refine these thresholds ahead of the 24-hour observation window used for resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Обсяг
$27Дата завершення
Sep 22, 2026Ринок відкрито
Sep 20, 2026, 12:29 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltacВирішувач
0x69c47De9D...Current numerical weather prediction ensembles, including ECMWF and GFS runs, place Ankara’s minimum temperature on September 22 primarily between 11–14°C, aligning with the tight clustering of market-implied odds around those values. A moderating air mass, light winds, and scattered showers or thunderstorms expected during the day and evening will limit nocturnal radiative cooling, keeping overnight lows from dropping further. Model spread arises mainly from variations in cloud cover timing and precipitation intensity, which can alter surface heat loss by several degrees. Updated high-resolution guidance and official Turkish Meteorological Service forecasts in the next 24–48 hours will refine these thresholds ahead of the 24-hour observation window used for resolution.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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