Recent cooling from a cold air intrusion and associated rainfall over the Sichuan Basin has driven trader positioning on Chengdu's September 10 minimum temperature. Official forecasts indicate a 5–7°C drop in daily averages, with models converging on overnight lows near 18–20°C amid widespread showers and persistent cloud cover that limits radiative cooling. This setup creates tight competition between outcomes around 19°C and the tails at 14°C or below versus 24°C or higher, as small shifts in timing of heaviest rain or wind-driven mixing could alter the exact low by 2–3°C. Updated numerical guidance from regional meteorological centers over the next 48 hours will likely refine probabilities ahead of resolution.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоLowest temperature in Chengdu on September 10?
Lowest temperature in Chengdu on September 10?
14°C or below 89%
24°C or higher 85%
15°C 38%
22°C 38%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Sep 10, 2026
14°C or below
89%
15°C
38%
16°C
21%
17°C
21%
18°C
23%
19°C
31%
20°C
25%
21°C
21%
22°C
38%
23°C
38%
24°C or higher
85%
14°C or below 89%
24°C or higher 85%
15°C 38%
22°C 38%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Sep 10, 2026
14°C or below
$30 Обс.
89%
15°C
$0 Обс.
38%
16°C
$0 Обс.
21%
17°C
$0 Обс.
21%
18°C
$0 Обс.
23%
19°C
$0 Обс.
31%
20°C
$0 Обс.
25%
21°C
$0 Обс.
21%
22°C
$15 Обс.
38%
23°C
$60 Обс.
38%
24°C or higher
$25 Обс.
85%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent cooling from a cold air intrusion and associated rainfall over the Sichuan Basin has driven trader positioning on Chengdu's September 10 minimum temperature. Official forecasts indicate a 5–7°C drop in daily averages, with models converging on overnight lows near 18–20°C amid widespread showers and persistent cloud cover that limits radiative cooling. This setup creates tight competition between outcomes around 19°C and the tails at 14°C or below versus 24°C or higher, as small shifts in timing of heaviest rain or wind-driven mixing could alter the exact low by 2–3°C. Updated numerical guidance from regional meteorological centers over the next 48 hours will likely refine probabilities ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Ринок відкрито: Sep 8, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Обсяг
$130Дата завершення
Sep 10, 2026Ринок відкрито
Sep 8, 2026, 12:30 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuuВирішувач
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent cooling from a cold air intrusion and associated rainfall over the Sichuan Basin has driven trader positioning on Chengdu's September 10 minimum temperature. Official forecasts indicate a 5–7°C drop in daily averages, with models converging on overnight lows near 18–20°C amid widespread showers and persistent cloud cover that limits radiative cooling. This setup creates tight competition between outcomes around 19°C and the tails at 14°C or below versus 24°C or higher, as small shifts in timing of heaviest rain or wind-driven mixing could alter the exact low by 2–3°C. Updated numerical guidance from regional meteorological centers over the next 48 hours will likely refine probabilities ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Обсяг
$130Дата завершення
Sep 10, 2026Ринок відкрито
Sep 8, 2026, 12:30 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuuВирішувач
0x69c47De9D...Recent cooling from a cold air intrusion and associated rainfall over the Sichuan Basin has driven trader positioning on Chengdu's September 10 minimum temperature. Official forecasts indicate a 5–7°C drop in daily averages, with models converging on overnight lows near 18–20°C amid widespread showers and persistent cloud cover that limits radiative cooling. This setup creates tight competition between outcomes around 19°C and the tails at 14°C or below versus 24°C or higher, as small shifts in timing of heaviest rain or wind-driven mixing could alter the exact low by 2–3°C. Updated numerical guidance from regional meteorological centers over the next 48 hours will likely refine probabilities ahead of resolution.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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