**Clear skies, moderate northeasterly winds, and maritime moderation from the Sea of Marmara and Black Sea are positioning Istanbul’s overnight low near 20–21°C on September 9.** Official forecasts and model consensus indicate a minimum of 19–20.5°C under partly cloudy to clear conditions with light-to-moderate ENE flow (15–30 km/h), consistent with early-September climatology and the absence of cold-air advection or significant cloud cover. Recent observations show daytime highs reaching 25–28°C with dew points in the mid-teens, supporting efficient radiational cooling overnight but not enough to push readings below 19°C. Traders have heavily favored the 21°C outcome (71% implied probability) because multiple runs and agency guidance converge on this range, with limited downside risk from unexpected fronts or increased humidity. New model updates or official minimum readings from stations like Atatürk Airport will be the next key data points for resolution.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоLowest temperature in Istanbul on September 9?
Lowest temperature in Istanbul on September 9?
21°C 95%
20°C 2%
16°C or below <1%
17°C <1%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Sep 9, 2026
16°C or below
1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
28%
20°C
2%
21°C
71%
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C or higher
<1%
21°C 95%
20°C 2%
16°C or below <1%
17°C <1%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Sep 9, 2026
16°C or below
$92 Обс.
1%
17°C
$54 Обс.
<1%
18°C
$54 Обс.
<1%
19°C
$40 Обс.
28%
20°C
$30 Обс.
2%
21°C
$217 Обс.
71%
22°C
$449 Обс.
<1%
23°C
$120 Обс.
<1%
24°C
$202 Обс.
<1%
25°C
$214 Обс.
<1%
26°C or higher
$225 Обс.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 9 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Clear skies, moderate northeasterly winds, and maritime moderation from the Sea of Marmara and Black Sea are positioning Istanbul’s overnight low near 20–21°C on September 9.** Official forecasts and model consensus indicate a minimum of 19–20.5°C under partly cloudy to clear conditions with light-to-moderate ENE flow (15–30 km/h), consistent with early-September climatology and the absence of cold-air advection or significant cloud cover. Recent observations show daytime highs reaching 25–28°C with dew points in the mid-teens, supporting efficient radiational cooling overnight but not enough to push readings below 19°C. Traders have heavily favored the 21°C outcome (71% implied probability) because multiple runs and agency guidance converge on this range, with limited downside risk from unexpected fronts or increased humidity. New model updates or official minimum readings from stations like Atatürk Airport will be the next key data points for resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 9 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Ринок відкрито: Sep 7, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Обсяг
$1,696Дата завершення
Sep 9, 2026Ринок відкрито
Sep 7, 2026, 12:30 AM ETВирішувач
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 9 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Clear skies, moderate northeasterly winds, and maritime moderation from the Sea of Marmara and Black Sea are positioning Istanbul’s overnight low near 20–21°C on September 9.** Official forecasts and model consensus indicate a minimum of 19–20.5°C under partly cloudy to clear conditions with light-to-moderate ENE flow (15–30 km/h), consistent with early-September climatology and the absence of cold-air advection or significant cloud cover. Recent observations show daytime highs reaching 25–28°C with dew points in the mid-teens, supporting efficient radiational cooling overnight but not enough to push readings below 19°C. Traders have heavily favored the 21°C outcome (71% implied probability) because multiple runs and agency guidance converge on this range, with limited downside risk from unexpected fronts or increased humidity. New model updates or official minimum readings from stations like Atatürk Airport will be the next key data points for resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 9 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Обсяг
$1,696Дата завершення
Sep 9, 2026Ринок відкрито
Sep 7, 2026, 12:30 AM ETВирішувач
0x69c47De9D...**Clear skies, moderate northeasterly winds, and maritime moderation from the Sea of Marmara and Black Sea are positioning Istanbul’s overnight low near 20–21°C on September 9.** Official forecasts and model consensus indicate a minimum of 19–20.5°C under partly cloudy to clear conditions with light-to-moderate ENE flow (15–30 km/h), consistent with early-September climatology and the absence of cold-air advection or significant cloud cover. Recent observations show daytime highs reaching 25–28°C with dew points in the mid-teens, supporting efficient radiational cooling overnight but not enough to push readings below 19°C. Traders have heavily favored the 21°C outcome (71% implied probability) because multiple runs and agency guidance converge on this range, with limited downside risk from unexpected fronts or increased humidity. New model updates or official minimum readings from stations like Atatürk Airport will be the next key data points for resolution.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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