**Northerly winds and clear or partly cloudy skies under building high pressure are the main drivers positioning 11–13°C as the most probable minimum temperatures for London on August 22.** These conditions promote strong nighttime radiative cooling, with recent Met Office and BBC guidance indicating a low near 11°C and highs around 21–22°C under light northerly flow. Forecasts show the UK shifting to more settled weather after earlier warmth, placing late-August temperatures slightly below seasonal averages while remaining above typical early-autumn values. Historical August overnight lows average near 13°C, so the current setup favors modest cooling without extreme drops. Model consensus points to minimal cloud cover and light winds overnight, limiting mixing and allowing surface temperatures to fall into the low teens Celsius. Trader consensus around 12°C (41.5%) and 13°C (28%) reflects this stable, cool-but-not-cold pattern, with only limited downside risk from any stray showers or wind shifts. Updated official guidance closer to the date will refine the exact minimum.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоLowest temperature in London on August 22?
Lowest temperature in London on August 22?
12°C 42%
13°C 28%
11°C 16%
10°C 11%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Aug 22, 2026
9°C or below
4%
10°C
11%
11°C
16%
12°C
42%
13°C
28%
14°C
10%
15°C
4%
16°C
1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C or higher
<1%
12°C 42%
13°C 28%
11°C 16%
10°C 11%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Aug 22, 2026
9°C or below
$0 Обс.
4%
10°C
$0 Обс.
11%
11°C
$16 Обс.
16%
12°C
$332 Обс.
42%
13°C
$2 Обс.
28%
14°C
$0 Обс.
10%
15°C
$25 Обс.
4%
16°C
$0 Обс.
1%
17°C
$0 Обс.
<1%
18°C
$0 Обс.
<1%
19°C or higher
$271 Обс.
<1%
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Northerly winds and clear or partly cloudy skies under building high pressure are the main drivers positioning 11–13°C as the most probable minimum temperatures for London on August 22.** These conditions promote strong nighttime radiative cooling, with recent Met Office and BBC guidance indicating a low near 11°C and highs around 21–22°C under light northerly flow.
Forecasts show the UK shifting to more settled weather after earlier warmth, placing late-August temperatures slightly below seasonal averages while remaining above typical early-autumn values. Historical August overnight lows average near 13°C, so the current setup favors modest cooling without extreme drops. Model consensus points to minimal cloud cover and light winds overnight, limiting mixing and allowing surface temperatures to fall into the low teens Celsius.
Trader consensus around 12°C (41.5%) and 13°C (28%) reflects this stable, cool-but-not-cold pattern, with only limited downside risk from any stray showers or wind shifts. Updated official guidance closer to the date will refine the exact minimum.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Ринок відкрито: Aug 20, 2026, 12:28 AM ET
Обсяг
$646Дата завершення
Aug 22, 2026Ринок відкрито
Aug 20, 2026, 12:28 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLCResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Northerly winds and clear or partly cloudy skies under building high pressure are the main drivers positioning 11–13°C as the most probable minimum temperatures for London on August 22.** These conditions promote strong nighttime radiative cooling, with recent Met Office and BBC guidance indicating a low near 11°C and highs around 21–22°C under light northerly flow.
Forecasts show the UK shifting to more settled weather after earlier warmth, placing late-August temperatures slightly below seasonal averages while remaining above typical early-autumn values. Historical August overnight lows average near 13°C, so the current setup favors modest cooling without extreme drops. Model consensus points to minimal cloud cover and light winds overnight, limiting mixing and allowing surface temperatures to fall into the low teens Celsius.
Trader consensus around 12°C (41.5%) and 13°C (28%) reflects this stable, cool-but-not-cold pattern, with only limited downside risk from any stray showers or wind shifts. Updated official guidance closer to the date will refine the exact minimum.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Обсяг
$646Дата завершення
Aug 22, 2026Ринок відкрито
Aug 20, 2026, 12:28 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLCResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Northerly winds and clear or partly cloudy skies under building high pressure are the main drivers positioning 11–13°C as the most probable minimum temperatures for London on August 22.** These conditions promote strong nighttime radiative cooling, with recent Met Office and BBC guidance indicating a low near 11°C and highs around 21–22°C under light northerly flow. Forecasts show the UK shifting to more settled weather after earlier warmth, placing late-August temperatures slightly below seasonal averages while remaining above typical early-autumn values. Historical August overnight lows average near 13°C, so the current setup favors modest cooling without extreme drops. Model consensus points to minimal cloud cover and light winds overnight, limiting mixing and allowing surface temperatures to fall into the low teens Celsius. Trader consensus around 12°C (41.5%) and 13°C (28%) reflects this stable, cool-but-not-cold pattern, with only limited downside risk from any stray showers or wind shifts. Updated official guidance closer to the date will refine the exact minimum.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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