Traders see near-even odds across 24–27°C for Lucknow’s September 10 minimum because monsoon thundershowers and variable cloud cover create narrow uncertainty in overnight radiative cooling. High humidity and elevated dew points near 25–26°C suppress temperature drops by limiting longwave radiation loss, while light easterly winds and partial cloudiness from scattered storms can trap additional heat. Clearer breaks allow more efficient surface cooling toward 24°C, whereas persistent cloud decks or rainfall keep readings closer to 27°C. Official IMD guidance and model consensus point to a 26°C minimum under partly cloudy skies with isolated thundershowers, yet small shifts in storm timing or coverage can easily move the realized low across the tightly bunched leading outcomes.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоLowest temperature in Lucknow on September 10?
27°C 48%
24°C 46%
25°C 46%
23°C 8%
21°C or below
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
8%
24°C
46%
25°C
46%
26°C
46%
27°C
48%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C or higher
<1%
27°C 48%
24°C 46%
25°C 46%
23°C 8%
21°C or below
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
8%
24°C
46%
25°C
46%
26°C
46%
27°C
48%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Ринок відкрито: Sep 8, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
Джерело вирішення
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilkВирішувач
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Джерело вирішення
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilkВирішувач
0x69c47De9D...Traders see near-even odds across 24–27°C for Lucknow’s September 10 minimum because monsoon thundershowers and variable cloud cover create narrow uncertainty in overnight radiative cooling. High humidity and elevated dew points near 25–26°C suppress temperature drops by limiting longwave radiation loss, while light easterly winds and partial cloudiness from scattered storms can trap additional heat. Clearer breaks allow more efficient surface cooling toward 24°C, whereas persistent cloud decks or rainfall keep readings closer to 27°C. Official IMD guidance and model consensus point to a 26°C minimum under partly cloudy skies with isolated thundershowers, yet small shifts in storm timing or coverage can easily move the realized low across the tightly bunched leading outcomes.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено

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