**Persistent southwest monsoon (habagat) conditions and associated widespread cloud cover over Luzon are the main factors shaping trader views on Manila’s minimum temperature for September 14.** Recent PAGASA updates note two monitored low-pressure areas and ongoing monsoon rains that promote extensive cloudiness, reducing overnight radiative cooling and keeping lows from dropping sharply. Official forecasts converge on overnight minima near 25–27 °C, consistent with September climatology of roughly 24–26 °C, while heavy humidity and scattered showers further moderate extremes. Model spread in cloud thickness and timing of any breaks creates the observed near-even market odds between the 20 °C-or-below and 30 °C-or-higher tails, with the tight clustering around 24–26 °C reflecting the consensus range. Updated model runs and any shift in monsoon strength tomorrow morning remain the key near-term catalysts.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоLowest temperature in Manila on September 14?
Lowest temperature in Manila on September 14?
20°C or below 66%
30°C or higher 65%
25°C 40%
26°C 40%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Sep 14, 2026
20°C or below
66%
21°C
13%
22°C
14%
23°C
38%
24°C
23%
25°C
31%
26°C
30%
27°C
38%
28°C
37%
29°C
16%
30°C or higher
65%
20°C or below 66%
30°C or higher 65%
25°C 40%
26°C 40%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Sep 14, 2026
20°C or below
$0 Обс.
66%
21°C
$0 Обс.
13%
22°C
$0 Обс.
14%
23°C
$0 Обс.
38%
24°C
$131 Обс.
23%
25°C
$5 Обс.
31%
26°C
$5 Обс.
30%
27°C
$0 Обс.
38%
28°C
$0 Обс.
37%
29°C
$0 Обс.
16%
30°C or higher
$0 Обс.
65%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Persistent southwest monsoon (habagat) conditions and associated widespread cloud cover over Luzon are the main factors shaping trader views on Manila’s minimum temperature for September 14.** Recent PAGASA updates note two monitored low-pressure areas and ongoing monsoon rains that promote extensive cloudiness, reducing overnight radiative cooling and keeping lows from dropping sharply. Official forecasts converge on overnight minima near 25–27 °C, consistent with September climatology of roughly 24–26 °C, while heavy humidity and scattered showers further moderate extremes. Model spread in cloud thickness and timing of any breaks creates the observed near-even market odds between the 20 °C-or-below and 30 °C-or-higher tails, with the tight clustering around 24–26 °C reflecting the consensus range. Updated model runs and any shift in monsoon strength tomorrow morning remain the key near-term catalysts.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Ринок відкрито: Sep 12, 2026, 12:32 AM ET
Обсяг
$141Дата завершення
Sep 14, 2026Ринок відкрито
Sep 12, 2026, 12:32 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpllВирішувач
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Persistent southwest monsoon (habagat) conditions and associated widespread cloud cover over Luzon are the main factors shaping trader views on Manila’s minimum temperature for September 14.** Recent PAGASA updates note two monitored low-pressure areas and ongoing monsoon rains that promote extensive cloudiness, reducing overnight radiative cooling and keeping lows from dropping sharply. Official forecasts converge on overnight minima near 25–27 °C, consistent with September climatology of roughly 24–26 °C, while heavy humidity and scattered showers further moderate extremes. Model spread in cloud thickness and timing of any breaks creates the observed near-even market odds between the 20 °C-or-below and 30 °C-or-higher tails, with the tight clustering around 24–26 °C reflecting the consensus range. Updated model runs and any shift in monsoon strength tomorrow morning remain the key near-term catalysts.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Обсяг
$141Дата завершення
Sep 14, 2026Ринок відкрито
Sep 12, 2026, 12:32 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpllВирішувач
0x69c47De9D...**Persistent southwest monsoon (habagat) conditions and associated widespread cloud cover over Luzon are the main factors shaping trader views on Manila’s minimum temperature for September 14.** Recent PAGASA updates note two monitored low-pressure areas and ongoing monsoon rains that promote extensive cloudiness, reducing overnight radiative cooling and keeping lows from dropping sharply. Official forecasts converge on overnight minima near 25–27 °C, consistent with September climatology of roughly 24–26 °C, while heavy humidity and scattered showers further moderate extremes. Model spread in cloud thickness and timing of any breaks creates the observed near-even market odds between the 20 °C-or-below and 30 °C-or-higher tails, with the tight clustering around 24–26 °C reflecting the consensus range. Updated model runs and any shift in monsoon strength tomorrow morning remain the key near-term catalysts.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Часті запитання