Traders see the July 12 Miami low clustered around 78–83 °F because the latest National Weather Service and global model guidance place the minimum in that narrow band under a subtropical ridge with light easterly flow, high boundary-layer moisture, and limited nocturnal radiational cooling. Typical July climatology (normal low near 77 °F) is tempered by current sea-surface temperatures near 85 °F and urban heat-island effects that keep overnight readings elevated; any increase in cloud cover or scattered showers could shave a degree or two, while clearer skies would push the low toward 82–83 °F. The tight spread among leading outcomes reflects model consensus on steering patterns and dew-point forecasts, with resolution hinging on the exact 24-hour minimum recorded at official Miami stations.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоLowest temperature in Miami on July 12?
Lowest temperature in Miami on July 12?
80-81°F 26%
78-79°F 24%
82-83°F 16%
84-85°F 14%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Jul 12, 2026
73°F or below
1%
74-75°F
1%
76-77°F
1%
78-79°F
24%
80-81°F
27%
82-83°F
16%
84-85°F
14%
86-87°F
9%
88-89°F
1%
90-91°F
<1%
92°F or higher
<1%
80-81°F 26%
78-79°F 24%
82-83°F 16%
84-85°F 14%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Jul 12, 2026
73°F or below
$538 Обс.
1%
74-75°F
$629 Обс.
1%
76-77°F
$135 Обс.
1%
78-79°F
$28 Обс.
24%
80-81°F
$33 Обс.
27%
82-83°F
$17 Обс.
16%
84-85°F
$10 Обс.
14%
86-87°F
$0 Обс.
9%
88-89°F
$160 Обс.
1%
90-91°F
$180 Обс.
<1%
92°F or higher
$80 Обс.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 12 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Miami Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Traders see the July 12 Miami low clustered around 78–83 °F because the latest National Weather Service and global model guidance place the minimum in that narrow band under a subtropical ridge with light easterly flow, high boundary-layer moisture, and limited nocturnal radiational cooling. Typical July climatology (normal low near 77 °F) is tempered by current sea-surface temperatures near 85 °F and urban heat-island effects that keep overnight readings elevated; any increase in cloud cover or scattered showers could shave a degree or two, while clearer skies would push the low toward 82–83 °F. The tight spread among leading outcomes reflects model consensus on steering patterns and dew-point forecasts, with resolution hinging on the exact 24-hour minimum recorded at official Miami stations.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 12 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Miami Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Miami Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Ринок відкрито: Jul 10, 2026, 8:30 PM ET
Обсяг
$1,809Дата завершення
Jul 12, 2026Ринок відкрито
Jul 10, 2026, 8:30 PM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIAResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 12 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Miami Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Traders see the July 12 Miami low clustered around 78–83 °F because the latest National Weather Service and global model guidance place the minimum in that narrow band under a subtropical ridge with light easterly flow, high boundary-layer moisture, and limited nocturnal radiational cooling. Typical July climatology (normal low near 77 °F) is tempered by current sea-surface temperatures near 85 °F and urban heat-island effects that keep overnight readings elevated; any increase in cloud cover or scattered showers could shave a degree or two, while clearer skies would push the low toward 82–83 °F. The tight spread among leading outcomes reflects model consensus on steering patterns and dew-point forecasts, with resolution hinging on the exact 24-hour minimum recorded at official Miami stations.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 12 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Miami Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Miami Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Обсяг
$1,809Дата завершення
Jul 12, 2026Ринок відкрито
Jul 10, 2026, 8:30 PM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Traders see the July 12 Miami low clustered around 78–83 °F because the latest National Weather Service and global model guidance place the minimum in that narrow band under a subtropical ridge with light easterly flow, high boundary-layer moisture, and limited nocturnal radiational cooling. Typical July climatology (normal low near 77 °F) is tempered by current sea-surface temperatures near 85 °F and urban heat-island effects that keep overnight readings elevated; any increase in cloud cover or scattered showers could shave a degree or two, while clearer skies would push the low toward 82–83 °F. The tight spread among leading outcomes reflects model consensus on steering patterns and dew-point forecasts, with resolution hinging on the exact 24-hour minimum recorded at official Miami stations.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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