Recent forecast runs from European models, including those informing Météo-France guidance, show a shift to westerly flow and light rain on September 8 that will moderate overnight temperatures in Paris. Current guidance clusters minimum readings between 14–17 °C, consistent with the market’s heaviest volume on 16 °C (37 %), 15 °C (22 %), and 14 °C (21 %). This range sits slightly above the 1991–2020 climatological average low of roughly 12 °C, reflecting residual warmth from the preceding warm spell but offset by increased cloud cover and modest advection of cooler maritime air. Model spread remains modest two days out, though small revisions to the timing of the frontal passage could nudge the observed minimum by 1–2 °C either way before resolution.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоLowest temperature in Paris on September 8?
Lowest temperature in Paris on September 8?
17°C 49%
15°C 43%
14°C 41%
16°C 39%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Sep 8, 2026
11°C or below
3%
12°C
4%
13°C
20%
14°C
41%
15°C
43%
16°C
39%
17°C
49%
18°C
27%
19°C
8%
20°C
1%
21°C or higher
3%
17°C 49%
15°C 43%
14°C 41%
16°C 39%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Sep 8, 2026
11°C or below
$0 Обс.
3%
12°C
$0 Обс.
4%
13°C
$0 Обс.
20%
14°C
$0 Обс.
41%
15°C
$0 Обс.
43%
16°C
$42 Обс.
39%
17°C
$0 Обс.
49%
18°C
$0 Обс.
27%
19°C
$0 Обс.
8%
20°C
$0 Обс.
1%
21°C or higher
$0 Обс.
3%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast runs from European models, including those informing Météo-France guidance, show a shift to westerly flow and light rain on September 8 that will moderate overnight temperatures in Paris. Current guidance clusters minimum readings between 14–17 °C, consistent with the market’s heaviest volume on 16 °C (37 %), 15 °C (22 %), and 14 °C (21 %). This range sits slightly above the 1991–2020 climatological average low of roughly 12 °C, reflecting residual warmth from the preceding warm spell but offset by increased cloud cover and modest advection of cooler maritime air. Model spread remains modest two days out, though small revisions to the timing of the frontal passage could nudge the observed minimum by 1–2 °C either way before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Ринок відкрито: Sep 6, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
Обсяг
$42Дата завершення
Sep 8, 2026Ринок відкрито
Sep 6, 2026, 12:29 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpbВирішувач
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast runs from European models, including those informing Météo-France guidance, show a shift to westerly flow and light rain on September 8 that will moderate overnight temperatures in Paris. Current guidance clusters minimum readings between 14–17 °C, consistent with the market’s heaviest volume on 16 °C (37 %), 15 °C (22 %), and 14 °C (21 %). This range sits slightly above the 1991–2020 climatological average low of roughly 12 °C, reflecting residual warmth from the preceding warm spell but offset by increased cloud cover and modest advection of cooler maritime air. Model spread remains modest two days out, though small revisions to the timing of the frontal passage could nudge the observed minimum by 1–2 °C either way before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Обсяг
$42Дата завершення
Sep 8, 2026Ринок відкрито
Sep 6, 2026, 12:29 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpbВирішувач
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecast runs from European models, including those informing Météo-France guidance, show a shift to westerly flow and light rain on September 8 that will moderate overnight temperatures in Paris. Current guidance clusters minimum readings between 14–17 °C, consistent with the market’s heaviest volume on 16 °C (37 %), 15 °C (22 %), and 14 °C (21 %). This range sits slightly above the 1991–2020 climatological average low of roughly 12 °C, reflecting residual warmth from the preceding warm spell but offset by increased cloud cover and modest advection of cooler maritime air. Model spread remains modest two days out, though small revisions to the timing of the frontal passage could nudge the observed minimum by 1–2 °C either way before resolution.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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