Clear skies and light northeast winds under stable high pressure are driving the tight clustering of trader probabilities around 17–21°C for Zhengzhou’s September 3 low. Official forecasts from multiple models project a minimum near 19–20°C just before sunrise, consistent with typical early-September radiative cooling in the region’s temperate continental climate, where calm conditions and low humidity allow efficient overnight heat loss from the surface. Recent model runs show minimal spread, with no incoming fronts or moisture to moderate temperatures, though slight variations in exact timing of the minimum or station-specific readings sustain near-even odds across the 17–22°C band. Updated guidance expected later today could refine the outcome before resolution.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоLowest temperature in Zhengzhou on September 3?
Lowest temperature in Zhengzhou on September 3?
22°C 95%
15°C or below 92%
20°C 50%
21°C 50%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Sep 3, 2026
15°C or below
92%
16°C
48%
17°C
49%
18°C
46%
19°C
46%
20°C
50%
21°C
50%
22°C
95%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C or higher
<1%
22°C 95%
15°C or below 92%
20°C 50%
21°C 50%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Sep 3, 2026
15°C or below
$112 Обс.
92%
16°C
$111 Обс.
48%
17°C
$51 Обс.
49%
18°C
$100 Обс.
46%
19°C
$615 Обс.
46%
20°C
$0 Обс.
50%
21°C
$0 Обс.
50%
22°C
$62 Обс.
95%
23°C
$40 Обс.
<1%
24°C
$540 Обс.
<1%
25°C or higher
$35 Обс.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Zhengzhou Xinzheng International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhcc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Clear skies and light northeast winds under stable high pressure are driving the tight clustering of trader probabilities around 17–21°C for Zhengzhou’s September 3 low. Official forecasts from multiple models project a minimum near 19–20°C just before sunrise, consistent with typical early-September radiative cooling in the region’s temperate continental climate, where calm conditions and low humidity allow efficient overnight heat loss from the surface. Recent model runs show minimal spread, with no incoming fronts or moisture to moderate temperatures, though slight variations in exact timing of the minimum or station-specific readings sustain near-even odds across the 17–22°C band. Updated guidance expected later today could refine the outcome before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Zhengzhou Xinzheng International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhcc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhcc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Ринок відкрито: Sep 2, 2026, 12:28 AM ET
Обсяг
$1,666Дата завершення
Sep 3, 2026Ринок відкрито
Sep 2, 2026, 12:28 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhccВирішувач
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Zhengzhou Xinzheng International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhcc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Clear skies and light northeast winds under stable high pressure are driving the tight clustering of trader probabilities around 17–21°C for Zhengzhou’s September 3 low. Official forecasts from multiple models project a minimum near 19–20°C just before sunrise, consistent with typical early-September radiative cooling in the region’s temperate continental climate, where calm conditions and low humidity allow efficient overnight heat loss from the surface. Recent model runs show minimal spread, with no incoming fronts or moisture to moderate temperatures, though slight variations in exact timing of the minimum or station-specific readings sustain near-even odds across the 17–22°C band. Updated guidance expected later today could refine the outcome before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Zhengzhou Xinzheng International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhcc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhcc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Обсяг
$1,666Дата завершення
Sep 3, 2026Ринок відкрито
Sep 2, 2026, 12:28 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhccВирішувач
0x69c47De9D...Clear skies and light northeast winds under stable high pressure are driving the tight clustering of trader probabilities around 17–21°C for Zhengzhou’s September 3 low. Official forecasts from multiple models project a minimum near 19–20°C just before sunrise, consistent with typical early-September radiative cooling in the region’s temperate continental climate, where calm conditions and low humidity allow efficient overnight heat loss from the surface. Recent model runs show minimal spread, with no incoming fronts or moisture to moderate temperatures, though slight variations in exact timing of the minimum or station-specific readings sustain near-even odds across the 17–22°C band. Updated guidance expected later today could refine the outcome before resolution.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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