**Clear skies, light northeasterly winds, and radiative cooling under high pressure are positioning the overnight low in Zhengzhou near 19°C on September 4, 2026, consistent with the market’s leading 19°C (55.5%) and 18°C (42.0%) outcomes.** Multiple forecast sources, including WeatherBug, LUFT TIME, and others, converge on a daily minimum of 19–21°C (roughly 66–70°F) for the period, driven by calm conditions after daytime highs near 31°C. With dew points in the mid-teens Celsius and humidity dropping below 40% overnight, efficient surface cooling occurs without cloud cover or stronger winds to mix warmer air downward. Model consensus from GFS and similar runs shows no incoming fronts or moisture that would alter this pattern today, keeping temperatures in the narrow 18–20°C band most likely for official station readings. Traders are weighting these stable late-summer conditions heavily, with only modest probability assigned to cooler outliers (17°C or below at ~9.5% combined) that would require unexpected model shifts or localized measurement differences. Upcoming hourly updates from agencies like the China Meteorological Administration could refine the exact low before resolution.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоLowest temperature in Zhengzhou on September 4?
Lowest temperature in Zhengzhou on September 4?
18°C 81%
17°C 10%
15°C or below 9%
16°C 9%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Sep 4, 2026
15°C or below
9%
16°C
9%
17°C
10%
18°C
81%
19°C
67%
20°C
1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C or higher
<1%
18°C 81%
17°C 10%
15°C or below 9%
16°C 9%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Sep 4, 2026
15°C or below
$122 Обс.
9%
16°C
$122 Обс.
9%
17°C
$73 Обс.
10%
18°C
$132 Обс.
81%
19°C
$167 Обс.
67%
20°C
$165 Обс.
1%
21°C
$0 Обс.
<1%
22°C
$35 Обс.
<1%
23°C
$20 Обс.
<1%
24°C
$35 Обс.
<1%
25°C or higher
$50 Обс.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Zhengzhou Xinzheng International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhcc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Clear skies, light northeasterly winds, and radiative cooling under high pressure are positioning the overnight low in Zhengzhou near 19°C on September 4, 2026, consistent with the market’s leading 19°C (55.5%) and 18°C (42.0%) outcomes.**
Multiple forecast sources, including WeatherBug, LUFT TIME, and others, converge on a daily minimum of 19–21°C (roughly 66–70°F) for the period, driven by calm conditions after daytime highs near 31°C. With dew points in the mid-teens Celsius and humidity dropping below 40% overnight, efficient surface cooling occurs without cloud cover or stronger winds to mix warmer air downward.
Model consensus from GFS and similar runs shows no incoming fronts or moisture that would alter this pattern today, keeping temperatures in the narrow 18–20°C band most likely for official station readings. Traders are weighting these stable late-summer conditions heavily, with only modest probability assigned to cooler outliers (17°C or below at ~9.5% combined) that would require unexpected model shifts or localized measurement differences. Upcoming hourly updates from agencies like the China Meteorological Administration could refine the exact low before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Zhengzhou Xinzheng International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhcc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhcc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Ринок відкрито: Sep 3, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
Обсяг
$922Дата завершення
Sep 4, 2026Ринок відкрито
Sep 3, 2026, 12:29 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhccВирішувач
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Zhengzhou Xinzheng International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhcc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Clear skies, light northeasterly winds, and radiative cooling under high pressure are positioning the overnight low in Zhengzhou near 19°C on September 4, 2026, consistent with the market’s leading 19°C (55.5%) and 18°C (42.0%) outcomes.**
Multiple forecast sources, including WeatherBug, LUFT TIME, and others, converge on a daily minimum of 19–21°C (roughly 66–70°F) for the period, driven by calm conditions after daytime highs near 31°C. With dew points in the mid-teens Celsius and humidity dropping below 40% overnight, efficient surface cooling occurs without cloud cover or stronger winds to mix warmer air downward.
Model consensus from GFS and similar runs shows no incoming fronts or moisture that would alter this pattern today, keeping temperatures in the narrow 18–20°C band most likely for official station readings. Traders are weighting these stable late-summer conditions heavily, with only modest probability assigned to cooler outliers (17°C or below at ~9.5% combined) that would require unexpected model shifts or localized measurement differences. Upcoming hourly updates from agencies like the China Meteorological Administration could refine the exact low before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Zhengzhou Xinzheng International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhcc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhcc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Обсяг
$922Дата завершення
Sep 4, 2026Ринок відкрито
Sep 3, 2026, 12:29 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhccВирішувач
0x69c47De9D...**Clear skies, light northeasterly winds, and radiative cooling under high pressure are positioning the overnight low in Zhengzhou near 19°C on September 4, 2026, consistent with the market’s leading 19°C (55.5%) and 18°C (42.0%) outcomes.** Multiple forecast sources, including WeatherBug, LUFT TIME, and others, converge on a daily minimum of 19–21°C (roughly 66–70°F) for the period, driven by calm conditions after daytime highs near 31°C. With dew points in the mid-teens Celsius and humidity dropping below 40% overnight, efficient surface cooling occurs without cloud cover or stronger winds to mix warmer air downward. Model consensus from GFS and similar runs shows no incoming fronts or moisture that would alter this pattern today, keeping temperatures in the narrow 18–20°C band most likely for official station readings. Traders are weighting these stable late-summer conditions heavily, with only modest probability assigned to cooler outliers (17°C or below at ~9.5% combined) that would require unexpected model shifts or localized measurement differences. Upcoming hourly updates from agencies like the China Meteorological Administration could refine the exact low before resolution.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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