Current forecasts from multiple models, including GFS and ECMWF runs updated September 4, indicate a daily maximum of 18–19°C in Warsaw on September 6 under a stable westerly flow with extensive cloud cover, moderate humidity near 60–80%, and winds of 20–30 km/h that limit daytime heating. This aligns with typical early-September climatology for the region, where highs average near 20°C but recent synoptic patterns have suppressed temperatures below seasonal norms. Trader positioning reflects this model consensus, with implied probabilities favoring 19°C (44%) and 18°C (29%) as the most likely outcomes; shifts would require significant changes in the next 48-hour forecast updates or unexpected clearing that boosts insolation.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоHighest temperature in Warsaw on September 6?
Highest temperature in Warsaw on September 6?
19°C 44%
18°C 29%
20°C 19%
17°C 7%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Sep 6, 2026
14°C or below
1%
15°C
4%
16°C
5%
17°C
7%
18°C
29%
19°C
44%
20°C
19%
21°C
7%
22°C
5%
23°C
2%
24°C or higher
2%
19°C 44%
18°C 29%
20°C 19%
17°C 7%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Sep 6, 2026
14°C or below
$0 Обс.
1%
15°C
$0 Обс.
4%
16°C
$0 Обс.
5%
17°C
$0 Обс.
7%
18°C
$179 Обс.
29%
19°C
$118 Обс.
44%
20°C
$313 Обс.
19%
21°C
$0 Обс.
7%
22°C
$0 Обс.
5%
23°C
$0 Обс.
2%
24°C or higher
$0 Обс.
2%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecasts from multiple models, including GFS and ECMWF runs updated September 4, indicate a daily maximum of 18–19°C in Warsaw on September 6 under a stable westerly flow with extensive cloud cover, moderate humidity near 60–80%, and winds of 20–30 km/h that limit daytime heating. This aligns with typical early-September climatology for the region, where highs average near 20°C but recent synoptic patterns have suppressed temperatures below seasonal norms. Trader positioning reflects this model consensus, with implied probabilities favoring 19°C (44%) and 18°C (29%) as the most likely outcomes; shifts would require significant changes in the next 48-hour forecast updates or unexpected clearing that boosts insolation.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Ринок відкрито: Sep 4, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
Обсяг
$609Дата завершення
Sep 6, 2026Ринок відкрито
Sep 4, 2026, 12:57 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwaВирішувач
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecasts from multiple models, including GFS and ECMWF runs updated September 4, indicate a daily maximum of 18–19°C in Warsaw on September 6 under a stable westerly flow with extensive cloud cover, moderate humidity near 60–80%, and winds of 20–30 km/h that limit daytime heating. This aligns with typical early-September climatology for the region, where highs average near 20°C but recent synoptic patterns have suppressed temperatures below seasonal norms. Trader positioning reflects this model consensus, with implied probabilities favoring 19°C (44%) and 18°C (29%) as the most likely outcomes; shifts would require significant changes in the next 48-hour forecast updates or unexpected clearing that boosts insolation.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Обсяг
$609Дата завершення
Sep 6, 2026Ринок відкрито
Sep 4, 2026, 12:57 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwaВирішувач
0x69c47De9D...Current forecasts from multiple models, including GFS and ECMWF runs updated September 4, indicate a daily maximum of 18–19°C in Warsaw on September 6 under a stable westerly flow with extensive cloud cover, moderate humidity near 60–80%, and winds of 20–30 km/h that limit daytime heating. This aligns with typical early-September climatology for the region, where highs average near 20°C but recent synoptic patterns have suppressed temperatures below seasonal norms. Trader positioning reflects this model consensus, with implied probabilities favoring 19°C (44%) and 18°C (29%) as the most likely outcomes; shifts would require significant changes in the next 48-hour forecast updates or unexpected clearing that boosts insolation.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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