Current National Weather Service forecasts and ensemble model guidance for Austin on September 6 point to a daytime high in the upper 90s under partly cloudy skies, with a modest afternoon thunderstorm risk that could cap peak readings. This aligns with the market's tight clustering around 94–97°F, reflecting above-normal early-September warmth relative to the 1991–2020 average high of 93.4°F and the influence of southerly flow maintaining elevated dew points and heat indices near 105°F. Minor forecast spreads in convective timing and boundary-layer mixing create the close probabilities between the 94–95°F and 96–97°F bins, while lower odds on 98°F+ outcomes account for potential cooling from scattered storms. Updated model runs and the next NWS discussion will provide the key near-term refinements ahead of resolution.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоHighest temperature in Austin on September 6?
Highest temperature in Austin on September 6?
96-97°F 43%
94-95°F 37%
98-99°F 19%
92-93°F 12%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Sep 6, 2026
85°F or below
2%
86-87°F
3%
88-89°F
2%
90-91°F
7%
92-93°F
12%
94-95°F
37%
96-97°F
43%
98-99°F
19%
100-101°F
6%
102-103°F
3%
104°F or higher
6%
96-97°F 43%
94-95°F 37%
98-99°F 19%
92-93°F 12%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Sep 6, 2026
85°F or below
$305 Обс.
2%
86-87°F
$0 Обс.
3%
88-89°F
$0 Обс.
2%
90-91°F
$0 Обс.
7%
92-93°F
$0 Обс.
12%
94-95°F
$5 Обс.
37%
96-97°F
$114 Обс.
43%
98-99°F
$121 Обс.
19%
100-101°F
$0 Обс.
6%
102-103°F
$0 Обс.
3%
104°F or higher
$0 Обс.
6%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 6 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current National Weather Service forecasts and ensemble model guidance for Austin on September 6 point to a daytime high in the upper 90s under partly cloudy skies, with a modest afternoon thunderstorm risk that could cap peak readings. This aligns with the market's tight clustering around 94–97°F, reflecting above-normal early-September warmth relative to the 1991–2020 average high of 93.4°F and the influence of southerly flow maintaining elevated dew points and heat indices near 105°F. Minor forecast spreads in convective timing and boundary-layer mixing create the close probabilities between the 94–95°F and 96–97°F bins, while lower odds on 98°F+ outcomes account for potential cooling from scattered storms. Updated model runs and the next NWS discussion will provide the key near-term refinements ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 6 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Ринок відкрито: Sep 4, 2026, 2:56 AM ET
Обсяг
$338Дата завершення
Sep 6, 2026Ринок відкрито
Sep 4, 2026, 2:56 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kausВирішувач
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 6 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current National Weather Service forecasts and ensemble model guidance for Austin on September 6 point to a daytime high in the upper 90s under partly cloudy skies, with a modest afternoon thunderstorm risk that could cap peak readings. This aligns with the market's tight clustering around 94–97°F, reflecting above-normal early-September warmth relative to the 1991–2020 average high of 93.4°F and the influence of southerly flow maintaining elevated dew points and heat indices near 105°F. Minor forecast spreads in convective timing and boundary-layer mixing create the close probabilities between the 94–95°F and 96–97°F bins, while lower odds on 98°F+ outcomes account for potential cooling from scattered storms. Updated model runs and the next NWS discussion will provide the key near-term refinements ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 6 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Обсяг
$338Дата завершення
Sep 6, 2026Ринок відкрито
Sep 4, 2026, 2:56 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kausВирішувач
0x69c47De9D...Current National Weather Service forecasts and ensemble model guidance for Austin on September 6 point to a daytime high in the upper 90s under partly cloudy skies, with a modest afternoon thunderstorm risk that could cap peak readings. This aligns with the market's tight clustering around 94–97°F, reflecting above-normal early-September warmth relative to the 1991–2020 average high of 93.4°F and the influence of southerly flow maintaining elevated dew points and heat indices near 105°F. Minor forecast spreads in convective timing and boundary-layer mixing create the close probabilities between the 94–95°F and 96–97°F bins, while lower odds on 98°F+ outcomes account for potential cooling from scattered storms. Updated model runs and the next NWS discussion will provide the key near-term refinements ahead of resolution.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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