Clear skies and light variable winds over Zhengzhou have promoted strong overnight radiative cooling under high pressure, positioning the daily minimum temperature near 18–19 °C according to the latest GFS and ECMWF runs. Daytime maxima reached the low 30s °C earlier on September 6, but the absence of cloud cover or frontal passages has allowed surface temperatures to fall steadily through the pre-dawn hours, consistent with late-summer climatology for the region. Recent model consensus and real-time station observations align with market-implied probabilities favoring 19 °C (57 %) or 18 °C (42 %), while lower outcomes remain unlikely without unexpected moisture or wind shifts. Resolution will occur once official overnight minima are confirmed by local meteorological authorities.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоLowest temperature in Zhengzhou on September 6?
17°C 2%
15°C or below <1%
16°C <1%
20°C <1%
15°C or below
1%
16°C
1%
17°C
2%
18°C
42%
19°C
57%
20°C
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C or higher
<1%
17°C 2%
15°C or below <1%
16°C <1%
20°C <1%
15°C or below
1%
16°C
1%
17°C
2%
18°C
42%
19°C
57%
20°C
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhcc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Ринок відкрито: Sep 5, 2026, 12:28 AM ET
Джерело вирішення
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhccВирішувач
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhcc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Джерело вирішення
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhccВирішувач
0x69c47De9D...Clear skies and light variable winds over Zhengzhou have promoted strong overnight radiative cooling under high pressure, positioning the daily minimum temperature near 18–19 °C according to the latest GFS and ECMWF runs. Daytime maxima reached the low 30s °C earlier on September 6, but the absence of cloud cover or frontal passages has allowed surface temperatures to fall steadily through the pre-dawn hours, consistent with late-summer climatology for the region. Recent model consensus and real-time station observations align with market-implied probabilities favoring 19 °C (57 %) or 18 °C (42 %), while lower outcomes remain unlikely without unexpected moisture or wind shifts. Resolution will occur once official overnight minima are confirmed by local meteorological authorities.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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