**Trader consensus heavily favors no Perplexity IPO before 2028 at 61% implied probability**, driven by CEO Aravind Srinivas’s June 2026 confirmation that the AI search startup plans to list in 2028 regardless of OpenAI or Anthropic timelines. Perplexity reached a $20 billion private valuation in its September 2025 Series E round after rapid 2025 funding that lifted it from $9 billion earlier that year, supported by roughly 15 million monthly active users and continued product expansion in AI-native search. Lower probabilities across 2028+ market-cap ranges (under 8% each) reflect uncertainty over revenue scaling, competitive pressure in the large language model space, and broader IPO market conditions closer to the target date. No major catalysts have emerged since the CEO’s statement to shift sentiment toward an earlier listing.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоPerplexity IPO Closing Market Cap
No IPO before 2028 61%
50B–75B 8.1%
<20B 7.5%
75B–100B 6.8%
$147,059 Обс.
$147,059 Обс.
<20B
8%
20B–30B
5%
30B–40B
5%
40B–50B
3%
50B–75B
8%
75B–100B
7%
100B+
5%
No IPO before 2028
61%
No IPO before 2028 61%
50B–75B 8.1%
<20B 7.5%
75B–100B 6.8%
$147,059 Обс.
$147,059 Обс.
<20B
8%
20B–30B
5%
30B–40B
5%
40B–50B
3%
50B–75B
8%
75B–100B
7%
100B+
5%
No IPO before 2028
61%
If no Perplexity IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO before 2028".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Perplexity’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
Ринок відкрито: Jan 5, 2026, 6:06 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...If no Perplexity IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO before 2028".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Perplexity’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...**Trader consensus heavily favors no Perplexity IPO before 2028 at 61% implied probability**, driven by CEO Aravind Srinivas’s June 2026 confirmation that the AI search startup plans to list in 2028 regardless of OpenAI or Anthropic timelines. Perplexity reached a $20 billion private valuation in its September 2025 Series E round after rapid 2025 funding that lifted it from $9 billion earlier that year, supported by roughly 15 million monthly active users and continued product expansion in AI-native search. Lower probabilities across 2028+ market-cap ranges (under 8% each) reflect uncertainty over revenue scaling, competitive pressure in the large language model space, and broader IPO market conditions closer to the target date. No major catalysts have emerged since the CEO’s statement to shift sentiment toward an earlier listing.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено



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