The 2026 Rio Grande do Norte gubernatorial race remains highly fragmented with nine registered candidates and no dominant frontrunner, producing closely matched trader probabilities across multiple names. Recent AtlasIntel polling from mid-July shows Cadu Xavier (PT) leading at 36 percent, followed by Álvaro Dias (PL) at 28 percent and Allyson Bezerra (União Brasil) at 25 percent, yet earlier surveys had Bezerra ahead, illustrating volatility. Recent party conventions confirmed the field including Henrique Lyra (PCO), Robério Paulino (PSOL), Dário Barbosa (PSTU), Arinalda (UP), Rodrigo Bolsonaro (AGIR), and Carlos Jararaca (DC), while alliances, regional voting blocs in Natal and Mossoró, and national party dynamics continue to shape momentum ahead of the October 4 first-round vote. This uncertainty sustains dispersed market pricing until clearer polling trends or runoff scenarios emerge.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоCadu de Lula 38%
Álvaro Dias 37%
Rodrigo Bolsonaro 37%
Professor Roberio Paulino 35%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Oct 4, 2026
Cadu de Lula
38%
Álvaro Dias
37%
Rodrigo Bolsonaro
37%
Professor Roberio Paulino
35%
Allyson
35%
Henrique Lyra
35%
Arinalda do MLB
34%
Dário Barbosa
34%
Carlos Jararaca
33%
Cadu de Lula 38%
Álvaro Dias 37%
Rodrigo Bolsonaro 37%
Professor Roberio Paulino 35%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Oct 4, 2026
Cadu de Lula
$0 Обс.
38%
Álvaro Dias
$0 Обс.
37%
Rodrigo Bolsonaro
$0 Обс.
37%
Professor Roberio Paulino
$0 Обс.
35%
Allyson
$0 Обс.
35%
Henrique Lyra
$0 Обс.
35%
Arinalda do MLB
$0 Обс.
34%
Dário Barbosa
$0 Обс.
34%
Carlos Jararaca
$0 Обс.
33%
The Rio Grande do Norte gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).The 2026 Rio Grande do Norte gubernatorial race remains highly fragmented with nine registered candidates and no dominant frontrunner, producing closely matched trader probabilities across multiple names. Recent AtlasIntel polling from mid-July shows Cadu Xavier (PT) leading at 36 percent, followed by Álvaro Dias (PL) at 28 percent and Allyson Bezerra (União Brasil) at 25 percent, yet earlier surveys had Bezerra ahead, illustrating volatility. Recent party conventions confirmed the field including Henrique Lyra (PCO), Robério Paulino (PSOL), Dário Barbosa (PSTU), Arinalda (UP), Rodrigo Bolsonaro (AGIR), and Carlos Jararaca (DC), while alliances, regional voting blocs in Natal and Mossoró, and national party dynamics continue to shape momentum ahead of the October 4 first-round vote. This uncertainty sustains dispersed market pricing until clearer polling trends or runoff scenarios emerge.
The Rio Grande do Norte gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Ринок відкрито: Aug 17, 2026, 5:45 AM ET
Обсяг
$0Дата завершення
Oct 4, 2026Ринок відкрито
Aug 17, 2026, 5:45 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The Rio Grande do Norte gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).The 2026 Rio Grande do Norte gubernatorial race remains highly fragmented with nine registered candidates and no dominant frontrunner, producing closely matched trader probabilities across multiple names. Recent AtlasIntel polling from mid-July shows Cadu Xavier (PT) leading at 36 percent, followed by Álvaro Dias (PL) at 28 percent and Allyson Bezerra (União Brasil) at 25 percent, yet earlier surveys had Bezerra ahead, illustrating volatility. Recent party conventions confirmed the field including Henrique Lyra (PCO), Robério Paulino (PSOL), Dário Barbosa (PSTU), Arinalda (UP), Rodrigo Bolsonaro (AGIR), and Carlos Jararaca (DC), while alliances, regional voting blocs in Natal and Mossoró, and national party dynamics continue to shape momentum ahead of the October 4 first-round vote. This uncertainty sustains dispersed market pricing until clearer polling trends or runoff scenarios emerge.
The Rio Grande do Norte gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Обсяг
$0Дата завершення
Oct 4, 2026Ринок відкрито
Aug 17, 2026, 5:45 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The 2026 Rio Grande do Norte gubernatorial race remains highly fragmented with nine registered candidates and no dominant frontrunner, producing closely matched trader probabilities across multiple names. Recent AtlasIntel polling from mid-July shows Cadu Xavier (PT) leading at 36 percent, followed by Álvaro Dias (PL) at 28 percent and Allyson Bezerra (União Brasil) at 25 percent, yet earlier surveys had Bezerra ahead, illustrating volatility. Recent party conventions confirmed the field including Henrique Lyra (PCO), Robério Paulino (PSOL), Dário Barbosa (PSTU), Arinalda (UP), Rodrigo Bolsonaro (AGIR), and Carlos Jararaca (DC), while alliances, regional voting blocs in Natal and Mossoró, and national party dynamics continue to shape momentum ahead of the October 4 first-round vote. This uncertainty sustains dispersed market pricing until clearer polling trends or runoff scenarios emerge.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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