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icon for Tom Kean Jr. out as US Rep before term ends?
Політика·Us House

Tom Kean Jr. out as US Rep before term ends?

icon for Tom Kean Jr. out as US Rep before term ends?
Політика·Us House

Tom Kean Jr. out as US Rep before term ends?

35% шанс
Polymarket
НОВЕ
35% шанс
Polymarket
НОВЕ
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Thomas Kean Jr. ceases to be United States Representative from New Jersey's 7th congressional district for any period of time between market creation and the regularly scheduled end of his term in the current Congress. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of Kean's early resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. The resolution source for this market will be official information from Thomas Kean Jr. and the U.S. government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Tom Kean Jr. returned to the House floor on June 30, 2026, after a four-month absence attributed to depression treatment and hospitalization, during which he missed over 140 votes. Since resuming duties, he has participated in floor votes and district events, with his office confirming his commitment to completing the term through January 2027. He is actively campaigning for reelection in New Jersey’s 7th district against Democrat Rebecca Bennett, bolstered by a Trump endorsement and no primary opposition. No subsequent announcements of resignation, health setbacks, or plans to depart early have emerged, supporting trader consensus that he will serve out the remainder of his term.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Thomas Kean Jr. ceases to be United States Representative from New Jersey's 7th congressional district for any period of time between market creation and the regularly scheduled end of his term in the current Congress. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

An announcement of Kean's early resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.

The resolution source for this market will be official information from Thomas Kean Jr. and the U.S. government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Обсяг
$69
Дата завершення
Jan 3, 2027
Ринок відкрито
Jul 1, 2026, 5:02 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Thomas Kean Jr. ceases to be United States Representative from New Jersey's 7th congressional district for any period of time between market creation and the regularly scheduled end of his term in the current Congress. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of Kean's early resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. The resolution source for this market will be official information from Thomas Kean Jr. and the U.S. government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Thomas Kean Jr. ceases to be United States Representative from New Jersey's 7th congressional district for any period of time between market creation and the regularly scheduled end of his term in the current Congress. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of Kean's early resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. The resolution source for this market will be official information from Thomas Kean Jr. and the U.S. government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Tom Kean Jr. returned to the House floor on June 30, 2026, after a four-month absence attributed to depression treatment and hospitalization, during which he missed over 140 votes. Since resuming duties, he has participated in floor votes and district events, with his office confirming his commitment to completing the term through January 2027. He is actively campaigning for reelection in New Jersey’s 7th district against Democrat Rebecca Bennett, bolstered by a Trump endorsement and no primary opposition. No subsequent announcements of resignation, health setbacks, or plans to depart early have emerged, supporting trader consensus that he will serve out the remainder of his term.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Thomas Kean Jr. ceases to be United States Representative from New Jersey's 7th congressional district for any period of time between market creation and the regularly scheduled end of his term in the current Congress. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

An announcement of Kean's early resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.

The resolution source for this market will be official information from Thomas Kean Jr. and the U.S. government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Обсяг
$69
Дата завершення
Jan 3, 2027
Ринок відкрито
Jul 1, 2026, 5:02 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Thomas Kean Jr. ceases to be United States Representative from New Jersey's 7th congressional district for any period of time between market creation and the regularly scheduled end of his term in the current Congress. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of Kean's early resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. The resolution source for this market will be official information from Thomas Kean Jr. and the U.S. government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

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Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.

Часті запитання

«Tom Kean Jr. out as US Rep before term ends?» — це ринок прогнозів на Polymarket, де трейдери купують і продають акції «Так» або «Ні» залежно від того, чи вірять вони, що ця подія станеться. Поточна краудсорсингова ймовірність — 35% для «Yes». Наприклад, якщо «Так» коштує 35¢, ринок колективно оцінює шанс цієї події в 35%. Ці шанси безперервно змінюються, коли трейдери реагують на нові події. Акції правильного результату погашаються по $1 кожна при вирішенні ринку.

«Tom Kean Jr. out as US Rep before term ends?» — це нещодавно створений ринок на Polymarket, запущений Jul 1, 2026. Як ранній ринок, це ваша можливість бути серед перших трейдерів, що встановлюють шанси. Ви також можете зберегти цю сторінку в закладки для відстеження обсягу.

Щоб торгувати на «Tom Kean Jr. out as US Rep before term ends?», просто оберіть, чи вірите ви, що відповідь — «Так» або «Ні». Кожна сторона має поточну ціну, що відображає ймовірність ринку. Введіть суму та натисніть «Торгувати». Якщо ви купили акції «Так» і результат — «Так», кожна акція виплачує $1. Якщо «Ні» — ваші акції «Так» коштують $0. Ви також можете продати акції в будь-який час до вирішення.

Поточна ймовірність для «Tom Kean Jr. out as US Rep before term ends?» — 35% для «Yes». Це означає, що спільнота Polymarket вважає, що є 35% шанс, що ця подія станеться. Ці шанси оновлюються в реальному часі.

Правила вирішення для «Tom Kean Jr. out as US Rep before term ends?» точно визначають, що має статися для оголошення переможця — включаючи офіційні джерела даних. Ви можете переглянути повні критерії вирішення в розділі «Правила» на цій сторінці. Рекомендуємо уважно прочитати правила перед торгівлею.