The United States continues observing its voluntary nuclear testing moratorium since 1992, with no explosive tests conducted and NNSA confirming no active preparations despite authorization in the FY2026 National Defense Authorization Act for potential underground detonations at Nevada National Security Site. President Trump's October 2025 vow to resume testing amid concerns over Russia and China activities persists as a backdrop, but Senator Jacky Rosen's April 13, 2026, site visit highlighted strong local and congressional opposition to radiation and economic risks. April 29 UN appeals reinforced global restraint. Traders eye FY2026 appropriations votes, DOE announcements, and executive actions as key catalysts, given technical readiness timelines of months to years per CSIS analysis.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоЯдерне випробування США...?
Ядерне випробування США...?
$665,496 Обс.
Jun 30, 2026
30 червня 2026 року
2%
30 вересня 2026 року
6%
31 грудня 2026 року
9%
$665,496 Обс.
30 червня 2026 року
$39,475 Обс.
2%
30 вересня 2026 року
$5,584 Обс.
6%
31 грудня 2026 року
$10,218 Обс.
9%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the US conducts a nuclear test by the listed date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A nuclear test is defined as the intentional non-combat detonation of a device by the US that produces a nuclear chain reaction (fission or fusion), regardless of yield.
Accidents, radiological dispersal devices (bombs that spread radioactive material using conventional explosives such as "dirty bombs"), or actions by third parties will not count toward this market's resolution.
Tests not explicitly claimed by US may still qualify if a clear consensus of credible reporting attributes the nuclear detonation to US. For example, an unclaimed nuclear test analogous to the 1979 "Vela Incident" would count if credible reporting attributes it to the US.
The resolution source for this market will be a broad consensus of credible reporting.The United States continues observing its voluntary nuclear testing moratorium since 1992, with no explosive tests conducted and NNSA confirming no active preparations despite authorization in the FY2026 National Defense Authorization Act for potential underground detonations at Nevada National Security Site. President Trump's October 2025 vow to resume testing amid concerns over Russia and China activities persists as a backdrop, but Senator Jacky Rosen's April 13, 2026, site visit highlighted strong local and congressional opposition to radiation and economic risks. April 29 UN appeals reinforced global restraint. Traders eye FY2026 appropriations votes, DOE announcements, and executive actions as key catalysts, given technical readiness timelines of months to years per CSIS analysis.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the US conducts a nuclear test by the listed date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A nuclear test is defined as the intentional non-combat detonation of a device by the US that produces a nuclear chain reaction (fission or fusion), regardless of yield.
Accidents, radiological dispersal devices (bombs that spread radioactive material using conventional explosives such as "dirty bombs"), or actions by third parties will not count toward this market's resolution.
Tests not explicitly claimed by US may still qualify if a clear consensus of credible reporting attributes the nuclear detonation to US. For example, an unclaimed nuclear test analogous to the 1979 "Vela Incident" would count if credible reporting attributes it to the US.
The resolution source for this market will be a broad consensus of credible reporting.
A nuclear test is defined as the intentional non-combat detonation of a device by the US that produces a nuclear chain reaction (fission or fusion), regardless of yield.
Accidents, radiological dispersal devices (bombs that spread radioactive material using conventional explosives such as "dirty bombs"), or actions by third parties will not count toward this market's resolution.
Tests not explicitly claimed by US may still qualify if a clear consensus of credible reporting attributes the nuclear detonation to US. For example, an unclaimed nuclear test analogous to the 1979 "Vela Incident" would count if credible reporting attributes it to the US.
The resolution source for this market will be a broad consensus of credible reporting.
Ринок відкрито: Mar 31, 2026, 3:32 PM ET
Обсяг
$665,496Дата завершення
Mar 31, 2026Ринок відкрито
Mar 31, 2026, 3:32 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if the US conducts a nuclear test by the listed date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A nuclear test is defined as the intentional non-combat detonation of a device by the US that produces a nuclear chain reaction (fission or fusion), regardless of yield.
Accidents, radiological dispersal devices (bombs that spread radioactive material using conventional explosives such as "dirty bombs"), or actions by third parties will not count toward this market's resolution.
Tests not explicitly claimed by US may still qualify if a clear consensus of credible reporting attributes the nuclear detonation to US. For example, an unclaimed nuclear test analogous to the 1979 "Vela Incident" would count if credible reporting attributes it to the US.
The resolution source for this market will be a broad consensus of credible reporting.The United States continues observing its voluntary nuclear testing moratorium since 1992, with no explosive tests conducted and NNSA confirming no active preparations despite authorization in the FY2026 National Defense Authorization Act for potential underground detonations at Nevada National Security Site. President Trump's October 2025 vow to resume testing amid concerns over Russia and China activities persists as a backdrop, but Senator Jacky Rosen's April 13, 2026, site visit highlighted strong local and congressional opposition to radiation and economic risks. April 29 UN appeals reinforced global restraint. Traders eye FY2026 appropriations votes, DOE announcements, and executive actions as key catalysts, given technical readiness timelines of months to years per CSIS analysis.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the US conducts a nuclear test by the listed date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A nuclear test is defined as the intentional non-combat detonation of a device by the US that produces a nuclear chain reaction (fission or fusion), regardless of yield.
Accidents, radiological dispersal devices (bombs that spread radioactive material using conventional explosives such as "dirty bombs"), or actions by third parties will not count toward this market's resolution.
Tests not explicitly claimed by US may still qualify if a clear consensus of credible reporting attributes the nuclear detonation to US. For example, an unclaimed nuclear test analogous to the 1979 "Vela Incident" would count if credible reporting attributes it to the US.
The resolution source for this market will be a broad consensus of credible reporting.
A nuclear test is defined as the intentional non-combat detonation of a device by the US that produces a nuclear chain reaction (fission or fusion), regardless of yield.
Accidents, radiological dispersal devices (bombs that spread radioactive material using conventional explosives such as "dirty bombs"), or actions by third parties will not count toward this market's resolution.
Tests not explicitly claimed by US may still qualify if a clear consensus of credible reporting attributes the nuclear detonation to US. For example, an unclaimed nuclear test analogous to the 1979 "Vela Incident" would count if credible reporting attributes it to the US.
The resolution source for this market will be a broad consensus of credible reporting.
Обсяг
$665,496Дата завершення
Mar 31, 2026Ринок відкрито
Mar 31, 2026, 3:32 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...The United States continues observing its voluntary nuclear testing moratorium since 1992, with no explosive tests conducted and NNSA confirming no active preparations despite authorization in the FY2026 National Defense Authorization Act for potential underground detonations at Nevada National Security Site. President Trump's October 2025 vow to resume testing amid concerns over Russia and China activities persists as a backdrop, but Senator Jacky Rosen's April 13, 2026, site visit highlighted strong local and congressional opposition to radiation and economic risks. April 29 UN appeals reinforced global restraint. Traders eye FY2026 appropriations votes, DOE announcements, and executive actions as key catalysts, given technical readiness timelines of months to years per CSIS analysis.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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