Anthropic’s commanding 90.5% market-implied odds reflect its recent Claude Opus 4.6 and 4.7 releases, which posted leading scores on key benchmarks such as SWE-bench Verified and Terminal-Bench for coding, reasoning, and agentic tool use. Traders see these large language models pulling ahead of OpenAI’s GPT-5 series and Google’s Gemini 3 variants in developer adoption and real-world performance metrics. Strong enterprise uptake and consistent frontier leadership over the past several weeks have reinforced this consensus. A late-May surprise from Google or OpenAI, such as a major capability upgrade or new benchmark sweep, could still shift sentiment before the May 31 resolution window closes.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоWhich company has the best AI model end of May?
Which company has the best AI model end of May?
Anthropic 91%
Google 8%
OpenAI 1.1%
ByteDance <1%
$9,008,814 Обс.
$9,008,814 Обс.
May 31, 2026
Anthropic
91%
8%
OpenAI
1%
ByteDance
<1%
Z.ai
<1%
Meta
<1%
xAI
<1%
Alibaba
<1%
Moonshot
<1%
DeepSeek
<1%
Baidu
<1%
Amazon
<1%
Mistral
<1%
Meituan
<1%
Microsoft
<1%
Anthropic 91%
Google 8%
OpenAI 1.1%
ByteDance <1%
$9,008,814 Обс.
$9,008,814 Обс.
May 31, 2026
Anthropic
$675,431 Обс.
91%
$621,342 Обс.
8%
OpenAI
$766,846 Обс.
1%
ByteDance
$560,523 Обс.
<1%
Z.ai
$530,051 Обс.
<1%
Meta
$589,897 Обс.
<1%
xAI
$671,949 Обс.
<1%
Alibaba
$518,378 Обс.
<1%
Moonshot
$564,147 Обс.
<1%
DeepSeek
$478,923 Обс.
<1%
Baidu
$470,637 Обс.
<1%
Amazon
$406,756 Обс.
<1%
Mistral
$1,423,820 Обс.
<1%
Meituan
$311,909 Обс.
<1%
Microsoft
$418,351 Обс.
<1%
This market will resolve according to the company that owns the model that has the highest arena rank based on the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard (https://lmarena.ai/) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab is checked on May 31, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Overall" Leaderboard tab at https://lmarena.ai/leaderboard/text with style control off will be used to resolve this market.
Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “xAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking system.
The resolution source for this market is the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard found at https://lmarena.ai/. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve based on another resolution source.Anthropic’s commanding 90.5% market-implied odds reflect its recent Claude Opus 4.6 and 4.7 releases, which posted leading scores on key benchmarks such as SWE-bench Verified and Terminal-Bench for coding, reasoning, and agentic tool use. Traders see these large language models pulling ahead of OpenAI’s GPT-5 series and Google’s Gemini 3 variants in developer adoption and real-world performance metrics. Strong enterprise uptake and consistent frontier leadership over the past several weeks have reinforced this consensus. A late-May surprise from Google or OpenAI, such as a major capability upgrade or new benchmark sweep, could still shift sentiment before the May 31 resolution window closes.
This market will resolve according to the company that owns the model that has the highest arena rank based on the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard (https://lmarena.ai/) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab is checked on May 31, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Overall" Leaderboard tab at https://lmarena.ai/leaderboard/text with style control off will be used to resolve this market.
Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “xAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking system.
The resolution source for this market is the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard found at https://lmarena.ai/. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve based on another resolution source.
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Overall" Leaderboard tab at https://lmarena.ai/leaderboard/text with style control off will be used to resolve this market.
Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “xAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking system.
The resolution source for this market is the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard found at https://lmarena.ai/. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve based on another resolution source.
Ринок відкрито: Apr 14, 2026, 5:17 PM ET
Обсяг
$9,008,814Дата завершення
May 31, 2026Ринок відкрито
Apr 14, 2026, 5:17 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the company that owns the model that has the highest arena rank based on the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard (https://lmarena.ai/) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab is checked on May 31, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Overall" Leaderboard tab at https://lmarena.ai/leaderboard/text with style control off will be used to resolve this market.
Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “xAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking system.
The resolution source for this market is the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard found at https://lmarena.ai/. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve based on another resolution source.Anthropic’s commanding 90.5% market-implied odds reflect its recent Claude Opus 4.6 and 4.7 releases, which posted leading scores on key benchmarks such as SWE-bench Verified and Terminal-Bench for coding, reasoning, and agentic tool use. Traders see these large language models pulling ahead of OpenAI’s GPT-5 series and Google’s Gemini 3 variants in developer adoption and real-world performance metrics. Strong enterprise uptake and consistent frontier leadership over the past several weeks have reinforced this consensus. A late-May surprise from Google or OpenAI, such as a major capability upgrade or new benchmark sweep, could still shift sentiment before the May 31 resolution window closes.
This market will resolve according to the company that owns the model that has the highest arena rank based on the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard (https://lmarena.ai/) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab is checked on May 31, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Overall" Leaderboard tab at https://lmarena.ai/leaderboard/text with style control off will be used to resolve this market.
Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “xAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking system.
The resolution source for this market is the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard found at https://lmarena.ai/. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve based on another resolution source.
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Overall" Leaderboard tab at https://lmarena.ai/leaderboard/text with style control off will be used to resolve this market.
Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “xAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking system.
The resolution source for this market is the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard found at https://lmarena.ai/. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve based on another resolution source.
Обсяг
$9,008,814Дата завершення
May 31, 2026Ринок відкрито
Apr 14, 2026, 5:17 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Anthropic’s commanding 90.5% market-implied odds reflect its recent Claude Opus 4.6 and 4.7 releases, which posted leading scores on key benchmarks such as SWE-bench Verified and Terminal-Bench for coding, reasoning, and agentic tool use. Traders see these large language models pulling ahead of OpenAI’s GPT-5 series and Google’s Gemini 3 variants in developer adoption and real-world performance metrics. Strong enterprise uptake and consistent frontier leadership over the past several weeks have reinforced this consensus. A late-May surprise from Google or OpenAI, such as a major capability upgrade or new benchmark sweep, could still shift sentiment before the May 31 resolution window closes.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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