Elevated geopolitical tensions in the Middle East, including production disruptions and restrictions on the Strait of Hormuz following the Iran conflict, have driven Brent crude prices above $110 per barrel in mid-May 2026. This supply tightness has pushed the U.S. national average retail gasoline price to approximately $4.50–$4.56 per gallon, up more than 60% year-to-date and 44% from a year earlier. Refinery maintenance during the spring transition to summer-blend fuel has further tightened near-term supply, while strong seasonal demand supports current levels. Traders are closely monitoring any signals of eased shipping flows or inventory draws, which could influence whether prices hold or ease before month-end resolution.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено$140,205 Обс.
May 31, 2026
↑ $5.00
14%
↑ $4.70
52%
↑ $4.60
63%
↓ $4.25
14%
↓ $4.20
10%
↓ $4.10
9%
↓ $4.00
5%
↓ $3.75
3%
↓ $3.50
2%
$140,205 Обс.
↑ $5.00
$21,513 Обс.
14%
↑ $4.70
$11,417 Обс.
52%
↑ $4.60
$11,662 Обс.
63%
↓ $4.25
$2,557 Обс.
14%
↓ $4.20
$1,868 Обс.
10%
↓ $4.10
$796 Обс.
9%
↓ $4.00
$884 Обс.
5%
↓ $3.75
$1,486 Обс.
3%
↓ $3.50
$6,945 Обс.
2%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if on any day between market creation and May 31, 2026, the average US regular gas price is equal to or above the listed price. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".
Only the first two decimal digits of the reported price will be considered (e.g., if the price is reported as $3.257, this market will use $3.25 as the price).
The resolution source for this market will be information from the American Automobile Association (AAA), presently found here: https://gasprices.aaa.com/. Specifically, the cell under "Regular" and for the row "Current Avg".Elevated geopolitical tensions in the Middle East, including production disruptions and restrictions on the Strait of Hormuz following the Iran conflict, have driven Brent crude prices above $110 per barrel in mid-May 2026. This supply tightness has pushed the U.S. national average retail gasoline price to approximately $4.50–$4.56 per gallon, up more than 60% year-to-date and 44% from a year earlier. Refinery maintenance during the spring transition to summer-blend fuel has further tightened near-term supply, while strong seasonal demand supports current levels. Traders are closely monitoring any signals of eased shipping flows or inventory draws, which could influence whether prices hold or ease before month-end resolution.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if on any day between market creation and May 31, 2026, the average US regular gas price is equal to or above the listed price. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".
Only the first two decimal digits of the reported price will be considered (e.g., if the price is reported as $3.257, this market will use $3.25 as the price).
The resolution source for this market will be information from the American Automobile Association (AAA), presently found here: https://gasprices.aaa.com/. Specifically, the cell under "Regular" and for the row "Current Avg".
Only the first two decimal digits of the reported price will be considered (e.g., if the price is reported as $3.257, this market will use $3.25 as the price).
The resolution source for this market will be information from the American Automobile Association (AAA), presently found here: https://gasprices.aaa.com/. Specifically, the cell under "Regular" and for the row "Current Avg".
Ринок відкрито: Apr 30, 2026, 2:26 PM ET
Обсяг
$140,205Дата завершення
May 31, 2026Ринок відкрито
Apr 30, 2026, 2:26 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if on any day between market creation and May 31, 2026, the average US regular gas price is equal to or above the listed price. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".
Only the first two decimal digits of the reported price will be considered (e.g., if the price is reported as $3.257, this market will use $3.25 as the price).
The resolution source for this market will be information from the American Automobile Association (AAA), presently found here: https://gasprices.aaa.com/. Specifically, the cell under "Regular" and for the row "Current Avg".Elevated geopolitical tensions in the Middle East, including production disruptions and restrictions on the Strait of Hormuz following the Iran conflict, have driven Brent crude prices above $110 per barrel in mid-May 2026. This supply tightness has pushed the U.S. national average retail gasoline price to approximately $4.50–$4.56 per gallon, up more than 60% year-to-date and 44% from a year earlier. Refinery maintenance during the spring transition to summer-blend fuel has further tightened near-term supply, while strong seasonal demand supports current levels. Traders are closely monitoring any signals of eased shipping flows or inventory draws, which could influence whether prices hold or ease before month-end resolution.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if on any day between market creation and May 31, 2026, the average US regular gas price is equal to or above the listed price. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".
Only the first two decimal digits of the reported price will be considered (e.g., if the price is reported as $3.257, this market will use $3.25 as the price).
The resolution source for this market will be information from the American Automobile Association (AAA), presently found here: https://gasprices.aaa.com/. Specifically, the cell under "Regular" and for the row "Current Avg".
Only the first two decimal digits of the reported price will be considered (e.g., if the price is reported as $3.257, this market will use $3.25 as the price).
The resolution source for this market will be information from the American Automobile Association (AAA), presently found here: https://gasprices.aaa.com/. Specifically, the cell under "Regular" and for the row "Current Avg".
Обсяг
$140,205Дата завершення
May 31, 2026Ринок відкрито
Apr 30, 2026, 2:26 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Elevated geopolitical tensions in the Middle East, including production disruptions and restrictions on the Strait of Hormuz following the Iran conflict, have driven Brent crude prices above $110 per barrel in mid-May 2026. This supply tightness has pushed the U.S. national average retail gasoline price to approximately $4.50–$4.56 per gallon, up more than 60% year-to-date and 44% from a year earlier. Refinery maintenance during the spring transition to summer-blend fuel has further tightened near-term supply, while strong seasonal demand supports current levels. Traders are closely monitoring any signals of eased shipping flows or inventory draws, which could influence whether prices hold or ease before month-end resolution.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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