Recent geopolitical tensions, including supply risks tied to the Iran conflict and elevated crude oil prices above $100 per barrel, have pushed U.S. retail gasoline prices to new 2026 highs near $4.30 per gallon as of early May, according to AAA data. This surge reflects tighter global supply dynamics offsetting softer domestic demand and steady U.S. production levels around 13.5 million barrels per day. EIA forecasts for May 2026 average $3.64 per gallon, yet actual spot levels remain elevated due to ongoing inventory builds and refinery constraints, creating upward pressure on near-term prices. Traders focus on potential catalysts like weekly EIA storage reports and any easing in crude benchmarks ahead of the May 31 resolution, as sustained above-$4.00 levels would support higher-threshold outcomes while any rapid de-escalation could cap gains.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено$139,609 Обс.
May 31, 2026
↑ $5.00
18%
↑ $4.70
54%
↑ $4.60
67%
↓ $4.25
13%
↓ $4.20
16%
↓ $4.10
14%
↓ $4.00
10%
↓ $3.75
4%
↓ $3.50
2%
$139,609 Обс.
↑ $5.00
$21,291 Обс.
18%
↑ $4.70
$11,298 Обс.
54%
↑ $4.60
$11,504 Обс.
67%
↓ $4.25
$2,466 Обс.
13%
↓ $4.20
$1,860 Обс.
16%
↓ $4.10
$796 Обс.
14%
↓ $4.00
$884 Обс.
10%
↓ $3.75
$1,486 Обс.
4%
↓ $3.50
$6,945 Обс.
2%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if on any day between market creation and May 31, 2026, the average US regular gas price is equal to or above the listed price. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".
Only the first two decimal digits of the reported price will be considered (e.g., if the price is reported as $3.257, this market will use $3.25 as the price).
The resolution source for this market will be information from the American Automobile Association (AAA), presently found here: https://gasprices.aaa.com/. Specifically, the cell under "Regular" and for the row "Current Avg".Recent geopolitical tensions, including supply risks tied to the Iran conflict and elevated crude oil prices above $100 per barrel, have pushed U.S. retail gasoline prices to new 2026 highs near $4.30 per gallon as of early May, according to AAA data. This surge reflects tighter global supply dynamics offsetting softer domestic demand and steady U.S. production levels around 13.5 million barrels per day. EIA forecasts for May 2026 average $3.64 per gallon, yet actual spot levels remain elevated due to ongoing inventory builds and refinery constraints, creating upward pressure on near-term prices. Traders focus on potential catalysts like weekly EIA storage reports and any easing in crude benchmarks ahead of the May 31 resolution, as sustained above-$4.00 levels would support higher-threshold outcomes while any rapid de-escalation could cap gains.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if on any day between market creation and May 31, 2026, the average US regular gas price is equal to or above the listed price. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".
Only the first two decimal digits of the reported price will be considered (e.g., if the price is reported as $3.257, this market will use $3.25 as the price).
The resolution source for this market will be information from the American Automobile Association (AAA), presently found here: https://gasprices.aaa.com/. Specifically, the cell under "Regular" and for the row "Current Avg".
Only the first two decimal digits of the reported price will be considered (e.g., if the price is reported as $3.257, this market will use $3.25 as the price).
The resolution source for this market will be information from the American Automobile Association (AAA), presently found here: https://gasprices.aaa.com/. Specifically, the cell under "Regular" and for the row "Current Avg".
Ринок відкрито: Apr 30, 2026, 2:26 PM ET
Обсяг
$139,609Дата завершення
May 31, 2026Ринок відкрито
Apr 30, 2026, 2:26 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if on any day between market creation and May 31, 2026, the average US regular gas price is equal to or above the listed price. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".
Only the first two decimal digits of the reported price will be considered (e.g., if the price is reported as $3.257, this market will use $3.25 as the price).
The resolution source for this market will be information from the American Automobile Association (AAA), presently found here: https://gasprices.aaa.com/. Specifically, the cell under "Regular" and for the row "Current Avg".Recent geopolitical tensions, including supply risks tied to the Iran conflict and elevated crude oil prices above $100 per barrel, have pushed U.S. retail gasoline prices to new 2026 highs near $4.30 per gallon as of early May, according to AAA data. This surge reflects tighter global supply dynamics offsetting softer domestic demand and steady U.S. production levels around 13.5 million barrels per day. EIA forecasts for May 2026 average $3.64 per gallon, yet actual spot levels remain elevated due to ongoing inventory builds and refinery constraints, creating upward pressure on near-term prices. Traders focus on potential catalysts like weekly EIA storage reports and any easing in crude benchmarks ahead of the May 31 resolution, as sustained above-$4.00 levels would support higher-threshold outcomes while any rapid de-escalation could cap gains.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if on any day between market creation and May 31, 2026, the average US regular gas price is equal to or above the listed price. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".
Only the first two decimal digits of the reported price will be considered (e.g., if the price is reported as $3.257, this market will use $3.25 as the price).
The resolution source for this market will be information from the American Automobile Association (AAA), presently found here: https://gasprices.aaa.com/. Specifically, the cell under "Regular" and for the row "Current Avg".
Only the first two decimal digits of the reported price will be considered (e.g., if the price is reported as $3.257, this market will use $3.25 as the price).
The resolution source for this market will be information from the American Automobile Association (AAA), presently found here: https://gasprices.aaa.com/. Specifically, the cell under "Regular" and for the row "Current Avg".
Обсяг
$139,609Дата завершення
May 31, 2026Ринок відкрито
Apr 30, 2026, 2:26 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Recent geopolitical tensions, including supply risks tied to the Iran conflict and elevated crude oil prices above $100 per barrel, have pushed U.S. retail gasoline prices to new 2026 highs near $4.30 per gallon as of early May, according to AAA data. This surge reflects tighter global supply dynamics offsetting softer domestic demand and steady U.S. production levels around 13.5 million barrels per day. EIA forecasts for May 2026 average $3.64 per gallon, yet actual spot levels remain elevated due to ongoing inventory builds and refinery constraints, creating upward pressure on near-term prices. Traders focus on potential catalysts like weekly EIA storage reports and any easing in crude benchmarks ahead of the May 31 resolution, as sustained above-$4.00 levels would support higher-threshold outcomes while any rapid de-escalation could cap gains.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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