Recent sanctions relief following Venezuela’s political transition has enabled export licenses for traders like Trafigura and Vitol, supporting a rebound in crude output to approximately 1.2 million barrels per day as of August 2026, up sharply from sub-1 million levels earlier in the year. This growth reflects higher diluent imports, Orinoco Belt activity, and initial foreign capital inflows, including Chevron’s planned $7 billion expansion targeting doubled production from its Venezuelan assets. However, persistent infrastructure decay, rig shortages, and logistical bottlenecks cap near-term upside, with analysts viewing the government’s 1.4 million barrels per day year-end target as optimistic relative to consensus forecasts near 1.3 million. New fiscal reforms reducing the state’s take may sustain momentum into 2027, though global crude balances and sustained investment execution remain key swing factors for any 2026 threshold resolution.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено$185,663 Обс.
Feb 28, 2027
1.2m
56%
1.3m
21%
1.4m
6%
1.5m
10%
1.7m
3%
2m
4%
$185,663 Обс.
1.2m
$11,097 Обс.
56%
1.3m
$8,010 Обс.
21%
1.4m
$19,890 Обс.
6%
1.5m
$10,621 Обс.
10%
1.7m
$59,934 Обс.
3%
2m
$16,473 Обс.
4%
This market will resolve to “Yes”, if Venezuelan crude oil production is greater than or equal to the listed number of barrels per day for any month in 2026, according to the OPEC Monthly Oil Market Report published for each month.
The resolution source for this market will be the OPEC Monthly Oil Market Report, published each month in reference to the previous month at https://www.opec.org/monthly-oil-market-report.html. The relevant figure can be found in “Table 5-7 DoC crude oil production based on secondary sources, tb/d” under the column for the relevant month and the “Venezuela” row.
This market will resolve as soon as Venezuelan crude oil production is reported to be greater than or equal to the listed number. If the listed number has not been reached for any month by the release of the OPEC Monthly Oil Market Report for the reference month December 2026 (expected to be released in January 2027), this market will resolve to “No”. If no Opec Monthly Oil Market Report for the reference month December 2026 has been published by February 28, 2027, ET and the listed number has not been reached for any prior month, this market will resolve to “No”.
The resolution source for this market reports crude oil production in thousands of barrels per day. Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market.Recent sanctions relief following Venezuela’s political transition has enabled export licenses for traders like Trafigura and Vitol, supporting a rebound in crude output to approximately 1.2 million barrels per day as of August 2026, up sharply from sub-1 million levels earlier in the year. This growth reflects higher diluent imports, Orinoco Belt activity, and initial foreign capital inflows, including Chevron’s planned $7 billion expansion targeting doubled production from its Venezuelan assets. However, persistent infrastructure decay, rig shortages, and logistical bottlenecks cap near-term upside, with analysts viewing the government’s 1.4 million barrels per day year-end target as optimistic relative to consensus forecasts near 1.3 million. New fiscal reforms reducing the state’s take may sustain momentum into 2027, though global crude balances and sustained investment execution remain key swing factors for any 2026 threshold resolution.
This market will resolve to “Yes”, if Venezuelan crude oil production is greater than or equal to the listed number of barrels per day for any month in 2026, according to the OPEC Monthly Oil Market Report published for each month.
The resolution source for this market will be the OPEC Monthly Oil Market Report, published each month in reference to the previous month at https://www.opec.org/monthly-oil-market-report.html. The relevant figure can be found in “Table 5-7 DoC crude oil production based on secondary sources, tb/d” under the column for the relevant month and the “Venezuela” row.
This market will resolve as soon as Venezuelan crude oil production is reported to be greater than or equal to the listed number. If the listed number has not been reached for any month by the release of the OPEC Monthly Oil Market Report for the reference month December 2026 (expected to be released in January 2027), this market will resolve to “No”. If no Opec Monthly Oil Market Report for the reference month December 2026 has been published by February 28, 2027, ET and the listed number has not been reached for any prior month, this market will resolve to “No”.
The resolution source for this market reports crude oil production in thousands of barrels per day. Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market.
The resolution source for this market will be the OPEC Monthly Oil Market Report, published each month in reference to the previous month at https://www.opec.org/monthly-oil-market-report.html. The relevant figure can be found in “Table 5-7 DoC crude oil production based on secondary sources, tb/d” under the column for the relevant month and the “Venezuela” row.
This market will resolve as soon as Venezuelan crude oil production is reported to be greater than or equal to the listed number. If the listed number has not been reached for any month by the release of the OPEC Monthly Oil Market Report for the reference month December 2026 (expected to be released in January 2027), this market will resolve to “No”. If no Opec Monthly Oil Market Report for the reference month December 2026 has been published by February 28, 2027, ET and the listed number has not been reached for any prior month, this market will resolve to “No”.
The resolution source for this market reports crude oil production in thousands of barrels per day. Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market.
Ринок відкрито: Jan 6, 2026, 11:09 PM ET
Обсяг
$185,663Дата завершення
Mar 1, 2027Ринок відкрито
Jan 6, 2026, 11:09 PM ETВирішувач
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes”, if Venezuelan crude oil production is greater than or equal to the listed number of barrels per day for any month in 2026, according to the OPEC Monthly Oil Market Report published for each month.
The resolution source for this market will be the OPEC Monthly Oil Market Report, published each month in reference to the previous month at https://www.opec.org/monthly-oil-market-report.html. The relevant figure can be found in “Table 5-7 DoC crude oil production based on secondary sources, tb/d” under the column for the relevant month and the “Venezuela” row.
This market will resolve as soon as Venezuelan crude oil production is reported to be greater than or equal to the listed number. If the listed number has not been reached for any month by the release of the OPEC Monthly Oil Market Report for the reference month December 2026 (expected to be released in January 2027), this market will resolve to “No”. If no Opec Monthly Oil Market Report for the reference month December 2026 has been published by February 28, 2027, ET and the listed number has not been reached for any prior month, this market will resolve to “No”.
The resolution source for this market reports crude oil production in thousands of barrels per day. Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market.Recent sanctions relief following Venezuela’s political transition has enabled export licenses for traders like Trafigura and Vitol, supporting a rebound in crude output to approximately 1.2 million barrels per day as of August 2026, up sharply from sub-1 million levels earlier in the year. This growth reflects higher diluent imports, Orinoco Belt activity, and initial foreign capital inflows, including Chevron’s planned $7 billion expansion targeting doubled production from its Venezuelan assets. However, persistent infrastructure decay, rig shortages, and logistical bottlenecks cap near-term upside, with analysts viewing the government’s 1.4 million barrels per day year-end target as optimistic relative to consensus forecasts near 1.3 million. New fiscal reforms reducing the state’s take may sustain momentum into 2027, though global crude balances and sustained investment execution remain key swing factors for any 2026 threshold resolution.
This market will resolve to “Yes”, if Venezuelan crude oil production is greater than or equal to the listed number of barrels per day for any month in 2026, according to the OPEC Monthly Oil Market Report published for each month.
The resolution source for this market will be the OPEC Monthly Oil Market Report, published each month in reference to the previous month at https://www.opec.org/monthly-oil-market-report.html. The relevant figure can be found in “Table 5-7 DoC crude oil production based on secondary sources, tb/d” under the column for the relevant month and the “Venezuela” row.
This market will resolve as soon as Venezuelan crude oil production is reported to be greater than or equal to the listed number. If the listed number has not been reached for any month by the release of the OPEC Monthly Oil Market Report for the reference month December 2026 (expected to be released in January 2027), this market will resolve to “No”. If no Opec Monthly Oil Market Report for the reference month December 2026 has been published by February 28, 2027, ET and the listed number has not been reached for any prior month, this market will resolve to “No”.
The resolution source for this market reports crude oil production in thousands of barrels per day. Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market.
The resolution source for this market will be the OPEC Monthly Oil Market Report, published each month in reference to the previous month at https://www.opec.org/monthly-oil-market-report.html. The relevant figure can be found in “Table 5-7 DoC crude oil production based on secondary sources, tb/d” under the column for the relevant month and the “Venezuela” row.
This market will resolve as soon as Venezuelan crude oil production is reported to be greater than or equal to the listed number. If the listed number has not been reached for any month by the release of the OPEC Monthly Oil Market Report for the reference month December 2026 (expected to be released in January 2027), this market will resolve to “No”. If no Opec Monthly Oil Market Report for the reference month December 2026 has been published by February 28, 2027, ET and the listed number has not been reached for any prior month, this market will resolve to “No”.
The resolution source for this market reports crude oil production in thousands of barrels per day. Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market.
Обсяг
$185,663Дата завершення
Mar 1, 2027Ринок відкрито
Jan 6, 2026, 11:09 PM ETВирішувач
0x65070BE91...Recent sanctions relief following Venezuela’s political transition has enabled export licenses for traders like Trafigura and Vitol, supporting a rebound in crude output to approximately 1.2 million barrels per day as of August 2026, up sharply from sub-1 million levels earlier in the year. This growth reflects higher diluent imports, Orinoco Belt activity, and initial foreign capital inflows, including Chevron’s planned $7 billion expansion targeting doubled production from its Venezuelan assets. However, persistent infrastructure decay, rig shortages, and logistical bottlenecks cap near-term upside, with analysts viewing the government’s 1.4 million barrels per day year-end target as optimistic relative to consensus forecasts near 1.3 million. New fiscal reforms reducing the state’s take may sustain momentum into 2027, though global crude balances and sustained investment execution remain key swing factors for any 2026 threshold resolution.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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