President Trump's recent social media posts and statements over the past week, including a White House map depicting Venezuela as the 51st state amid its vast oil reserves and post-January 2026 US military intervention capturing Nicolás Maduro, have fueled speculation but elicited firm rejections from Venezuelan acting president Delcy Rodríguez and opposition leader María Corina Machado, who prioritize national sovereignty. The US Constitution mandates consent from Venezuela's population via referendum and congressional approval through legislation—a process stalled by zero formal proposals, deep bipartisan resistance in the Senate, and no public support in Venezuela. Traders' 96% implied probability on "No" embodies this consensus on insurmountable legal and political barriers, with shifts possible only via unprecedented diplomatic breakthroughs or regime shifts favoring annexation.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоWill Venezuela become 51st state?
Will Venezuela become 51st state?
$195,097 Обс.
$195,097 Обс.
Dec 31, 2026
$195,097 Обс.
$195,097 Обс.
Dec 31, 2026
This market will resolve to "Yes" any portion of Venezuela is formally annexed into the United States of America and becomes the 51st state between January 3, 2026, and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
An official agreement that is announced will suffice to resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when it is slated to go into effect. If any territory that includes no portion of Venezuelan land is made the 51st US state within this market's timeframe, this market will immediately resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the government of the United States, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.President Trump's recent social media posts and statements over the past week, including a White House map depicting Venezuela as the 51st state amid its vast oil reserves and post-January 2026 US military intervention capturing Nicolás Maduro, have fueled speculation but elicited firm rejections from Venezuelan acting president Delcy Rodríguez and opposition leader María Corina Machado, who prioritize national sovereignty. The US Constitution mandates consent from Venezuela's population via referendum and congressional approval through legislation—a process stalled by zero formal proposals, deep bipartisan resistance in the Senate, and no public support in Venezuela. Traders' 96% implied probability on "No" embodies this consensus on insurmountable legal and political barriers, with shifts possible only via unprecedented diplomatic breakthroughs or regime shifts favoring annexation.
This market will resolve to "Yes" any portion of Venezuela is formally annexed into the United States of America and becomes the 51st state between January 3, 2026, and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
An official agreement that is announced will suffice to resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when it is slated to go into effect. If any territory that includes no portion of Venezuelan land is made the 51st US state within this market's timeframe, this market will immediately resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the government of the United States, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
An official agreement that is announced will suffice to resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when it is slated to go into effect. If any territory that includes no portion of Venezuelan land is made the 51st US state within this market's timeframe, this market will immediately resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the government of the United States, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Ринок відкрито: Jan 3, 2026, 7:18 PM ET
Обсяг
$195,097Дата завершення
Dec 31, 2026Ринок відкрито
Jan 3, 2026, 7:18 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" any portion of Venezuela is formally annexed into the United States of America and becomes the 51st state between January 3, 2026, and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
An official agreement that is announced will suffice to resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when it is slated to go into effect. If any territory that includes no portion of Venezuelan land is made the 51st US state within this market's timeframe, this market will immediately resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the government of the United States, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.President Trump's recent social media posts and statements over the past week, including a White House map depicting Venezuela as the 51st state amid its vast oil reserves and post-January 2026 US military intervention capturing Nicolás Maduro, have fueled speculation but elicited firm rejections from Venezuelan acting president Delcy Rodríguez and opposition leader María Corina Machado, who prioritize national sovereignty. The US Constitution mandates consent from Venezuela's population via referendum and congressional approval through legislation—a process stalled by zero formal proposals, deep bipartisan resistance in the Senate, and no public support in Venezuela. Traders' 96% implied probability on "No" embodies this consensus on insurmountable legal and political barriers, with shifts possible only via unprecedented diplomatic breakthroughs or regime shifts favoring annexation.
This market will resolve to "Yes" any portion of Venezuela is formally annexed into the United States of America and becomes the 51st state between January 3, 2026, and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
An official agreement that is announced will suffice to resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when it is slated to go into effect. If any territory that includes no portion of Venezuelan land is made the 51st US state within this market's timeframe, this market will immediately resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the government of the United States, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
An official agreement that is announced will suffice to resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when it is slated to go into effect. If any territory that includes no portion of Venezuelan land is made the 51st US state within this market's timeframe, this market will immediately resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the government of the United States, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Обсяг
$195,097Дата завершення
Dec 31, 2026Ринок відкрито
Jan 3, 2026, 7:18 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...President Trump's recent social media posts and statements over the past week, including a White House map depicting Venezuela as the 51st state amid its vast oil reserves and post-January 2026 US military intervention capturing Nicolás Maduro, have fueled speculation but elicited firm rejections from Venezuelan acting president Delcy Rodríguez and opposition leader María Corina Machado, who prioritize national sovereignty. The US Constitution mandates consent from Venezuela's population via referendum and congressional approval through legislation—a process stalled by zero formal proposals, deep bipartisan resistance in the Senate, and no public support in Venezuela. Traders' 96% implied probability on "No" embodies this consensus on insurmountable legal and political barriers, with shifts possible only via unprecedented diplomatic breakthroughs or regime shifts favoring annexation.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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