US foreign policy in 2026 shows no active executive actions, legislative proposals, or diplomatic initiatives aimed at territorial annexation, reinforcing trader consensus reflected in the 96.1% implied probability for "No." Historical patterns of US expansion through purchase or treaty rather than unilateral claims, combined with ongoing focus on alliances, trade agreements, and multilateral institutions, limit momentum for such moves. Congressional priorities center on appropriations, border security, and existing territorial governance rather than new acquisitions. Late developments such as a sudden shift in administration strategy, formal negotiations over disputed areas like Arctic claims or Pacific outposts, or major geopolitical realignments could still alter the outcome before year-end.