Trader consensus heavily favors "No" at 88.5% on US annexation of any foreign territory in 2026, reflecting the absence of official executive actions, congressional legislation, or treaties advancing such moves amid steep diplomatic and legal barriers. Despite President Trump's reiterated interest in Greenland—sparked by early-year rhetoric post-Venezuela operations—no sovereignty transfer has materialized; recent talks focus on three new southern Greenland military bases with proposed sovereign status to counter Russia and China, but Denmark shows no concession signals. Historical precedent underscores rarity, with no federal annexations since 1898, while intra-US state disputes like Texas-New Mexico border proposals do not qualify. Institutional checks, NATO ally tensions, and Senate approval requirements maintain low odds, barring unforeseen escalations.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено$22,830 Обс.
$22,830 Обс.
Dec 31, 2026
$22,830 Обс.
$22,830 Обс.
Dec 31, 2026
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States officially annexes any territory by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
Annexation is defined as an official declaration or legal act by the US government claiming sovereignty over territory they were not claiming at the time of this market's creation.
Qualifying examples of annexation include the Louisiana Purchase, however instances where settlers claim administrative control over land without a formal annexation will not count.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Trader consensus heavily favors "No" at 88.5% on US annexation of any foreign territory in 2026, reflecting the absence of official executive actions, congressional legislation, or treaties advancing such moves amid steep diplomatic and legal barriers. Despite President Trump's reiterated interest in Greenland—sparked by early-year rhetoric post-Venezuela operations—no sovereignty transfer has materialized; recent talks focus on three new southern Greenland military bases with proposed sovereign status to counter Russia and China, but Denmark shows no concession signals. Historical precedent underscores rarity, with no federal annexations since 1898, while intra-US state disputes like Texas-New Mexico border proposals do not qualify. Institutional checks, NATO ally tensions, and Senate approval requirements maintain low odds, barring unforeseen escalations.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States officially annexes any territory by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
Annexation is defined as an official declaration or legal act by the US government claiming sovereignty over territory they were not claiming at the time of this market's creation.
Qualifying examples of annexation include the Louisiana Purchase, however instances where settlers claim administrative control over land without a formal annexation will not count.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Annexation is defined as an official declaration or legal act by the US government claiming sovereignty over territory they were not claiming at the time of this market's creation.
Qualifying examples of annexation include the Louisiana Purchase, however instances where settlers claim administrative control over land without a formal annexation will not count.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Ринок відкрито: Jan 6, 2026, 1:41 PM ET
Обсяг
$22,830Дата завершення
Dec 31, 2026Ринок відкрито
Jan 6, 2026, 1:41 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States officially annexes any territory by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
Annexation is defined as an official declaration or legal act by the US government claiming sovereignty over territory they were not claiming at the time of this market's creation.
Qualifying examples of annexation include the Louisiana Purchase, however instances where settlers claim administrative control over land without a formal annexation will not count.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Trader consensus heavily favors "No" at 88.5% on US annexation of any foreign territory in 2026, reflecting the absence of official executive actions, congressional legislation, or treaties advancing such moves amid steep diplomatic and legal barriers. Despite President Trump's reiterated interest in Greenland—sparked by early-year rhetoric post-Venezuela operations—no sovereignty transfer has materialized; recent talks focus on three new southern Greenland military bases with proposed sovereign status to counter Russia and China, but Denmark shows no concession signals. Historical precedent underscores rarity, with no federal annexations since 1898, while intra-US state disputes like Texas-New Mexico border proposals do not qualify. Institutional checks, NATO ally tensions, and Senate approval requirements maintain low odds, barring unforeseen escalations.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States officially annexes any territory by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
Annexation is defined as an official declaration or legal act by the US government claiming sovereignty over territory they were not claiming at the time of this market's creation.
Qualifying examples of annexation include the Louisiana Purchase, however instances where settlers claim administrative control over land without a formal annexation will not count.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Annexation is defined as an official declaration or legal act by the US government claiming sovereignty over territory they were not claiming at the time of this market's creation.
Qualifying examples of annexation include the Louisiana Purchase, however instances where settlers claim administrative control over land without a formal annexation will not count.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Обсяг
$22,830Дата завершення
Dec 31, 2026Ринок відкрито
Jan 6, 2026, 1:41 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Trader consensus heavily favors "No" at 88.5% on US annexation of any foreign territory in 2026, reflecting the absence of official executive actions, congressional legislation, or treaties advancing such moves amid steep diplomatic and legal barriers. Despite President Trump's reiterated interest in Greenland—sparked by early-year rhetoric post-Venezuela operations—no sovereignty transfer has materialized; recent talks focus on three new southern Greenland military bases with proposed sovereign status to counter Russia and China, but Denmark shows no concession signals. Historical precedent underscores rarity, with no federal annexations since 1898, while intra-US state disputes like Texas-New Mexico border proposals do not qualify. Institutional checks, NATO ally tensions, and Senate approval requirements maintain low odds, barring unforeseen escalations.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Часті запитання