Tight U.S. cattle inventories, now at a 75-year low of 86.2 million head, are the dominant driver of ground beef pricing in 2026, with USDA projecting a 2% contraction in beef production to 25.79 billion pounds amid persistent drought and elevated feed costs. This supply squeeze has already lifted average retail ground beef to $6.70 per pound in March 2026 per BLS data, up roughly 12% year-over-year, while overall beef and veal prices rose 12.1% through March. Strong consumer demand continues to support wholesale boxed-beef cutouts near $350 per hundredweight, even as imports of lean trimmings are expected to edge higher to 5.79 billion pounds. Traders monitoring the market should watch upcoming BLS CPI releases and the July cattle-inventory report for signals on whether prices breach key thresholds later in the year.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоWill ground beef hit __ in 2026?
Will ground beef hit __ in 2026?
$18,701 Обс.
Dec 31, 2026
$7.000+
78%
$8.000+
49%
$9.000+
38%
$10.000+
16%
$18,701 Обс.
$7.000+
$50 Обс.
78%
$8.000+
$1,518 Обс.
49%
$9.000+
$22 Обс.
38%
$10.000+
$17,111 Обс.
16%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the figure for "Average Price: Ground Beef, 100% Beef (Cost per Pound/453.6 Grams) in U.S. City Average" reaches or exceeds the listed figure for any month of 2026 as published by the St. Louis Fed (https://fred.stlouisfed.org/series/APU0000703112). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The St. Louis Fed bases its numbers for ground beef prices on the BLS's CPI release. This market will immediately resolve to "Yes" upon a qualifying update of the St. Louis Fed's chart. If no data for any month of 2026 is released by the scheduled date for the January 2027 CPI release, this market will resolve according to the data for 2026 already available at that time.
The resolution source for this market measures prices to the third decimal place. Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.Tight U.S. cattle inventories, now at a 75-year low of 86.2 million head, are the dominant driver of ground beef pricing in 2026, with USDA projecting a 2% contraction in beef production to 25.79 billion pounds amid persistent drought and elevated feed costs. This supply squeeze has already lifted average retail ground beef to $6.70 per pound in March 2026 per BLS data, up roughly 12% year-over-year, while overall beef and veal prices rose 12.1% through March. Strong consumer demand continues to support wholesale boxed-beef cutouts near $350 per hundredweight, even as imports of lean trimmings are expected to edge higher to 5.79 billion pounds. Traders monitoring the market should watch upcoming BLS CPI releases and the July cattle-inventory report for signals on whether prices breach key thresholds later in the year.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the figure for "Average Price: Ground Beef, 100% Beef (Cost per Pound/453.6 Grams) in U.S. City Average" reaches or exceeds the listed figure for any month of 2026 as published by the St. Louis Fed (https://fred.stlouisfed.org/series/APU0000703112). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The St. Louis Fed bases its numbers for ground beef prices on the BLS's CPI release. This market will immediately resolve to "Yes" upon a qualifying update of the St. Louis Fed's chart. If no data for any month of 2026 is released by the scheduled date for the January 2027 CPI release, this market will resolve according to the data for 2026 already available at that time.
The resolution source for this market measures prices to the third decimal place. Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
The St. Louis Fed bases its numbers for ground beef prices on the BLS's CPI release. This market will immediately resolve to "Yes" upon a qualifying update of the St. Louis Fed's chart. If no data for any month of 2026 is released by the scheduled date for the January 2027 CPI release, this market will resolve according to the data for 2026 already available at that time.
The resolution source for this market measures prices to the third decimal place. Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Ринок відкрито: Apr 3, 2026, 11:10 AM ET
Обсяг
$18,701Дата завершення
Dec 31, 2026Ринок відкрито
Apr 3, 2026, 11:10 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if the figure for "Average Price: Ground Beef, 100% Beef (Cost per Pound/453.6 Grams) in U.S. City Average" reaches or exceeds the listed figure for any month of 2026 as published by the St. Louis Fed (https://fred.stlouisfed.org/series/APU0000703112). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The St. Louis Fed bases its numbers for ground beef prices on the BLS's CPI release. This market will immediately resolve to "Yes" upon a qualifying update of the St. Louis Fed's chart. If no data for any month of 2026 is released by the scheduled date for the January 2027 CPI release, this market will resolve according to the data for 2026 already available at that time.
The resolution source for this market measures prices to the third decimal place. Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.Tight U.S. cattle inventories, now at a 75-year low of 86.2 million head, are the dominant driver of ground beef pricing in 2026, with USDA projecting a 2% contraction in beef production to 25.79 billion pounds amid persistent drought and elevated feed costs. This supply squeeze has already lifted average retail ground beef to $6.70 per pound in March 2026 per BLS data, up roughly 12% year-over-year, while overall beef and veal prices rose 12.1% through March. Strong consumer demand continues to support wholesale boxed-beef cutouts near $350 per hundredweight, even as imports of lean trimmings are expected to edge higher to 5.79 billion pounds. Traders monitoring the market should watch upcoming BLS CPI releases and the July cattle-inventory report for signals on whether prices breach key thresholds later in the year.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the figure for "Average Price: Ground Beef, 100% Beef (Cost per Pound/453.6 Grams) in U.S. City Average" reaches or exceeds the listed figure for any month of 2026 as published by the St. Louis Fed (https://fred.stlouisfed.org/series/APU0000703112). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The St. Louis Fed bases its numbers for ground beef prices on the BLS's CPI release. This market will immediately resolve to "Yes" upon a qualifying update of the St. Louis Fed's chart. If no data for any month of 2026 is released by the scheduled date for the January 2027 CPI release, this market will resolve according to the data for 2026 already available at that time.
The resolution source for this market measures prices to the third decimal place. Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
The St. Louis Fed bases its numbers for ground beef prices on the BLS's CPI release. This market will immediately resolve to "Yes" upon a qualifying update of the St. Louis Fed's chart. If no data for any month of 2026 is released by the scheduled date for the January 2027 CPI release, this market will resolve according to the data for 2026 already available at that time.
The resolution source for this market measures prices to the third decimal place. Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Обсяг
$18,701Дата завершення
Dec 31, 2026Ринок відкрито
Apr 3, 2026, 11:10 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Tight U.S. cattle inventories, now at a 75-year low of 86.2 million head, are the dominant driver of ground beef pricing in 2026, with USDA projecting a 2% contraction in beef production to 25.79 billion pounds amid persistent drought and elevated feed costs. This supply squeeze has already lifted average retail ground beef to $6.70 per pound in March 2026 per BLS data, up roughly 12% year-over-year, while overall beef and veal prices rose 12.1% through March. Strong consumer demand continues to support wholesale boxed-beef cutouts near $350 per hundredweight, even as imports of lean trimmings are expected to edge higher to 5.79 billion pounds. Traders monitoring the market should watch upcoming BLS CPI releases and the July cattle-inventory report for signals on whether prices breach key thresholds later in the year.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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