Iran has issued repeated threats to exit the NPT and seen parliamentary bills introduced in response to 2025 U.S.-Israeli strikes and sanctions disputes, yet it has taken no formal withdrawal steps as of mid-2026. Tehran submitted working papers and engaged in the April-May 2026 NPT Review Conference, signaling ongoing commitment to the treaty framework and IAEA safeguards processes. Analysts note that withdrawal would forfeit Article IV rights to peaceful nuclear cooperation while offering limited immediate gains amid ongoing diplomatic channels and verification requirements. With no new legislative passage or official notification to the UN in recent months, trader consensus reflects these structural and procedural barriers to rapid exit before 2027.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоWill Iran withdraw from the NPT before 2027?
Will Iran withdraw from the NPT before 2027?
9% шанс
$359,118 Обс.
$359,118 Обс.
Dec 31, 2026
9% шанс
$359,118 Обс.
$359,118 Обс.
Dec 31, 2026
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Islamic Republic of Iran formally notifies the United Nations of its decision to withdraw from the Nuclear Non-Proliferation Treaty (NPT), pursuant to Article X of the treaty by December 31, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
To qualify, the Iranian government must issue an official written notice that explicitly states its intention to withdraw under Article X of the NPT.
The resolution sources for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Iran has issued repeated threats to exit the NPT and seen parliamentary bills introduced in response to 2025 U.S.-Israeli strikes and sanctions disputes, yet it has taken no formal withdrawal steps as of mid-2026. Tehran submitted working papers and engaged in the April-May 2026 NPT Review Conference, signaling ongoing commitment to the treaty framework and IAEA safeguards processes. Analysts note that withdrawal would forfeit Article IV rights to peaceful nuclear cooperation while offering limited immediate gains amid ongoing diplomatic channels and verification requirements. With no new legislative passage or official notification to the UN in recent months, trader consensus reflects these structural and procedural barriers to rapid exit before 2027.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Islamic Republic of Iran formally notifies the United Nations of its decision to withdraw from the Nuclear Non-Proliferation Treaty (NPT), pursuant to Article X of the treaty by December 31, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
To qualify, the Iranian government must issue an official written notice that explicitly states its intention to withdraw under Article X of the NPT.
The resolution sources for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
To qualify, the Iranian government must issue an official written notice that explicitly states its intention to withdraw under Article X of the NPT.
The resolution sources for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Ринок відкрито: Nov 5, 2025, 2:44 PM ET
Обсяг
$359,118Дата завершення
Dec 31, 2026Ринок відкрито
Nov 5, 2025, 2:44 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Islamic Republic of Iran formally notifies the United Nations of its decision to withdraw from the Nuclear Non-Proliferation Treaty (NPT), pursuant to Article X of the treaty by December 31, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
To qualify, the Iranian government must issue an official written notice that explicitly states its intention to withdraw under Article X of the NPT.
The resolution sources for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Iran has issued repeated threats to exit the NPT and seen parliamentary bills introduced in response to 2025 U.S.-Israeli strikes and sanctions disputes, yet it has taken no formal withdrawal steps as of mid-2026. Tehran submitted working papers and engaged in the April-May 2026 NPT Review Conference, signaling ongoing commitment to the treaty framework and IAEA safeguards processes. Analysts note that withdrawal would forfeit Article IV rights to peaceful nuclear cooperation while offering limited immediate gains amid ongoing diplomatic channels and verification requirements. With no new legislative passage or official notification to the UN in recent months, trader consensus reflects these structural and procedural barriers to rapid exit before 2027.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Islamic Republic of Iran formally notifies the United Nations of its decision to withdraw from the Nuclear Non-Proliferation Treaty (NPT), pursuant to Article X of the treaty by December 31, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
To qualify, the Iranian government must issue an official written notice that explicitly states its intention to withdraw under Article X of the NPT.
The resolution sources for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
To qualify, the Iranian government must issue an official written notice that explicitly states its intention to withdraw under Article X of the NPT.
The resolution sources for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Обсяг
$359,118Дата завершення
Dec 31, 2026Ринок відкрито
Nov 5, 2025, 2:44 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Iran has issued repeated threats to exit the NPT and seen parliamentary bills introduced in response to 2025 U.S.-Israeli strikes and sanctions disputes, yet it has taken no formal withdrawal steps as of mid-2026. Tehran submitted working papers and engaged in the April-May 2026 NPT Review Conference, signaling ongoing commitment to the treaty framework and IAEA safeguards processes. Analysts note that withdrawal would forfeit Article IV rights to peaceful nuclear cooperation while offering limited immediate gains amid ongoing diplomatic channels and verification requirements. With no new legislative passage or official notification to the UN in recent months, trader consensus reflects these structural and procedural barriers to rapid exit before 2027.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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