Brazilian Senate rules impose a high threshold for removing a Supreme Federal Court justice, requiring a two-thirds majority of 54 votes out of 81 that has never been met against any sitting justice in the modern era. Multiple impeachment petitions against Alexandre de Moraes remain stalled without scheduling or committee review, even after an April 2026 congressional inquiry commission report recommended proceedings tied to the Banco Master case. Recent actions by de Moraes, including his May 2026 suspension of legislation that could shorten Jair Bolsonaro’s sentence, have drawn opposition criticism but produced no measurable shift in Senate leadership priorities or vote commitments. Traders therefore assign an implied 79.5 percent probability that de Moraes will remain on the court through the end of 2026, reflecting the procedural and political realities that have consistently protected judicial tenure.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật$27,471 KL.
$27,471 KL.
Dec 31, 2026
$27,471 KL.
$27,471 KL.
Dec 31, 2026
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Alexandre de Moraes ceases to be a Justice of Brazil’s Supreme Federal Court for any period of time between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of Alexandre de Moraes's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Alexandre de Moraes and the government of Brazil; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Brazilian Senate rules impose a high threshold for removing a Supreme Federal Court justice, requiring a two-thirds majority of 54 votes out of 81 that has never been met against any sitting justice in the modern era. Multiple impeachment petitions against Alexandre de Moraes remain stalled without scheduling or committee review, even after an April 2026 congressional inquiry commission report recommended proceedings tied to the Banco Master case. Recent actions by de Moraes, including his May 2026 suspension of legislation that could shorten Jair Bolsonaro’s sentence, have drawn opposition criticism but produced no measurable shift in Senate leadership priorities or vote commitments. Traders therefore assign an implied 79.5 percent probability that de Moraes will remain on the court through the end of 2026, reflecting the procedural and political realities that have consistently protected judicial tenure.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Alexandre de Moraes ceases to be a Justice of Brazil’s Supreme Federal Court for any period of time between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of Alexandre de Moraes's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Alexandre de Moraes and the government of Brazil; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
An announcement of Alexandre de Moraes's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Alexandre de Moraes and the government of Brazil; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Thị trường mở: Mar 9, 2026, 6:21 PM ET
Khối lượng
$27,471Ngày kết thúc
Dec 31, 2026Thị trường mở
Mar 9, 2026, 6:21 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if Alexandre de Moraes ceases to be a Justice of Brazil’s Supreme Federal Court for any period of time between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of Alexandre de Moraes's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Alexandre de Moraes and the government of Brazil; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Brazilian Senate rules impose a high threshold for removing a Supreme Federal Court justice, requiring a two-thirds majority of 54 votes out of 81 that has never been met against any sitting justice in the modern era. Multiple impeachment petitions against Alexandre de Moraes remain stalled without scheduling or committee review, even after an April 2026 congressional inquiry commission report recommended proceedings tied to the Banco Master case. Recent actions by de Moraes, including his May 2026 suspension of legislation that could shorten Jair Bolsonaro’s sentence, have drawn opposition criticism but produced no measurable shift in Senate leadership priorities or vote commitments. Traders therefore assign an implied 79.5 percent probability that de Moraes will remain on the court through the end of 2026, reflecting the procedural and political realities that have consistently protected judicial tenure.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Alexandre de Moraes ceases to be a Justice of Brazil’s Supreme Federal Court for any period of time between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of Alexandre de Moraes's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Alexandre de Moraes and the government of Brazil; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
An announcement of Alexandre de Moraes's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Alexandre de Moraes and the government of Brazil; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Khối lượng
$27,471Ngày kết thúc
Dec 31, 2026Thị trường mở
Mar 9, 2026, 6:21 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Brazilian Senate rules impose a high threshold for removing a Supreme Federal Court justice, requiring a two-thirds majority of 54 votes out of 81 that has never been met against any sitting justice in the modern era. Multiple impeachment petitions against Alexandre de Moraes remain stalled without scheduling or committee review, even after an April 2026 congressional inquiry commission report recommended proceedings tied to the Banco Master case. Recent actions by de Moraes, including his May 2026 suspension of legislation that could shorten Jair Bolsonaro’s sentence, have drawn opposition criticism but produced no measurable shift in Senate leadership priorities or vote commitments. Traders therefore assign an implied 79.5 percent probability that de Moraes will remain on the court through the end of 2026, reflecting the procedural and political realities that have consistently protected judicial tenure.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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