Anthropic's reported preparations for a potential October 2026 IPO at valuations near $900 billion, including recent engagement of law firm Wilson Sonsini and preliminary banker discussions, are driving trader consensus toward the 600B+ closing market cap bracket at 88% implied probability. The company's Claude large language models continue to demonstrate strong enterprise adoption and revenue acceleration, positioning Anthropic competitively against OpenAI amid the broader 2026 AI IPO wave. While no SEC filing has occurred yet, these developments reflect credible momentum that outweighs earlier 2025 speculation. Traders assign just 10% odds to no IPO by December 2027, acknowledging possible regulatory or market delays, while lower brackets remain under 2% combined given the scale of current private-market benchmarks. Upcoming catalysts include any formal S-1 submission or further funding rounds that could refine these timelines.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật600B+ 88%
No IPO by December 31, 2027 10%
400–600B 1.6%
300–400B <1%
$298,166 KL.
$298,166 KL.
Dec 31, 2027
<100B
<1%
100–200B
<1%
200–300B
<1%
300–400B
<1%
400–600B
2%
600B+
88%
No IPO by December 31, 2027
10%
600B+ 88%
No IPO by December 31, 2027 10%
400–600B 1.6%
300–400B <1%
$298,166 KL.
$298,166 KL.
Dec 31, 2027
<100B
$138,188 KL.
<1%
100–200B
$53,875 KL.
<1%
200–300B
$8,872 KL.
<1%
300–400B
$60,101 KL.
<1%
400–600B
$9,133 KL.
2%
600B+
$15,323 KL.
88%
No IPO by December 31, 2027
$12,673 KL.
10%
This market will resolve based on Anthropic's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by December 31, 2027".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Anthropic’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.Anthropic's reported preparations for a potential October 2026 IPO at valuations near $900 billion, including recent engagement of law firm Wilson Sonsini and preliminary banker discussions, are driving trader consensus toward the 600B+ closing market cap bracket at 88% implied probability. The company's Claude large language models continue to demonstrate strong enterprise adoption and revenue acceleration, positioning Anthropic competitively against OpenAI amid the broader 2026 AI IPO wave. While no SEC filing has occurred yet, these developments reflect credible momentum that outweighs earlier 2025 speculation. Traders assign just 10% odds to no IPO by December 2027, acknowledging possible regulatory or market delays, while lower brackets remain under 2% combined given the scale of current private-market benchmarks. Upcoming catalysts include any formal S-1 submission or further funding rounds that could refine these timelines.
This market will resolve based on Anthropic's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by December 31, 2027".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Anthropic’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by December 31, 2027".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Anthropic’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
Thị trường mở: Feb 4, 2026, 1:21 PM ET
Khối lượng
$298,166Ngày kết thúc
Dec 31, 2027Thị trường mở
Feb 4, 2026, 1:21 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve based on Anthropic's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by December 31, 2027".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Anthropic’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.Anthropic's reported preparations for a potential October 2026 IPO at valuations near $900 billion, including recent engagement of law firm Wilson Sonsini and preliminary banker discussions, are driving trader consensus toward the 600B+ closing market cap bracket at 88% implied probability. The company's Claude large language models continue to demonstrate strong enterprise adoption and revenue acceleration, positioning Anthropic competitively against OpenAI amid the broader 2026 AI IPO wave. While no SEC filing has occurred yet, these developments reflect credible momentum that outweighs earlier 2025 speculation. Traders assign just 10% odds to no IPO by December 2027, acknowledging possible regulatory or market delays, while lower brackets remain under 2% combined given the scale of current private-market benchmarks. Upcoming catalysts include any formal S-1 submission or further funding rounds that could refine these timelines.
This market will resolve based on Anthropic's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by December 31, 2027".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Anthropic’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by December 31, 2027".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Anthropic’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
Khối lượng
$298,166Ngày kết thúc
Dec 31, 2027Thị trường mở
Feb 4, 2026, 1:21 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Anthropic's reported preparations for a potential October 2026 IPO at valuations near $900 billion, including recent engagement of law firm Wilson Sonsini and preliminary banker discussions, are driving trader consensus toward the 600B+ closing market cap bracket at 88% implied probability. The company's Claude large language models continue to demonstrate strong enterprise adoption and revenue acceleration, positioning Anthropic competitively against OpenAI amid the broader 2026 AI IPO wave. While no SEC filing has occurred yet, these developments reflect credible momentum that outweighs earlier 2025 speculation. Traders assign just 10% odds to no IPO by December 2027, acknowledging possible regulatory or market delays, while lower brackets remain under 2% combined given the scale of current private-market benchmarks. Upcoming catalysts include any formal S-1 submission or further funding rounds that could refine these timelines.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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