Anthropic’s recent $65 billion Series H round at a $965 billion post-money valuation in May 2026, followed by confidential S-1 filing with the SEC in June, has anchored trader expectations for an IPO as early as October at $2 trillion or higher. Rapid revenue scaling—run-rate reaching $47 billion by May with forecasts exceeding $100 billion annualized—combined with strong demand for its Claude large language models underpins the 68% implied probability on a closing market cap above $1.8 trillion. This positions the company competitively against peers amid broader AI sector momentum, though outcomes remain sensitive to market conditions, regulatory reviews, and potential execution risks in the final pricing and listing process. The low odds on no IPO by late 2027 further reflect confidence in near-term execution.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật1.8T+ 68%
1.5–1.8T 16.4%
1.2–1.5T 8.8%
No IPO by December 31, 2027 4.3%
$312,386 KL.
$312,386 KL.
Dec 31, 2027
<0.6T
2%
0.6–0.9T
2%
0.9–1.2T
3%
1.2–1.5T
9%
1.5–1.8T
16%
1.8T+
68%
No IPO by December 31, 2027
4%
1.8T+ 68%
1.5–1.8T 16.4%
1.2–1.5T 8.8%
No IPO by December 31, 2027 4.3%
$312,386 KL.
$312,386 KL.
Dec 31, 2027
<0.6T
$17,065 KL.
2%
0.6–0.9T
$22,630 KL.
2%
0.9–1.2T
$21,446 KL.
3%
1.2–1.5T
$29,331 KL.
9%
1.5–1.8T
$25,568 KL.
16%
1.8T+
$152,058 KL.
68%
No IPO by December 31, 2027
$44,288 KL.
4%
This market will resolve based on Anthropic's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by December 31, 2027".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Anthropic’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.Anthropic’s recent $65 billion Series H round at a $965 billion post-money valuation in May 2026, followed by confidential S-1 filing with the SEC in June, has anchored trader expectations for an IPO as early as October at $2 trillion or higher. Rapid revenue scaling—run-rate reaching $47 billion by May with forecasts exceeding $100 billion annualized—combined with strong demand for its Claude large language models underpins the 68% implied probability on a closing market cap above $1.8 trillion. This positions the company competitively against peers amid broader AI sector momentum, though outcomes remain sensitive to market conditions, regulatory reviews, and potential execution risks in the final pricing and listing process. The low odds on no IPO by late 2027 further reflect confidence in near-term execution.
This market will resolve based on Anthropic's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by December 31, 2027".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Anthropic’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by December 31, 2027".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Anthropic’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
Thị trường mở: Apr 30, 2026, 3:13 PM ET
Khối lượng
$312,386Ngày kết thúc
Dec 31, 2027Thị trường mở
Apr 30, 2026, 3:13 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on Anthropic's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by December 31, 2027".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Anthropic’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.Anthropic’s recent $65 billion Series H round at a $965 billion post-money valuation in May 2026, followed by confidential S-1 filing with the SEC in June, has anchored trader expectations for an IPO as early as October at $2 trillion or higher. Rapid revenue scaling—run-rate reaching $47 billion by May with forecasts exceeding $100 billion annualized—combined with strong demand for its Claude large language models underpins the 68% implied probability on a closing market cap above $1.8 trillion. This positions the company competitively against peers amid broader AI sector momentum, though outcomes remain sensitive to market conditions, regulatory reviews, and potential execution risks in the final pricing and listing process. The low odds on no IPO by late 2027 further reflect confidence in near-term execution.
This market will resolve based on Anthropic's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by December 31, 2027".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Anthropic’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by December 31, 2027".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Anthropic’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
Khối lượng
$312,386Ngày kết thúc
Dec 31, 2027Thị trường mở
Apr 30, 2026, 3:13 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Anthropic’s recent $65 billion Series H round at a $965 billion post-money valuation in May 2026, followed by confidential S-1 filing with the SEC in June, has anchored trader expectations for an IPO as early as October at $2 trillion or higher. Rapid revenue scaling—run-rate reaching $47 billion by May with forecasts exceeding $100 billion annualized—combined with strong demand for its Claude large language models underpins the 68% implied probability on a closing market cap above $1.8 trillion. This positions the company competitively against peers amid broader AI sector momentum, though outcomes remain sensitive to market conditions, regulatory reviews, and potential execution risks in the final pricing and listing process. The low odds on no IPO by late 2027 further reflect confidence in near-term execution.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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