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icon for Vốn hóa thị trường đóng cửa IPO của Anthropic

Vốn hóa thị trường đóng cửa IPO của Anthropic

icon for Vốn hóa thị trường đóng cửa IPO của Anthropic

Vốn hóa thị trường đóng cửa IPO của Anthropic

Không IPO trước ngày 30 tháng 6 năm 2026 100.0%

Dưới 100 tỷ <1%

100–200 tỷ <1%

200–300 tỷ <1%

Polymarket

$1,816,139 KL.

Không IPO trước ngày 30 tháng 6 năm 2026 100.0%

Dưới 100 tỷ <1%

100–200 tỷ <1%

200–300 tỷ <1%

Polymarket

$1,816,139 KL.

Dưới 100 tỷ

$325,419 KL.

<1%

100–200 tỷ

$154,179 KL.

<1%

200–300 tỷ

$180,971 KL.

<1%

300–400 tỷ

$135,124 KL.

<1%

400–600 tỷ

$249,502 KL.

<1%

600 tỷ+

$345,649 KL.

<1%

Không IPO trước ngày 30 tháng 6 năm 2026

$425,295 KL.

100%

This market will resolve based on Anthropic's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading. If no IPO occurs by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by June 30, 2026". Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day. If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used. In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Anthropic’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.**Traders assign a 99.6% probability to no Anthropic IPO closing by June 30, 2026, reflecting the early stage of the company’s process and standard regulatory timelines.** Anthropic confidentially filed its draft S-1 registration statement with the SEC on June 1, 2026, shortly after a $65 billion funding round that valued the artificial intelligence developer of the Claude large language models at $965 billion. The company explicitly stated that any public offering would depend on market conditions and completion of the SEC review, with no public filing or pricing details released. Analyst consensus and historical precedents for confidential filings point to a potential debut in the second half of 2026, most likely fall or Q4, after the typical multi-month comment-and-amendment cycle. With only about 12 days remaining until the resolution date, an IPO closing is mechanically implausible absent an unprecedented acceleration that has never occurred for a company of this scale. The slim odds attached to any specific closing market-cap bucket (each at 0.1–0.3%) further underscore that the market views a near-term listing as effectively off the table. A realistic challenge would require an extraordinarily rapid SEC turnaround combined with immediate market readiness—scenarios that remain highly improbable given the complexity of Anthropic’s revenue accounting, AI-safety disclosures, and overall size.

This market will resolve based on Anthropic's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.

If no IPO occurs by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by June 30, 2026".

Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.

If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.

Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.

In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Anthropic’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
Khối lượng
$1,816,139
Ngày kết thúc
Jun 30, 2026
Thị trường mở
Sep 22, 2025, 8:18 PM ET
This market will resolve based on Anthropic's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading. If no IPO occurs by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by June 30, 2026". Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day. If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used. In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Anthropic’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
This market will resolve based on Anthropic's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading. If no IPO occurs by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by June 30, 2026". Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day. If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used. In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Anthropic’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.**Traders assign a 99.6% probability to no Anthropic IPO closing by June 30, 2026, reflecting the early stage of the company’s process and standard regulatory timelines.** Anthropic confidentially filed its draft S-1 registration statement with the SEC on June 1, 2026, shortly after a $65 billion funding round that valued the artificial intelligence developer of the Claude large language models at $965 billion. The company explicitly stated that any public offering would depend on market conditions and completion of the SEC review, with no public filing or pricing details released. Analyst consensus and historical precedents for confidential filings point to a potential debut in the second half of 2026, most likely fall or Q4, after the typical multi-month comment-and-amendment cycle. With only about 12 days remaining until the resolution date, an IPO closing is mechanically implausible absent an unprecedented acceleration that has never occurred for a company of this scale. The slim odds attached to any specific closing market-cap bucket (each at 0.1–0.3%) further underscore that the market views a near-term listing as effectively off the table. A realistic challenge would require an extraordinarily rapid SEC turnaround combined with immediate market readiness—scenarios that remain highly improbable given the complexity of Anthropic’s revenue accounting, AI-safety disclosures, and overall size.

This market will resolve based on Anthropic's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.

If no IPO occurs by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by June 30, 2026".

Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.

If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.

Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.

In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Anthropic’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
Khối lượng
$1,816,139
Ngày kết thúc
Jun 30, 2026
Thị trường mở
Sep 22, 2025, 8:18 PM ET
This market will resolve based on Anthropic's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading. If no IPO occurs by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by June 30, 2026". Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day. If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used. In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Anthropic’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.

Cẩn thận với liên kết bên ngoài.

Câu hỏi thường gặp

"Vốn hóa thị trường đóng cửa IPO của Anthropic" là thị trường dự đoán trên Polymarket với 7 kết quả có thể nơi các nhà giao dịch mua và bán cổ phần dựa trên điều họ tin sẽ xảy ra. Kết quả dẫn đầu hiện tại là "Không IPO trước ngày 30 tháng 6 năm 2026" ở mức 100%, tiếp theo là "Dưới 100 tỷ" ở mức 0%. Giá phản ánh xác suất cộng đồng theo thời gian thực. Ví dụ, cổ phần ở giá 100¢ ngụ ý thị trường tập thể cho rằng có 100% khả năng cho kết quả đó. Tỷ lệ này thay đổi liên tục khi trader phản ứng với diễn biến và thông tin mới. Cổ phần đúng kết quả có thể đổi lấy $1 mỗi cổ phần khi thị trường được giải quyết.

Tính đến hôm nay, "Vốn hóa thị trường đóng cửa IPO của Anthropic" đã tạo $1.8 million tổng khối lượng giao dịch kể từ khi thị trường mở vào Sep 22, 2025. Mức hoạt động giao dịch này phản ánh sự tham gia mạnh mẽ từ cộng đồng Polymarket và giúp đảm bảo tỷ lệ hiện tại được thông tin bởi nhóm người tham gia thị trường sâu rộng. Bạn có thể theo dõi biến động giá trực tiếp và giao dịch trên bất kỳ kết quả nào ngay trên trang này.

Để giao dịch trên "Vốn hóa thị trường đóng cửa IPO của Anthropic," duyệt 7 kết quả có sẵn trên trang này. Mỗi kết quả hiển thị giá hiện tại đại diện cho xác suất ngụ ý của thị trường. Để mở vị thế, chọn kết quả bạn tin là có khả năng nhất, chọn "Có" để giao dịch ủng hộ hoặc "Không" để giao dịch chống, nhập số tiền và nhấn "Giao dịch." Nếu kết quả bạn chọn đúng khi thị trường giải quyết, cổ phần "Có" của bạn trả $1 mỗi cổ phần. Nếu sai, chúng trả $0. Bạn cũng có thể bán cổ phần bất cứ lúc nào trước khi giải quyết nếu muốn chốt lời hoặc cắt lỗ.

Ứng viên dẫn đầu hiện tại cho "Vốn hóa thị trường đóng cửa IPO của Anthropic" là "Không IPO trước ngày 30 tháng 6 năm 2026" ở mức 100%, nghĩa là thị trường cho 100% khả năng cho kết quả đó. Kết quả gần nhất tiếp theo là "Dưới 100 tỷ" ở mức 0%. Tỷ lệ cập nhật theo thời gian thực khi trader mua và bán cổ phần, phản ánh cái nhìn tập thể mới nhất về điều có khả năng xảy ra nhất. Kiểm tra thường xuyên hoặc đánh dấu trang này để theo dõi tỷ lệ thay đổi khi thông tin mới xuất hiện.

Quy tắc giải quyết cho "Vốn hóa thị trường đóng cửa IPO của Anthropic" định nghĩa chính xác điều gì cần xảy ra để mỗi kết quả được tuyên bố thắng — bao gồm nguồn dữ liệu chính thức được sử dụng để xác định kết quả. Bạn có thể xem tiêu chí giải quyết đầy đủ trong phần "Quy tắc" trên trang này phía trên bình luận. Chúng tôi khuyên đọc kỹ quy tắc trước khi giao dịch, vì chúng chỉ rõ điều kiện, trường hợp ngoại lệ và nguồn chính xác quản lý cách thị trường được thanh toán.