Recent hawkish comments from Bank of Korea officials have driven the market-implied probability of no change at the July policy meeting to 54.5 percent, with an increase priced at 44.0 percent. Deputy Governor Ryoo Sang-dai noted in early May that growth is tracking near the 2.0 percent forecast while inflation is likely to exceed the prior 2.2 percent projection, prompting consideration of rate hikes after seven consecutive holds at the 2.50 percent base rate. March CPI rose to 2.2 percent amid surging global oil prices, and robust semiconductor exports have limited downside risks to activity despite Middle East geopolitical uncertainty. Traders are now focusing on the May 28 meeting for updated forward guidance, as incoming inflation and growth data will shape the path to the July decision.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtNo Change 54%
Increase 45%
Decrease 1.6%
$13,396 KL.
$13,396 KL.
Decrease
2%
No Change
54%
Increase
45%
No Change 54%
Increase 45%
Decrease 1.6%
$13,396 KL.
$13,396 KL.
Decrease
2%
No Change
54%
Increase
45%
The resolution source for this market is information released by the Bank of Korea after its July 16, 2026 policy-setting meeting, as listed on the official Bank of Korea meeting schedule: https://www.bok.or.kr/eng/bbs/E0000627/view.do?nttId=10094301&searchCnd=1&searchKwd=&depth2=400417&depth3=400022&depth=400022&pageUnit=10&pageIndex=1&programType=newsDataEng&menuNo=400022&oldMenuNo=400022
This market may resolve as soon as the Bank of Korea's policy statement for their July 16, 2026 meeting with relevant data is issued. If no decision on the base rate is issued by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.
Thị trường mở: Apr 13, 2026, 6:17 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market is information released by the Bank of Korea after its July 16, 2026 policy-setting meeting, as listed on the official Bank of Korea meeting schedule: https://www.bok.or.kr/eng/bbs/E0000627/view.do?nttId=10094301&searchCnd=1&searchKwd=&depth2=400417&depth3=400022&depth=400022&pageUnit=10&pageIndex=1&programType=newsDataEng&menuNo=400022&oldMenuNo=400022
This market may resolve as soon as the Bank of Korea's policy statement for their July 16, 2026 meeting with relevant data is issued. If no decision on the base rate is issued by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent hawkish comments from Bank of Korea officials have driven the market-implied probability of no change at the July policy meeting to 54.5 percent, with an increase priced at 44.0 percent. Deputy Governor Ryoo Sang-dai noted in early May that growth is tracking near the 2.0 percent forecast while inflation is likely to exceed the prior 2.2 percent projection, prompting consideration of rate hikes after seven consecutive holds at the 2.50 percent base rate. March CPI rose to 2.2 percent amid surging global oil prices, and robust semiconductor exports have limited downside risks to activity despite Middle East geopolitical uncertainty. Traders are now focusing on the May 28 meeting for updated forward guidance, as incoming inflation and growth data will shape the path to the July decision.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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