Elon Musk’s established pattern of high-volume posting on X underpins the tight clustering around the 140-179 tweet range, with traders viewing his recent daily cadence of 20-plus posts on topics from Tesla manufacturing to AI as the baseline for the ongoing August 14-21 window. The near-even split between the top two bins reflects uncertainty over whether external catalysts like product updates or platform discussions will push volume higher mid-week, while historical averages and the absence of major breaking news events have kept extremes below 10% probability. Partial counts through August 16 continue to inform positioning ahead of the period close.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật160-179 24%
140-159 23%
180-199 19%
120-139 14.1%
$709,728 KL.
$709,728 KL.
Aug 21, 2026
20-39
<1%
40-59
<1%
60-79
<1%
80-99
<1%
100-119
6%
120-139
14%
140-159
23%
160-179
24%
180-199
19%
200-219
13%
220-239
5%
240-259
2%
260-279
1%
280-299
<1%
300-319
<1%
320-339
<1%
340-359
<1%
360-379
<1%
380-399
<1%
400-419
<1%
420-439
<1%
440-459
<1%
460-479
<1%
480-499
<1%
500+
<1%
160-179 24%
140-159 23%
180-199 19%
120-139 14.1%
$709,728 KL.
$709,728 KL.
Aug 21, 2026
20-39
$1,883 KL.
<1%
40-59
$1,883 KL.
<1%
60-79
$34,370 KL.
<1%
80-99
$75,675 KL.
<1%
100-119
$78,009 KL.
6%
120-139
$45,229 KL.
14%
140-159
$12,241 KL.
23%
160-179
$18,580 KL.
24%
180-199
$23,805 KL.
19%
200-219
$12,066 KL.
13%
220-239
$8,760 KL.
5%
240-259
$11,531 KL.
2%
260-279
$16,857 KL.
1%
280-299
$38,796 KL.
<1%
300-319
$49,693 KL.
<1%
320-339
$52,167 KL.
<1%
340-359
$38,794 KL.
<1%
360-379
$35,717 KL.
<1%
380-399
$43,006 KL.
<1%
400-419
$28,243 KL.
<1%
420-439
$10,328 KL.
<1%
440-459
$7,201 KL.
<1%
460-479
$6,646 KL.
<1%
480-499
$6,646 KL.
<1%
500+
$48,717 KL.
<1%
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from August 14 12:00 PM ET to August 21, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.Elon Musk’s established pattern of high-volume posting on X underpins the tight clustering around the 140-179 tweet range, with traders viewing his recent daily cadence of 20-plus posts on topics from Tesla manufacturing to AI as the baseline for the ongoing August 14-21 window. The near-even split between the top two bins reflects uncertainty over whether external catalysts like product updates or platform discussions will push volume higher mid-week, while historical averages and the absence of major breaking news events have kept extremes below 10% probability. Partial counts through August 16 continue to inform positioning ahead of the period close.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from August 14 12:00 PM ET to August 21, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Thị trường mở: Aug 11, 2026, 12:00 AM ET
Khối lượng
$709,728Ngày kết thúc
Aug 21, 2026Thị trường mở
Aug 11, 2026, 12:00 AM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://x.com/elonmuskResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from August 14 12:00 PM ET to August 21, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.Elon Musk’s established pattern of high-volume posting on X underpins the tight clustering around the 140-179 tweet range, with traders viewing his recent daily cadence of 20-plus posts on topics from Tesla manufacturing to AI as the baseline for the ongoing August 14-21 window. The near-even split between the top two bins reflects uncertainty over whether external catalysts like product updates or platform discussions will push volume higher mid-week, while historical averages and the absence of major breaking news events have kept extremes below 10% probability. Partial counts through August 16 continue to inform positioning ahead of the period close.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from August 14 12:00 PM ET to August 21, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Khối lượng
$709,728Ngày kết thúc
Aug 21, 2026Thị trường mở
Aug 11, 2026, 12:00 AM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://x.com/elonmuskResolver
0x69c47De9D...Elon Musk’s established pattern of high-volume posting on X underpins the tight clustering around the 140-179 tweet range, with traders viewing his recent daily cadence of 20-plus posts on topics from Tesla manufacturing to AI as the baseline for the ongoing August 14-21 window. The near-even split between the top two bins reflects uncertainty over whether external catalysts like product updates or platform discussions will push volume higher mid-week, while historical averages and the absence of major breaking news events have kept extremes below 10% probability. Partial counts through August 16 continue to inform positioning ahead of the period close.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
Cẩn thận với liên kết bên ngoài.
Cẩn thận với liên kết bên ngoài.
Câu hỏi thường gặp