Trader consensus clusters around the 160-219 tweet range because Elon Musk’s established posting rhythm on X typically averages 20–35 posts daily, mixing business updates, memes, and commentary, which projects to roughly that weekly total absent major disruptions. The near-even split between the 160-179 and 180-199 bins, followed closely by 200-219, reflects the inherent variability in his output—daily spikes can push totals higher while quieter stretches pull them lower—with no high-profile catalysts like Starship flights or major announcements currently scheduled for August 18–25 to drive volume upward. Market-implied odds therefore capture the narrow band of normal activity rather than an outlier week.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật160-179 20%
180-199 20%
200-219 19%
140-159 13%
MỚI
$89,730 KL.
MỚI
$89,730 KL.
Aug 25, 2026
<20
<1%
20-39
<1%
40-59
<1%
60-79
<1%
80-99
<1%
100-119
2%
120-139
5%
140-159
13%
160-179
20%
180-199
20%
200-219
19%
220-239
10%
240-259
6%
260-279
4%
280-299
2%
300-319
1%
320-339
1%
340-359
1%
360-379
<1%
380-399
<1%
400-419
<1%
420-439
<1%
440-459
<1%
460-479
<1%
480-499
<1%
500+
<1%
160-179 20%
180-199 20%
200-219 19%
140-159 13%
MỚI
$89,730 KL.
MỚI
$89,730 KL.
Aug 25, 2026
<20
$671 KL.
<1%
20-39
$671 KL.
<1%
40-59
$1,515 KL.
<1%
60-79
$10,671 KL.
<1%
80-99
$13,855 KL.
<1%
100-119
$8,905 KL.
2%
120-139
$4,745 KL.
5%
140-159
$57 KL.
13%
160-179
$991 KL.
20%
180-199
$1,557 KL.
20%
200-219
$479 KL.
19%
220-239
$229 KL.
10%
240-259
$279 KL.
6%
260-279
$265 KL.
4%
280-299
$1,633 KL.
2%
300-319
$229 KL.
1%
320-339
$139 KL.
1%
340-359
$130 KL.
1%
360-379
$216 KL.
<1%
380-399
$5,629 KL.
<1%
400-419
$5,624 KL.
<1%
420-439
$4,515 KL.
<1%
440-459
$515 KL.
<1%
460-479
$515 KL.
<1%
480-499
$1,515 KL.
<1%
500+
$24,183 KL.
<1%
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from August 18 12:00 PM ET to August 25, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.Trader consensus clusters around the 160-219 tweet range because Elon Musk’s established posting rhythm on X typically averages 20–35 posts daily, mixing business updates, memes, and commentary, which projects to roughly that weekly total absent major disruptions. The near-even split between the 160-179 and 180-199 bins, followed closely by 200-219, reflects the inherent variability in his output—daily spikes can push totals higher while quieter stretches pull them lower—with no high-profile catalysts like Starship flights or major announcements currently scheduled for August 18–25 to drive volume upward. Market-implied odds therefore capture the narrow band of normal activity rather than an outlier week.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from August 18 12:00 PM ET to August 25, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Thị trường mở: Aug 15, 2026, 12:00 AM ET
Khối lượng
$89,730Ngày kết thúc
Aug 25, 2026Thị trường mở
Aug 15, 2026, 12:00 AM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://x.com/elonmuskResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from August 18 12:00 PM ET to August 25, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.Trader consensus clusters around the 160-219 tweet range because Elon Musk’s established posting rhythm on X typically averages 20–35 posts daily, mixing business updates, memes, and commentary, which projects to roughly that weekly total absent major disruptions. The near-even split between the 160-179 and 180-199 bins, followed closely by 200-219, reflects the inherent variability in his output—daily spikes can push totals higher while quieter stretches pull them lower—with no high-profile catalysts like Starship flights or major announcements currently scheduled for August 18–25 to drive volume upward. Market-implied odds therefore capture the narrow band of normal activity rather than an outlier week.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from August 18 12:00 PM ET to August 25, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Khối lượng
$89,730Ngày kết thúc
Aug 25, 2026Thị trường mở
Aug 15, 2026, 12:00 AM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://x.com/elonmuskResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus clusters around the 160-219 tweet range because Elon Musk’s established posting rhythm on X typically averages 20–35 posts daily, mixing business updates, memes, and commentary, which projects to roughly that weekly total absent major disruptions. The near-even split between the 160-179 and 180-199 bins, followed closely by 200-219, reflects the inherent variability in his output—daily spikes can push totals higher while quieter stretches pull them lower—with no high-profile catalysts like Starship flights or major announcements currently scheduled for August 18–25 to drive volume upward. Market-implied odds therefore capture the narrow band of normal activity rather than an outlier week.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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