Elon Musk's established posting rhythm on X drives the tight clustering of probabilities around the 760-879 range, reflecting an average near 25 daily contributions through replies, quotes, and original posts on Tesla updates, AI developments, and platform matters. Recent short-window markets confirm this cadence holds steady absent major disruptions like regulatory hearings or product launches, with traders weighing day-to-day variance from engagement spikes. Historical 2025-2026 patterns support these levels during routine periods, while the market's spread underscores sensitivity to any late-August catalysts such as earnings releases or viral threads before September 1 resolution.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật800-839 17.0%
760-779 14.4%
840-879 13.5%
780-799 13.3%
$137,874 KL.
$137,874 KL.
Sep 1, 2026
300-319
<1%
360-379
<1%
380-399
<1%
400-419
<1%
420-439
<1%
440-459
<1%
460-479
<1%
480-499
<1%
500-519
<1%
520-539
<1%
540-559
<1%
560-579
<1%
580-599
1%
600-619
1%
620-639
2%
640-659
3%
660-679
3%
680-699
4%
700-719
6%
720-739
7%
740-759
9%
760-779
14%
780-799
13%
800-839
17%
840-879
13%
880-919
9%
920-959
6%
960-999
2%
1000+
6%
800-839 17.0%
760-779 14.4%
840-879 13.5%
780-799 13.3%
$137,874 KL.
$137,874 KL.
Sep 1, 2026
300-319
$169 KL.
<1%
360-379
$169 KL.
<1%
380-399
$429 KL.
<1%
400-419
$435 KL.
<1%
420-439
$5,043 KL.
<1%
440-459
$3,637 KL.
<1%
460-479
$7,034 KL.
<1%
480-499
$9,041 KL.
<1%
500-519
$8,203 KL.
<1%
520-539
$6,289 KL.
<1%
540-559
$7,684 KL.
<1%
560-579
$7,493 KL.
<1%
580-599
$3,820 KL.
1%
600-619
$5,001 KL.
1%
620-639
$5,218 KL.
2%
640-659
$2,948 KL.
3%
660-679
$3,110 KL.
3%
680-699
$2,927 KL.
4%
700-719
$1,892 KL.
6%
720-739
$2,228 KL.
7%
740-759
$2,903 KL.
9%
760-779
$2,506 KL.
14%
780-799
$2,655 KL.
13%
800-839
$4,607 KL.
17%
840-879
$5,186 KL.
13%
880-919
$4,702 KL.
9%
920-959
$5,065 KL.
6%
960-999
$10,681 KL.
2%
1000+
$6,748 KL.
6%
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X during the month of August 2026.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.Elon Musk's established posting rhythm on X drives the tight clustering of probabilities around the 760-879 range, reflecting an average near 25 daily contributions through replies, quotes, and original posts on Tesla updates, AI developments, and platform matters. Recent short-window markets confirm this cadence holds steady absent major disruptions like regulatory hearings or product launches, with traders weighing day-to-day variance from engagement spikes. Historical 2025-2026 patterns support these levels during routine periods, while the market's spread underscores sensitivity to any late-August catalysts such as earnings releases or viral threads before September 1 resolution.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X during the month of August 2026.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Thị trường mở: Jul 24, 2026, 12:00 AM ET
Khối lượng
$137,874Ngày kết thúc
Sep 1, 2026Thị trường mở
Jul 24, 2026, 12:00 AM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://x.com/elonmuskResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X during the month of August 2026.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.Elon Musk's established posting rhythm on X drives the tight clustering of probabilities around the 760-879 range, reflecting an average near 25 daily contributions through replies, quotes, and original posts on Tesla updates, AI developments, and platform matters. Recent short-window markets confirm this cadence holds steady absent major disruptions like regulatory hearings or product launches, with traders weighing day-to-day variance from engagement spikes. Historical 2025-2026 patterns support these levels during routine periods, while the market's spread underscores sensitivity to any late-August catalysts such as earnings releases or viral threads before September 1 resolution.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X during the month of August 2026.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Khối lượng
$137,874Ngày kết thúc
Sep 1, 2026Thị trường mở
Jul 24, 2026, 12:00 AM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://x.com/elonmuskResolver
0x69c47De9D...Elon Musk's established posting rhythm on X drives the tight clustering of probabilities around the 760-879 range, reflecting an average near 25 daily contributions through replies, quotes, and original posts on Tesla updates, AI developments, and platform matters. Recent short-window markets confirm this cadence holds steady absent major disruptions like regulatory hearings or product launches, with traders weighing day-to-day variance from engagement spikes. Historical 2025-2026 patterns support these levels during routine periods, while the market's spread underscores sensitivity to any late-August catalysts such as earnings releases or viral threads before September 1 resolution.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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