Musk's established high-volume posting rhythm on X drives the market's concentration in the 760-879 tweet range, where traders see the strongest implied probability. Consistent daily output—exemplified by 41 posts on August 9—combined with his ongoing commentary on Tesla, AI developments, and platform dynamics sustains this pace through mid-August. Historical monthly totals and the absence of major disruptions, such as extended travel or policy shifts, reinforce expectations for roughly 25-28 tweets per day across the full 31-day period. Remaining news cycles around product milestones or cultural events could nudge final counts between the closely matched leading bins.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật840-879 12.8%
760-779 12.6%
800-839 12.5%
780-799 12.0%
$122,362 KL.
$122,362 KL.
Sep 1, 2026
300-319
<1%
340-359
<1%
360-379
<1%
380-399
<1%
400-419
<1%
420-439
<1%
440-459
<1%
460-479
<1%
480-499
<1%
500-519
<1%
520-539
<1%
540-559
<1%
560-579
<1%
580-599
1%
600-619
2%
620-639
2%
640-659
3%
660-679
2%
680-699
6%
700-719
6%
720-739
8%
740-759
8%
760-779
13%
780-799
12%
800-839
13%
840-879
13%
880-919
10%
920-959
6%
960-999
3%
1000+
6%
840-879 12.8%
760-779 12.6%
800-839 12.5%
780-799 12.0%
$122,362 KL.
$122,362 KL.
Sep 1, 2026
300-319
$169 KL.
<1%
340-359
$169 KL.
<1%
360-379
$169 KL.
<1%
380-399
$429 KL.
<1%
400-419
$435 KL.
<1%
420-439
$5,043 KL.
<1%
440-459
$3,637 KL.
<1%
460-479
$7,034 KL.
<1%
480-499
$8,926 KL.
<1%
500-519
$7,364 KL.
<1%
520-539
$5,354 KL.
<1%
540-559
$5,588 KL.
<1%
560-579
$5,358 KL.
<1%
580-599
$3,232 KL.
1%
600-619
$4,383 KL.
2%
620-639
$4,712 KL.
2%
640-659
$2,161 KL.
3%
660-679
$2,736 KL.
2%
680-699
$2,425 KL.
6%
700-719
$1,709 KL.
6%
720-739
$1,752 KL.
8%
740-759
$2,323 KL.
8%
760-779
$1,582 KL.
13%
780-799
$2,332 KL.
12%
800-839
$3,988 KL.
13%
840-879
$4,765 KL.
13%
880-919
$4,005 KL.
10%
920-959
$4,615 KL.
6%
960-999
$9,540 KL.
3%
1000+
$6,548 KL.
6%
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X during the month of August 2026.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.Musk's established high-volume posting rhythm on X drives the market's concentration in the 760-879 tweet range, where traders see the strongest implied probability. Consistent daily output—exemplified by 41 posts on August 9—combined with his ongoing commentary on Tesla, AI developments, and platform dynamics sustains this pace through mid-August. Historical monthly totals and the absence of major disruptions, such as extended travel or policy shifts, reinforce expectations for roughly 25-28 tweets per day across the full 31-day period. Remaining news cycles around product milestones or cultural events could nudge final counts between the closely matched leading bins.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X during the month of August 2026.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Thị trường mở: Jul 24, 2026, 12:00 AM ET
Khối lượng
$122,362Ngày kết thúc
Sep 1, 2026Thị trường mở
Jul 24, 2026, 12:00 AM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://x.com/elonmuskResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X during the month of August 2026.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.Musk's established high-volume posting rhythm on X drives the market's concentration in the 760-879 tweet range, where traders see the strongest implied probability. Consistent daily output—exemplified by 41 posts on August 9—combined with his ongoing commentary on Tesla, AI developments, and platform dynamics sustains this pace through mid-August. Historical monthly totals and the absence of major disruptions, such as extended travel or policy shifts, reinforce expectations for roughly 25-28 tweets per day across the full 31-day period. Remaining news cycles around product milestones or cultural events could nudge final counts between the closely matched leading bins.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X during the month of August 2026.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Khối lượng
$122,362Ngày kết thúc
Sep 1, 2026Thị trường mở
Jul 24, 2026, 12:00 AM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://x.com/elonmuskResolver
0x69c47De9D...Musk's established high-volume posting rhythm on X drives the market's concentration in the 760-879 tweet range, where traders see the strongest implied probability. Consistent daily output—exemplified by 41 posts on August 9—combined with his ongoing commentary on Tesla, AI developments, and platform dynamics sustains this pace through mid-August. Historical monthly totals and the absence of major disruptions, such as extended travel or policy shifts, reinforce expectations for roughly 25-28 tweets per day across the full 31-day period. Remaining news cycles around product milestones or cultural events could nudge final counts between the closely matched leading bins.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
Cẩn thận với liên kết bên ngoài.
Cẩn thận với liên kết bên ngoài.
Câu hỏi thường gặp