Recent June tracking data on Elon Musk’s X activity shows a steady daily cadence that has positioned the 40-64 tweet range as the clear market leader at 65.5% implied probability. Comparable short windows have produced totals in this band more often than higher or lower brackets, reflecting routine commentary on company updates and cultural topics rather than sustained spikes. The upcoming Tesla robotaxi debut targeted for June 22 in Austin and a SpaceX Starfall mission the following day stand as the main near-term catalysts that could lift volume, though traders appear to view these as incremental rather than transformative. No confirmed travel, regulatory hearings, or major announcements have emerged to signal a sharp deviation from established patterns ahead of the three-day window.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật40-64 56%
65-89 31%
<40 10%
90-114 3.7%
MỚI
$44,321 KL.
MỚI
$44,321 KL.
Jun 24, 2026
<40
10%
40-64
56%
65-89
31%
90-114
4%
115-139
1%
140-164
<1%
165-189
<1%
190-214
<1%
215-239
<1%
240+
<1%
40-64 56%
65-89 31%
<40 10%
90-114 3.7%
MỚI
$44,321 KL.
MỚI
$44,321 KL.
Jun 24, 2026
<40
$3,856 KL.
10%
40-64
$1,694 KL.
56%
65-89
$2,593 KL.
31%
90-114
$3,756 KL.
4%
115-139
$1,701 KL.
1%
140-164
$2,597 KL.
<1%
165-189
$12,761 KL.
<1%
190-214
$4,788 KL.
<1%
215-239
$4,788 KL.
<1%
240+
$5,788 KL.
<1%
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from June 22 12:00 PM ET to June 24, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.Recent June tracking data on Elon Musk’s X activity shows a steady daily cadence that has positioned the 40-64 tweet range as the clear market leader at 65.5% implied probability. Comparable short windows have produced totals in this band more often than higher or lower brackets, reflecting routine commentary on company updates and cultural topics rather than sustained spikes. The upcoming Tesla robotaxi debut targeted for June 22 in Austin and a SpaceX Starfall mission the following day stand as the main near-term catalysts that could lift volume, though traders appear to view these as incremental rather than transformative. No confirmed travel, regulatory hearings, or major announcements have emerged to signal a sharp deviation from established patterns ahead of the three-day window.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from June 22 12:00 PM ET to June 24, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Thị trường mở: Jun 20, 2026, 12:01 PM ET
Khối lượng
$44,321Ngày kết thúc
Jun 24, 2026Thị trường mở
Jun 20, 2026, 12:01 PM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://x.com/elonmuskResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from June 22 12:00 PM ET to June 24, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.Recent June tracking data on Elon Musk’s X activity shows a steady daily cadence that has positioned the 40-64 tweet range as the clear market leader at 65.5% implied probability. Comparable short windows have produced totals in this band more often than higher or lower brackets, reflecting routine commentary on company updates and cultural topics rather than sustained spikes. The upcoming Tesla robotaxi debut targeted for June 22 in Austin and a SpaceX Starfall mission the following day stand as the main near-term catalysts that could lift volume, though traders appear to view these as incremental rather than transformative. No confirmed travel, regulatory hearings, or major announcements have emerged to signal a sharp deviation from established patterns ahead of the three-day window.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from June 22 12:00 PM ET to June 24, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Khối lượng
$44,321Ngày kết thúc
Jun 24, 2026Thị trường mở
Jun 20, 2026, 12:01 PM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://x.com/elonmuskResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent June tracking data on Elon Musk’s X activity shows a steady daily cadence that has positioned the 40-64 tweet range as the clear market leader at 65.5% implied probability. Comparable short windows have produced totals in this band more often than higher or lower brackets, reflecting routine commentary on company updates and cultural topics rather than sustained spikes. The upcoming Tesla robotaxi debut targeted for June 22 in Austin and a SpaceX Starfall mission the following day stand as the main near-term catalysts that could lift volume, though traders appear to view these as incremental rather than transformative. No confirmed travel, regulatory hearings, or major announcements have emerged to signal a sharp deviation from established patterns ahead of the three-day window.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
Cẩn thận với liên kết bên ngoài.
Cẩn thận với liên kết bên ngoài.
Câu hỏi thường gặp