Elon Musk’s established posting cadence on X, averaging roughly 20–30 qualifying posts per day in recent three-day windows, anchors trader consensus around the 40-64 bracket for the September 24–26 period. Resolved markets covering comparable short stretches, including the immediately prior September 17–19 window that settled at 51 posts, reinforce this range as the baseline when no major external catalysts intervene. Steady activity tied to AI commentary, platform updates, and routine engagement has kept totals consistent without the spikes seen during product launches or high-profile news cycles. With the Thursday-to-Saturday window approaching and no confirmed events positioned to drive unusual volume, the market-implied odds reflect expectations of routine momentum rather than outlier behavior.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật40-64 55%
65-89 30%
<40 9%
90-114 7%
MỚI
MỚI
Sep 26, 2026
<40
9%
40-64
55%
65-89
30%
90-114
7%
115-139
2%
140-164
1%
165-189
1%
190-214
1%
215-239
<1%
240+
<1%
40-64 55%
65-89 30%
<40 9%
90-114 7%
MỚI
MỚI
Sep 26, 2026
<40
$489 KL.
9%
40-64
$326 KL.
55%
65-89
$176 KL.
30%
90-114
$268 KL.
7%
115-139
$97 KL.
2%
140-164
$52 KL.
1%
165-189
$60 KL.
1%
190-214
$58 KL.
1%
215-239
$675 KL.
<1%
240+
$645 KL.
<1%
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from September 24 12:00 PM ET to September 26, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.Elon Musk’s established posting cadence on X, averaging roughly 20–30 qualifying posts per day in recent three-day windows, anchors trader consensus around the 40-64 bracket for the September 24–26 period. Resolved markets covering comparable short stretches, including the immediately prior September 17–19 window that settled at 51 posts, reinforce this range as the baseline when no major external catalysts intervene. Steady activity tied to AI commentary, platform updates, and routine engagement has kept totals consistent without the spikes seen during product launches or high-profile news cycles. With the Thursday-to-Saturday window approaching and no confirmed events positioned to drive unusual volume, the market-implied odds reflect expectations of routine momentum rather than outlier behavior.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from September 24 12:00 PM ET to September 26, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Thị trường mở: Sep 21, 2026, 12:07 PM ET
Khối lượng
$2,846Ngày kết thúc
Sep 26, 2026Thị trường mở
Sep 21, 2026, 12:07 PM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://x.com/elonmuskNgười giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from September 24 12:00 PM ET to September 26, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.Elon Musk’s established posting cadence on X, averaging roughly 20–30 qualifying posts per day in recent three-day windows, anchors trader consensus around the 40-64 bracket for the September 24–26 period. Resolved markets covering comparable short stretches, including the immediately prior September 17–19 window that settled at 51 posts, reinforce this range as the baseline when no major external catalysts intervene. Steady activity tied to AI commentary, platform updates, and routine engagement has kept totals consistent without the spikes seen during product launches or high-profile news cycles. With the Thursday-to-Saturday window approaching and no confirmed events positioned to drive unusual volume, the market-implied odds reflect expectations of routine momentum rather than outlier behavior.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from September 24 12:00 PM ET to September 26, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Khối lượng
$2,846Ngày kết thúc
Sep 26, 2026Thị trường mở
Sep 21, 2026, 12:07 PM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://x.com/elonmuskNgười giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...Elon Musk’s established posting cadence on X, averaging roughly 20–30 qualifying posts per day in recent three-day windows, anchors trader consensus around the 40-64 bracket for the September 24–26 period. Resolved markets covering comparable short stretches, including the immediately prior September 17–19 window that settled at 51 posts, reinforce this range as the baseline when no major external catalysts intervene. Steady activity tied to AI commentary, platform updates, and routine engagement has kept totals consistent without the spikes seen during product launches or high-profile news cycles. With the Thursday-to-Saturday window approaching and no confirmed events positioned to drive unusual volume, the market-implied odds reflect expectations of routine momentum rather than outlier behavior.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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