Congress enacted and the President signed a continuing resolution (P.L. 119-103) on September 2, 2026, extending appropriations at prior-year levels through December 11 and directly preventing any lapse on October 1. Bipartisan passage—Senate 90-6 and House 370-48—reflects broad agreement to maintain agency operations ahead of midterms, consistent with recent patterns of short-term funding extensions. Trader consensus at 97.9% on “No” tracks this enacted legislation. Remaining variables include improbable late legal challenges to the law’s validity or congressional repeal before the deadline, though neither appears under active consideration.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật2% khả năng
MỚI
MỚI
Oct 1, 2026
2% khả năng
MỚI
MỚI
Oct 1, 2026
This market will resolve to "Yes" if a partial or full United States federal government lapse in appropriations occurs on October 1, 2026, 12:00 AM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A lapse in appropriations occurs when Congress and the President fail to enact legislation providing funding authority for federal government operations by an applicable deadline, resulting in a funding lapse.
A lapse of any duration affecting any portion of the United States federal government will qualify, regardless of whether it results in any operational impact. A subsequent government shutdown is not necessary for this market to resolve to "Yes".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the United States government, including from Congress.gov; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Congress enacted and the President signed a continuing resolution (P.L. 119-103) on September 2, 2026, extending appropriations at prior-year levels through December 11 and directly preventing any lapse on October 1. Bipartisan passage—Senate 90-6 and House 370-48—reflects broad agreement to maintain agency operations ahead of midterms, consistent with recent patterns of short-term funding extensions. Trader consensus at 97.9% on “No” tracks this enacted legislation. Remaining variables include improbable late legal challenges to the law’s validity or congressional repeal before the deadline, though neither appears under active consideration.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if a partial or full United States federal government lapse in appropriations occurs on October 1, 2026, 12:00 AM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A lapse in appropriations occurs when Congress and the President fail to enact legislation providing funding authority for federal government operations by an applicable deadline, resulting in a funding lapse.
A lapse of any duration affecting any portion of the United States federal government will qualify, regardless of whether it results in any operational impact. A subsequent government shutdown is not necessary for this market to resolve to "Yes".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the United States government, including from Congress.gov; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
A lapse in appropriations occurs when Congress and the President fail to enact legislation providing funding authority for federal government operations by an applicable deadline, resulting in a funding lapse.
A lapse of any duration affecting any portion of the United States federal government will qualify, regardless of whether it results in any operational impact. A subsequent government shutdown is not necessary for this market to resolve to "Yes".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the United States government, including from Congress.gov; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Thị trường mở: Aug 5, 2026, 11:30 AM ET
Khối lượng
$3,191Ngày kết thúc
Oct 2, 2026Thị trường mở
Aug 5, 2026, 11:30 AM ETNgười giải quyết
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if a partial or full United States federal government lapse in appropriations occurs on October 1, 2026, 12:00 AM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A lapse in appropriations occurs when Congress and the President fail to enact legislation providing funding authority for federal government operations by an applicable deadline, resulting in a funding lapse.
A lapse of any duration affecting any portion of the United States federal government will qualify, regardless of whether it results in any operational impact. A subsequent government shutdown is not necessary for this market to resolve to "Yes".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the United States government, including from Congress.gov; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Congress enacted and the President signed a continuing resolution (P.L. 119-103) on September 2, 2026, extending appropriations at prior-year levels through December 11 and directly preventing any lapse on October 1. Bipartisan passage—Senate 90-6 and House 370-48—reflects broad agreement to maintain agency operations ahead of midterms, consistent with recent patterns of short-term funding extensions. Trader consensus at 97.9% on “No” tracks this enacted legislation. Remaining variables include improbable late legal challenges to the law’s validity or congressional repeal before the deadline, though neither appears under active consideration.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if a partial or full United States federal government lapse in appropriations occurs on October 1, 2026, 12:00 AM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A lapse in appropriations occurs when Congress and the President fail to enact legislation providing funding authority for federal government operations by an applicable deadline, resulting in a funding lapse.
A lapse of any duration affecting any portion of the United States federal government will qualify, regardless of whether it results in any operational impact. A subsequent government shutdown is not necessary for this market to resolve to "Yes".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the United States government, including from Congress.gov; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
A lapse in appropriations occurs when Congress and the President fail to enact legislation providing funding authority for federal government operations by an applicable deadline, resulting in a funding lapse.
A lapse of any duration affecting any portion of the United States federal government will qualify, regardless of whether it results in any operational impact. A subsequent government shutdown is not necessary for this market to resolve to "Yes".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the United States government, including from Congress.gov; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Khối lượng
$3,191Ngày kết thúc
Oct 2, 2026Thị trường mở
Aug 5, 2026, 11:30 AM ETNgười giải quyết
0x65070BE91...Congress enacted and the President signed a continuing resolution (P.L. 119-103) on September 2, 2026, extending appropriations at prior-year levels through December 11 and directly preventing any lapse on October 1. Bipartisan passage—Senate 90-6 and House 370-48—reflects broad agreement to maintain agency operations ahead of midterms, consistent with recent patterns of short-term funding extensions. Trader consensus at 97.9% on “No” tracks this enacted legislation. Remaining variables include improbable late legal challenges to the law’s validity or congressional repeal before the deadline, though neither appears under active consideration.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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