Incumbent Rep. Scott Franklin (R) dominates trader consensus at 82.5% implied probability to win Florida's 18th Congressional District, reflecting the seat's Solid Republican rating from the Cook Political Report and its R+13 partisan voting index. Franklin faces no GOP primary challengers ahead of the August 18 primaries and boasts $819,492 cash on hand as of late March—dwarfing Democratic primary contenders Curtis Gibson and Tiffanie Luong, who report zero funds. His consistent double-digit victories, including 65% in 2024, underscore limited Democratic path to victory in this central Florida battleground absent major scandals or national midterm waves. No significant developments have emerged in the past 30 days to shift dynamics, with focus now on primary outcomes and general election on November 3.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtFL-18 House Election Winner
FL-18 House Election Winner
$13,569 KL.
$13,569 KL.
Nov 3, 2026
Republican Party
83%
Democratic Party
16%
$13,569 KL.
$13,569 KL.
Nov 3, 2026
Republican Party
$7,382 KL.
83%
Democratic Party
$6,187 KL.
16%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-18 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Rep. Scott Franklin (R) dominates trader consensus at 82.5% implied probability to win Florida's 18th Congressional District, reflecting the seat's Solid Republican rating from the Cook Political Report and its R+13 partisan voting index. Franklin faces no GOP primary challengers ahead of the August 18 primaries and boasts $819,492 cash on hand as of late March—dwarfing Democratic primary contenders Curtis Gibson and Tiffanie Luong, who report zero funds. His consistent double-digit victories, including 65% in 2024, underscore limited Democratic path to victory in this central Florida battleground absent major scandals or national midterm waves. No significant developments have emerged in the past 30 days to shift dynamics, with focus now on primary outcomes and general election on November 3.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-18 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Thị trường mở: Jan 28, 2026, 10:48 AM ET
Khối lượng
$13,569Ngày kết thúc
Nov 3, 2026Thị trường mở
Jan 28, 2026, 10:48 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-18 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Rep. Scott Franklin (R) dominates trader consensus at 82.5% implied probability to win Florida's 18th Congressional District, reflecting the seat's Solid Republican rating from the Cook Political Report and its R+13 partisan voting index. Franklin faces no GOP primary challengers ahead of the August 18 primaries and boasts $819,492 cash on hand as of late March—dwarfing Democratic primary contenders Curtis Gibson and Tiffanie Luong, who report zero funds. His consistent double-digit victories, including 65% in 2024, underscore limited Democratic path to victory in this central Florida battleground absent major scandals or national midterm waves. No significant developments have emerged in the past 30 days to shift dynamics, with focus now on primary outcomes and general election on November 3.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-18 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Khối lượng
$13,569Ngày kết thúc
Nov 3, 2026Thị trường mở
Jan 28, 2026, 10:48 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Rep. Scott Franklin (R) dominates trader consensus at 82.5% implied probability to win Florida's 18th Congressional District, reflecting the seat's Solid Republican rating from the Cook Political Report and its R+13 partisan voting index. Franklin faces no GOP primary challengers ahead of the August 18 primaries and boasts $819,492 cash on hand as of late March—dwarfing Democratic primary contenders Curtis Gibson and Tiffanie Luong, who report zero funds. His consistent double-digit victories, including 65% in 2024, underscore limited Democratic path to victory in this central Florida battleground absent major scandals or national midterm waves. No significant developments have emerged in the past 30 days to shift dynamics, with focus now on primary outcomes and general election on November 3.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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