Anthropic’s Claude Fable 5.1 currently leads public HLE leaderboards at 65%, narrowly ahead of Opus 5 and Mythos 5 variants, reflecting rapid gains in multi-step reasoning on the 2,500-question expert benchmark spanning math, sciences, and humanities. Meta’s Muse Spark 1.1 sits at 62% while OpenAI’s GPT-5.4 Pro trails near 59%, illustrating tight competition among frontier labs. Scores have climbed from the mid-40s earlier in 2026 as models incorporate stronger chain-of-thought, adaptive inference, and tool use. With three months remaining, additional releases or scaling improvements could lift the top mark toward or beyond 70%, though benchmark saturation and verification differences across text-only versus agentic evaluations create resolution uncertainty for traders tracking official Scale or Artificial Analysis results.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật$71,625 KL.
Dec 31, 2026
60%+
52%
65%+
29%
70%+
15%
75%+
11%
80%+
7%
90%+
5%
$71,625 KL.
60%+
$40,843 KL.
52%
65%+
$16,633 KL.
29%
70%+
$6,392 KL.
15%
75%+
$3,602 KL.
11%
80%+
$1,710 KL.
7%
90%+
$2,445 KL.
5%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if any model achieves at least the specified accuracy on Humanity’s Last Exam by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For resolution, “accuracy” refers solely to the value labeled “HLE Accuracy” or a clear equivalent metric if the data’s presentation or terminology is restructured, regardless of the model’s Calibration Error or any other displayed metric.
The resolution source will be the official Humanity’s Last Exam leaderboard at https://agi.safe.ai/. If the resolution source becomes unavailable during the listed timeframe, this market will remain open to allow the relevant data to become available again. If the source remains unavailable after the end of the listed timeframe or is otherwise confirmed to be permanently unavailable, official Humanity’s Last Exam results published elsewhere may be used. If no official alternative source is available, this market will resolve to "No".Anthropic’s Claude Fable 5.1 currently leads public HLE leaderboards at 65%, narrowly ahead of Opus 5 and Mythos 5 variants, reflecting rapid gains in multi-step reasoning on the 2,500-question expert benchmark spanning math, sciences, and humanities. Meta’s Muse Spark 1.1 sits at 62% while OpenAI’s GPT-5.4 Pro trails near 59%, illustrating tight competition among frontier labs. Scores have climbed from the mid-40s earlier in 2026 as models incorporate stronger chain-of-thought, adaptive inference, and tool use. With three months remaining, additional releases or scaling improvements could lift the top mark toward or beyond 70%, though benchmark saturation and verification differences across text-only versus agentic evaluations create resolution uncertainty for traders tracking official Scale or Artificial Analysis results.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if any model achieves at least the specified accuracy on Humanity’s Last Exam by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For resolution, “accuracy” refers solely to the value labeled “HLE Accuracy” or a clear equivalent metric if the data’s presentation or terminology is restructured, regardless of the model’s Calibration Error or any other displayed metric.
The resolution source will be the official Humanity’s Last Exam leaderboard at https://agi.safe.ai/. If the resolution source becomes unavailable during the listed timeframe, this market will remain open to allow the relevant data to become available again. If the source remains unavailable after the end of the listed timeframe or is otherwise confirmed to be permanently unavailable, official Humanity’s Last Exam results published elsewhere may be used. If no official alternative source is available, this market will resolve to "No".
For resolution, “accuracy” refers solely to the value labeled “HLE Accuracy” or a clear equivalent metric if the data’s presentation or terminology is restructured, regardless of the model’s Calibration Error or any other displayed metric.
The resolution source will be the official Humanity’s Last Exam leaderboard at https://agi.safe.ai/. If the resolution source becomes unavailable during the listed timeframe, this market will remain open to allow the relevant data to become available again. If the source remains unavailable after the end of the listed timeframe or is otherwise confirmed to be permanently unavailable, official Humanity’s Last Exam results published elsewhere may be used. If no official alternative source is available, this market will resolve to "No".
Thị trường mở: Jul 23, 2026, 6:41 PM ET
Khối lượng
$71,625Ngày kết thúc
Jan 1, 2027Thị trường mở
Jul 23, 2026, 6:41 PM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://agi.safe.ai/Người giải quyết
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if any model achieves at least the specified accuracy on Humanity’s Last Exam by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For resolution, “accuracy” refers solely to the value labeled “HLE Accuracy” or a clear equivalent metric if the data’s presentation or terminology is restructured, regardless of the model’s Calibration Error or any other displayed metric.
The resolution source will be the official Humanity’s Last Exam leaderboard at https://agi.safe.ai/. If the resolution source becomes unavailable during the listed timeframe, this market will remain open to allow the relevant data to become available again. If the source remains unavailable after the end of the listed timeframe or is otherwise confirmed to be permanently unavailable, official Humanity’s Last Exam results published elsewhere may be used. If no official alternative source is available, this market will resolve to "No".Anthropic’s Claude Fable 5.1 currently leads public HLE leaderboards at 65%, narrowly ahead of Opus 5 and Mythos 5 variants, reflecting rapid gains in multi-step reasoning on the 2,500-question expert benchmark spanning math, sciences, and humanities. Meta’s Muse Spark 1.1 sits at 62% while OpenAI’s GPT-5.4 Pro trails near 59%, illustrating tight competition among frontier labs. Scores have climbed from the mid-40s earlier in 2026 as models incorporate stronger chain-of-thought, adaptive inference, and tool use. With three months remaining, additional releases or scaling improvements could lift the top mark toward or beyond 70%, though benchmark saturation and verification differences across text-only versus agentic evaluations create resolution uncertainty for traders tracking official Scale or Artificial Analysis results.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if any model achieves at least the specified accuracy on Humanity’s Last Exam by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For resolution, “accuracy” refers solely to the value labeled “HLE Accuracy” or a clear equivalent metric if the data’s presentation or terminology is restructured, regardless of the model’s Calibration Error or any other displayed metric.
The resolution source will be the official Humanity’s Last Exam leaderboard at https://agi.safe.ai/. If the resolution source becomes unavailable during the listed timeframe, this market will remain open to allow the relevant data to become available again. If the source remains unavailable after the end of the listed timeframe or is otherwise confirmed to be permanently unavailable, official Humanity’s Last Exam results published elsewhere may be used. If no official alternative source is available, this market will resolve to "No".
For resolution, “accuracy” refers solely to the value labeled “HLE Accuracy” or a clear equivalent metric if the data’s presentation or terminology is restructured, regardless of the model’s Calibration Error or any other displayed metric.
The resolution source will be the official Humanity’s Last Exam leaderboard at https://agi.safe.ai/. If the resolution source becomes unavailable during the listed timeframe, this market will remain open to allow the relevant data to become available again. If the source remains unavailable after the end of the listed timeframe or is otherwise confirmed to be permanently unavailable, official Humanity’s Last Exam results published elsewhere may be used. If no official alternative source is available, this market will resolve to "No".
Khối lượng
$71,625Ngày kết thúc
Jan 1, 2027Thị trường mở
Jul 23, 2026, 6:41 PM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://agi.safe.ai/Người giải quyết
0x65070BE91...Anthropic’s Claude Fable 5.1 currently leads public HLE leaderboards at 65%, narrowly ahead of Opus 5 and Mythos 5 variants, reflecting rapid gains in multi-step reasoning on the 2,500-question expert benchmark spanning math, sciences, and humanities. Meta’s Muse Spark 1.1 sits at 62% while OpenAI’s GPT-5.4 Pro trails near 59%, illustrating tight competition among frontier labs. Scores have climbed from the mid-40s earlier in 2026 as models incorporate stronger chain-of-thought, adaptive inference, and tool use. With three months remaining, additional releases or scaling improvements could lift the top mark toward or beyond 70%, though benchmark saturation and verification differences across text-only versus agentic evaluations create resolution uncertainty for traders tracking official Scale or Artificial Analysis results.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtLiên quan
Will the highest score achieved by an OpenAI model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 55% or higher?
84%
Will the highest score achieved by a Meta model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 55% or higher?
35%
Will the highest score achieved by an Anthropic Claude model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 55% or higher?
90%
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