**Anthropic’s Claude Fable 5.1 currently leads Humanity’s Last Exam leaderboards at 59–65%** (text-only vs. tool-assisted runs), ahead of Claude Opus 5 and Mythos 5 variants and Meta’s Muse Spark series near 62%. The 2,500-question expert benchmark, designed to resist saturation, has seen frontier scores climb rapidly through 2026 via improved reasoning chains, extended context, and agentic tool use. OpenAI GPT-6 Astra and Google Gemini previews trail slightly on most independent evaluations. Traders are watching for further 2026 releases, potential HLE-Rolling updates, and whether any lab can push past the current 65% ceiling before year-end resolution.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật$72,726 KL.
Dec 31, 2026
60%+
44%
65%+
29%
70%+
14%
75%+
13%
80%+
7%
90%+
5%
$72,726 KL.
60%+
$41,757 KL.
44%
65%+
$16,633 KL.
29%
70%+
$6,485 KL.
14%
75%+
$3,674 KL.
13%
80%+
$1,710 KL.
7%
90%+
$2,465 KL.
5%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if any model achieves at least the specified accuracy on Humanity’s Last Exam by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For resolution, “accuracy” refers solely to the value labeled “HLE Accuracy” or a clear equivalent metric if the data’s presentation or terminology is restructured, regardless of the model’s Calibration Error or any other displayed metric.
The resolution source will be the official Humanity’s Last Exam leaderboard at https://agi.safe.ai/. If the resolution source becomes unavailable during the listed timeframe, this market will remain open to allow the relevant data to become available again. If the source remains unavailable after the end of the listed timeframe or is otherwise confirmed to be permanently unavailable, official Humanity’s Last Exam results published elsewhere may be used. If no official alternative source is available, this market will resolve to "No".**Anthropic’s Claude Fable 5.1 currently leads Humanity’s Last Exam leaderboards at 59–65%** (text-only vs. tool-assisted runs), ahead of Claude Opus 5 and Mythos 5 variants and Meta’s Muse Spark series near 62%. The 2,500-question expert benchmark, designed to resist saturation, has seen frontier scores climb rapidly through 2026 via improved reasoning chains, extended context, and agentic tool use. OpenAI GPT-6 Astra and Google Gemini previews trail slightly on most independent evaluations. Traders are watching for further 2026 releases, potential HLE-Rolling updates, and whether any lab can push past the current 65% ceiling before year-end resolution.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if any model achieves at least the specified accuracy on Humanity’s Last Exam by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For resolution, “accuracy” refers solely to the value labeled “HLE Accuracy” or a clear equivalent metric if the data’s presentation or terminology is restructured, regardless of the model’s Calibration Error or any other displayed metric.
The resolution source will be the official Humanity’s Last Exam leaderboard at https://agi.safe.ai/. If the resolution source becomes unavailable during the listed timeframe, this market will remain open to allow the relevant data to become available again. If the source remains unavailable after the end of the listed timeframe or is otherwise confirmed to be permanently unavailable, official Humanity’s Last Exam results published elsewhere may be used. If no official alternative source is available, this market will resolve to "No".
For resolution, “accuracy” refers solely to the value labeled “HLE Accuracy” or a clear equivalent metric if the data’s presentation or terminology is restructured, regardless of the model’s Calibration Error or any other displayed metric.
The resolution source will be the official Humanity’s Last Exam leaderboard at https://agi.safe.ai/. If the resolution source becomes unavailable during the listed timeframe, this market will remain open to allow the relevant data to become available again. If the source remains unavailable after the end of the listed timeframe or is otherwise confirmed to be permanently unavailable, official Humanity’s Last Exam results published elsewhere may be used. If no official alternative source is available, this market will resolve to "No".
Thị trường mở: Jul 23, 2026, 6:41 PM ET
Khối lượng
$72,726Ngày kết thúc
Jan 1, 2027Thị trường mở
Jul 23, 2026, 6:41 PM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://agi.safe.ai/Người giải quyết
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if any model achieves at least the specified accuracy on Humanity’s Last Exam by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For resolution, “accuracy” refers solely to the value labeled “HLE Accuracy” or a clear equivalent metric if the data’s presentation or terminology is restructured, regardless of the model’s Calibration Error or any other displayed metric.
The resolution source will be the official Humanity’s Last Exam leaderboard at https://agi.safe.ai/. If the resolution source becomes unavailable during the listed timeframe, this market will remain open to allow the relevant data to become available again. If the source remains unavailable after the end of the listed timeframe or is otherwise confirmed to be permanently unavailable, official Humanity’s Last Exam results published elsewhere may be used. If no official alternative source is available, this market will resolve to "No".**Anthropic’s Claude Fable 5.1 currently leads Humanity’s Last Exam leaderboards at 59–65%** (text-only vs. tool-assisted runs), ahead of Claude Opus 5 and Mythos 5 variants and Meta’s Muse Spark series near 62%. The 2,500-question expert benchmark, designed to resist saturation, has seen frontier scores climb rapidly through 2026 via improved reasoning chains, extended context, and agentic tool use. OpenAI GPT-6 Astra and Google Gemini previews trail slightly on most independent evaluations. Traders are watching for further 2026 releases, potential HLE-Rolling updates, and whether any lab can push past the current 65% ceiling before year-end resolution.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if any model achieves at least the specified accuracy on Humanity’s Last Exam by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For resolution, “accuracy” refers solely to the value labeled “HLE Accuracy” or a clear equivalent metric if the data’s presentation or terminology is restructured, regardless of the model’s Calibration Error or any other displayed metric.
The resolution source will be the official Humanity’s Last Exam leaderboard at https://agi.safe.ai/. If the resolution source becomes unavailable during the listed timeframe, this market will remain open to allow the relevant data to become available again. If the source remains unavailable after the end of the listed timeframe or is otherwise confirmed to be permanently unavailable, official Humanity’s Last Exam results published elsewhere may be used. If no official alternative source is available, this market will resolve to "No".
For resolution, “accuracy” refers solely to the value labeled “HLE Accuracy” or a clear equivalent metric if the data’s presentation or terminology is restructured, regardless of the model’s Calibration Error or any other displayed metric.
The resolution source will be the official Humanity’s Last Exam leaderboard at https://agi.safe.ai/. If the resolution source becomes unavailable during the listed timeframe, this market will remain open to allow the relevant data to become available again. If the source remains unavailable after the end of the listed timeframe or is otherwise confirmed to be permanently unavailable, official Humanity’s Last Exam results published elsewhere may be used. If no official alternative source is available, this market will resolve to "No".
Khối lượng
$72,726Ngày kết thúc
Jan 1, 2027Thị trường mở
Jul 23, 2026, 6:41 PM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://agi.safe.ai/Người giải quyết
0x65070BE91...**Anthropic’s Claude Fable 5.1 currently leads Humanity’s Last Exam leaderboards at 59–65%** (text-only vs. tool-assisted runs), ahead of Claude Opus 5 and Mythos 5 variants and Meta’s Muse Spark series near 62%. The 2,500-question expert benchmark, designed to resist saturation, has seen frontier scores climb rapidly through 2026 via improved reasoning chains, extended context, and agentic tool use. OpenAI GPT-6 Astra and Google Gemini previews trail slightly on most independent evaluations. Traders are watching for further 2026 releases, potential HLE-Rolling updates, and whether any lab can push past the current 65% ceiling before year-end resolution.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtLiên quan
Will the highest score achieved by an OpenAI model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 55% or higher?
77%
Will the highest score achieved by a Meta model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 55% or higher?
33%
Will the highest score achieved by an Anthropic Claude model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 55% or higher?
90%
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