Persistent high-pressure ridging across the southern Plains has sustained above-normal temperatures in Central Texas, with National Weather Service guidance projecting a daily high near 100–103°F for Austin on August 19 under mostly sunny skies and light southerly flow. Model consensus favors limited cloud cover and minimal precipitation, allowing strong daytime insolation and surface heating, while climatological August averages near 96–100°F provide context for the elevated readings. Slight differences in dewpoint advection or afternoon convective development could tip the outcome between the closely matched 100–101°F and 102–103°F bins, which together capture over 60% of market-implied probability. Updated short-range model runs and official National Weather Service briefings tomorrow morning represent the next key data points for resolution.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtHighest temperature in Austin on August 19?
Highest temperature in Austin on August 19?
100-101°F 40%
102-103°F 38%
98-99°F 15%
96-97°F 9%
MỚI
MỚI
Aug 19, 2026
93°F or below
1%
94-95°F
1%
96-97°F
9%
98-99°F
15%
100-101°F
40%
102-103°F
38%
104-105°F
9%
106-107°F
5%
108-109°F
4%
110-111°F
4%
112°F or higher
1%
100-101°F 40%
102-103°F 38%
98-99°F 15%
96-97°F 9%
MỚI
MỚI
Aug 19, 2026
93°F or below
$5 KL.
1%
94-95°F
$5 KL.
1%
96-97°F
$1 KL.
9%
98-99°F
$3 KL.
15%
100-101°F
$7 KL.
40%
102-103°F
$17 KL.
38%
104-105°F
$42 KL.
9%
106-107°F
$62 KL.
5%
108-109°F
$32 KL.
4%
110-111°F
$5 KL.
4%
112°F or higher
$5 KL.
1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 19 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Persistent high-pressure ridging across the southern Plains has sustained above-normal temperatures in Central Texas, with National Weather Service guidance projecting a daily high near 100–103°F for Austin on August 19 under mostly sunny skies and light southerly flow. Model consensus favors limited cloud cover and minimal precipitation, allowing strong daytime insolation and surface heating, while climatological August averages near 96–100°F provide context for the elevated readings. Slight differences in dewpoint advection or afternoon convective development could tip the outcome between the closely matched 100–101°F and 102–103°F bins, which together capture over 60% of market-implied probability. Updated short-range model runs and official National Weather Service briefings tomorrow morning represent the next key data points for resolution.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 19 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 19 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Thị trường mở: Aug 17, 2026, 9:56 PM ET
Khối lượng
$184Ngày kết thúc
Aug 19, 2026Thị trường mở
Aug 17, 2026, 9:56 PM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUSResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 19 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Persistent high-pressure ridging across the southern Plains has sustained above-normal temperatures in Central Texas, with National Weather Service guidance projecting a daily high near 100–103°F for Austin on August 19 under mostly sunny skies and light southerly flow. Model consensus favors limited cloud cover and minimal precipitation, allowing strong daytime insolation and surface heating, while climatological August averages near 96–100°F provide context for the elevated readings. Slight differences in dewpoint advection or afternoon convective development could tip the outcome between the closely matched 100–101°F and 102–103°F bins, which together capture over 60% of market-implied probability. Updated short-range model runs and official National Weather Service briefings tomorrow morning represent the next key data points for resolution.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 19 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 19 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Khối lượng
$184Ngày kết thúc
Aug 19, 2026Thị trường mở
Aug 17, 2026, 9:56 PM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUSResolver
0x69c47De9D...Persistent high-pressure ridging across the southern Plains has sustained above-normal temperatures in Central Texas, with National Weather Service guidance projecting a daily high near 100–103°F for Austin on August 19 under mostly sunny skies and light southerly flow. Model consensus favors limited cloud cover and minimal precipitation, allowing strong daytime insolation and surface heating, while climatological August averages near 96–100°F provide context for the elevated readings. Slight differences in dewpoint advection or afternoon convective development could tip the outcome between the closely matched 100–101°F and 102–103°F bins, which together capture over 60% of market-implied probability. Updated short-range model runs and official National Weather Service briefings tomorrow morning represent the next key data points for resolution.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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