**Current forecasts from multiple meteorological sources, including AccuWeather, timeanddate.com, and weather.com, indicate a daily maximum near 25–26°C (77–79°F) for Mexico City on August 19, 2026, aligning closely with the market’s leading outcomes at 25°C (31.5%), 26°C (33.0%), and 27°C (22.5%).** Mexico City’s high elevation of approximately 2,240 meters in a subtropical highland climate moderates temperatures, while the ongoing rainy season drives afternoon cloud cover and scattered thunderstorms that reduce solar heating and cap peaks. Model consensus shows typical August conditions with highs rarely exceeding 26–27°C under these patterns; slight differences among 25–27°C outcomes hinge on the precise timing and intensity of convective clouds or moisture advection, which official observations (such as from the Mexico City airport station) will resolve. No anomalous warming signals appear in recent data, supporting the tight clustering around the historical August average high of roughly 24–26°C.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtHighest temperature in Mexico City on August 19?
26°C 33%
25°C 32%
27°C 23%
24°C 7%
22°C or below
2%
23°C
5%
24°C
7%
25°C
32%
26°C
33%
27°C
23%
28°C
6%
29°C
3%
30°C
1%
31°C
<1%
32°C or higher
<1%
26°C 33%
25°C 32%
27°C 23%
24°C 7%
22°C or below
2%
23°C
5%
24°C
7%
25°C
32%
26°C
33%
27°C
23%
28°C
6%
29°C
3%
30°C
1%
31°C
<1%
32°C or higher
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Thị trường mở: Aug 17, 2026, 9:57 PM ET
Nguồn giải quyết
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMXResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Nguồn giải quyết
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMXResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Current forecasts from multiple meteorological sources, including AccuWeather, timeanddate.com, and weather.com, indicate a daily maximum near 25–26°C (77–79°F) for Mexico City on August 19, 2026, aligning closely with the market’s leading outcomes at 25°C (31.5%), 26°C (33.0%), and 27°C (22.5%).** Mexico City’s high elevation of approximately 2,240 meters in a subtropical highland climate moderates temperatures, while the ongoing rainy season drives afternoon cloud cover and scattered thunderstorms that reduce solar heating and cap peaks. Model consensus shows typical August conditions with highs rarely exceeding 26–27°C under these patterns; slight differences among 25–27°C outcomes hinge on the precise timing and intensity of convective clouds or moisture advection, which official observations (such as from the Mexico City airport station) will resolve. No anomalous warming signals appear in recent data, supporting the tight clustering around the historical August average high of roughly 24–26°C.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật

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