Current forecast consensus from major models points to a maximum of 11–13°C in Buenos Aires on August 23, driven by persistent southerly flow advecting cooler maritime air from the South Atlantic. This setup suppresses typical August warming, keeping highs below the seasonal mean of 15–17°C while limiting diurnal range through increased cloud cover and moderate winds. Latest model runs show tight clustering around these values with minimal spread, though minor northward shifts in the frontal boundary could allow a brief uptick toward 14°C. Traders have priced 13°C as the modal outcome at 46% implied probability, reflecting the narrow window before any last-minute adjustments from updated guidance.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtHighest temperature in Buenos Aires on August 23?
Highest temperature in Buenos Aires on August 23?
13°C 46%
12°C 29%
14°C 18%
11°C 8%
MỚI
MỚI
Aug 23, 2026
8°C or below
<1%
9°C
1%
10°C
2%
11°C
8%
12°C
29%
13°C
46%
14°C
18%
15°C
4%
16°C
2%
17°C
1%
18°C or higher
<1%
13°C 46%
12°C 29%
14°C 18%
11°C 8%
MỚI
MỚI
Aug 23, 2026
8°C or below
$89 KL.
<1%
9°C
$214 KL.
1%
10°C
$55 KL.
2%
11°C
$42 KL.
8%
12°C
$442 KL.
29%
13°C
$129 KL.
46%
14°C
$75 KL.
18%
15°C
$40 KL.
4%
16°C
$98 KL.
2%
17°C
$20 KL.
1%
18°C or higher
$105 KL.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saez
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecast consensus from major models points to a maximum of 11–13°C in Buenos Aires on August 23, driven by persistent southerly flow advecting cooler maritime air from the South Atlantic. This setup suppresses typical August warming, keeping highs below the seasonal mean of 15–17°C while limiting diurnal range through increased cloud cover and moderate winds. Latest model runs show tight clustering around these values with minimal spread, though minor northward shifts in the frontal boundary could allow a brief uptick toward 14°C. Traders have priced 13°C as the modal outcome at 46% implied probability, reflecting the narrow window before any last-minute adjustments from updated guidance.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saez
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saez
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Thị trường mở: Aug 21, 2026, 11:55 PM ET
Khối lượng
$1,240Ngày kết thúc
Aug 23, 2026Thị trường mở
Aug 21, 2026, 11:55 PM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saezResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saez
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecast consensus from major models points to a maximum of 11–13°C in Buenos Aires on August 23, driven by persistent southerly flow advecting cooler maritime air from the South Atlantic. This setup suppresses typical August warming, keeping highs below the seasonal mean of 15–17°C while limiting diurnal range through increased cloud cover and moderate winds. Latest model runs show tight clustering around these values with minimal spread, though minor northward shifts in the frontal boundary could allow a brief uptick toward 14°C. Traders have priced 13°C as the modal outcome at 46% implied probability, reflecting the narrow window before any last-minute adjustments from updated guidance.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saez
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saez
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Khối lượng
$1,240Ngày kết thúc
Aug 23, 2026Thị trường mở
Aug 21, 2026, 11:55 PM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saezResolver
0x69c47De9D...Current forecast consensus from major models points to a maximum of 11–13°C in Buenos Aires on August 23, driven by persistent southerly flow advecting cooler maritime air from the South Atlantic. This setup suppresses typical August warming, keeping highs below the seasonal mean of 15–17°C while limiting diurnal range through increased cloud cover and moderate winds. Latest model runs show tight clustering around these values with minimal spread, though minor northward shifts in the frontal boundary could allow a brief uptick toward 14°C. Traders have priced 13°C as the modal outcome at 46% implied probability, reflecting the narrow window before any last-minute adjustments from updated guidance.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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