The market assigns near-certainty to a 26°C high on August 4, 2026, reflecting confirmed observational data from primary meteorological stations in Mexico City. This aligns with typical early-August conditions at the city's high elevation, where daytime maxima commonly reach the mid-20s Celsius amid the rainy season's cloud cover and convective activity that limits extreme heating. Official networks such as those operated by Mexico's Servicio Meteorológico Nacional provide the resolution benchmark, with model consensus and station reports converging on this value rather than higher or lower thresholds. A late-day measurement revision, use of an alternate reference station, or uncharacteristic clear-sky intensification could theoretically alter the final figure, though such shifts are uncommon once preliminary data are validated.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtHighest temperature in Mexico City on August 4?
26°C 100.0%
20°C or below <1%
21°C <1%
22°C <1%
$29,218 KL.
$29,218 KL.
20°C or below
No
21°C
No
22°C
No
23°C
No
24°C
No
25°C
No
26°C
Yes
27°C
No
28°C
No
29°C
No
30°C or higher
No
26°C 100.0%
20°C or below <1%
21°C <1%
22°C <1%
$29,218 KL.
$29,218 KL.
20°C or below
No
21°C
No
22°C
No
23°C
No
24°C
No
25°C
No
26°C
Yes
27°C
No
28°C
No
29°C
No
30°C or higher
No
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Thị trường mở: Aug 2, 2026, 9:05 PM ET
Nguồn giải quyết
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMXResolver
0x69c47De9D...Kết quả đề xuất: No
Không tranh chấp
Kết quả cuối cùng: No
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Nguồn giải quyết
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMXResolver
0x69c47De9D...Kết quả đề xuất: No
Không tranh chấp
Kết quả cuối cùng: No
The market assigns near-certainty to a 26°C high on August 4, 2026, reflecting confirmed observational data from primary meteorological stations in Mexico City. This aligns with typical early-August conditions at the city's high elevation, where daytime maxima commonly reach the mid-20s Celsius amid the rainy season's cloud cover and convective activity that limits extreme heating. Official networks such as those operated by Mexico's Servicio Meteorológico Nacional provide the resolution benchmark, with model consensus and station reports converging on this value rather than higher or lower thresholds. A late-day measurement revision, use of an alternate reference station, or uncharacteristic clear-sky intensification could theoretically alter the final figure, though such shifts are uncommon once preliminary data are validated.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật

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