Recent weather model consensus for Mexico City on September 23 favors daytime highs near or slightly above the seasonal 23–24°C average, driven by moderate cloud cover, light winds, and limited afternoon rainfall that permits adequate solar heating at the city's high elevation. Official forecasts from sources including ECMWF and GFS runs show peaks around 23–25°C with 30–60% rain chances, supporting the market's strong weighting toward 26°C or higher at 59.5% implied probability while leaving room for 25°C outcomes. Historical September patterns indicate such conditions rarely produce extremes, but any reduction in moisture or clearer skies in the final model updates could shift probabilities toward warmer thresholds before resolution.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtHighest temperature in Mexico City on September 23?
Highest temperature in Mexico City on September 23?
26°C or higher 59%
25°C 34%
24°C 7%
23°C 3%
MỚI
MỚI
Sep 23, 2026
16°C or below
2%
17°C
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
2%
22°C
2%
23°C
3%
24°C
7%
25°C
34%
26°C or higher
59%
26°C or higher 59%
25°C 34%
24°C 7%
23°C 3%
MỚI
MỚI
Sep 23, 2026
16°C or below
$10 KL.
2%
17°C
$15 KL.
<1%
18°C
$20 KL.
<1%
19°C
$15 KL.
<1%
20°C
$25 KL.
<1%
21°C
$10 KL.
2%
22°C
$262 KL.
2%
23°C
$164 KL.
3%
24°C
$182 KL.
7%
25°C
$257 KL.
34%
26°C or higher
$285 KL.
59%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent weather model consensus for Mexico City on September 23 favors daytime highs near or slightly above the seasonal 23–24°C average, driven by moderate cloud cover, light winds, and limited afternoon rainfall that permits adequate solar heating at the city's high elevation. Official forecasts from sources including ECMWF and GFS runs show peaks around 23–25°C with 30–60% rain chances, supporting the market's strong weighting toward 26°C or higher at 59.5% implied probability while leaving room for 25°C outcomes. Historical September patterns indicate such conditions rarely produce extremes, but any reduction in moisture or clearer skies in the final model updates could shift probabilities toward warmer thresholds before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Thị trường mở: Sep 21, 2026, 8:56 AM ET
Khối lượng
$1,244Ngày kết thúc
Sep 23, 2026Thị trường mở
Sep 21, 2026, 8:56 AM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmxNgười giải quyết
0x69c47de9d...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent weather model consensus for Mexico City on September 23 favors daytime highs near or slightly above the seasonal 23–24°C average, driven by moderate cloud cover, light winds, and limited afternoon rainfall that permits adequate solar heating at the city's high elevation. Official forecasts from sources including ECMWF and GFS runs show peaks around 23–25°C with 30–60% rain chances, supporting the market's strong weighting toward 26°C or higher at 59.5% implied probability while leaving room for 25°C outcomes. Historical September patterns indicate such conditions rarely produce extremes, but any reduction in moisture or clearer skies in the final model updates could shift probabilities toward warmer thresholds before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Khối lượng
$1,244Ngày kết thúc
Sep 23, 2026Thị trường mở
Sep 21, 2026, 8:56 AM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmxNgười giải quyết
0x69c47de9d...Recent weather model consensus for Mexico City on September 23 favors daytime highs near or slightly above the seasonal 23–24°C average, driven by moderate cloud cover, light winds, and limited afternoon rainfall that permits adequate solar heating at the city's high elevation. Official forecasts from sources including ECMWF and GFS runs show peaks around 23–25°C with 30–60% rain chances, supporting the market's strong weighting toward 26°C or higher at 59.5% implied probability while leaving room for 25°C outcomes. Historical September patterns indicate such conditions rarely produce extremes, but any reduction in moisture or clearer skies in the final model updates could shift probabilities toward warmer thresholds before resolution.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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