Clear skies and light southerly winds under high pressure are driving Madrid's expected daily maximum near 32–33°C on September 21, with models showing strong daytime heating from September insolation and low humidity around 20–30% in the afternoon. Official observations, typically from stations like Retiro Park, will determine resolution, and slight differences in peak timing or boundary-layer mixing explain the near-even split between the two leading outcomes in trader consensus. Dry conditions and minimal cloud cover reduce uncertainty compared to typical early-autumn variability, while any minor easterly shift or delayed heating could tip the exact peak. Updated short-range model runs and AEMET guidance remain the key near-term catalysts.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtHighest temperature in Madrid on September 21?
Highest temperature in Madrid on September 21?
33°C 47%
32°C 45%
31°C 4.5%
34°C 4%
MỚI
$15,940 KL.
MỚI
$15,940 KL.
Sep 21, 2026
26°C or below
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
5%
32°C
45%
33°C
47%
34°C
4%
35°C
1%
36°C or higher
1%
33°C 47%
32°C 45%
31°C 4.5%
34°C 4%
MỚI
$15,940 KL.
MỚI
$15,940 KL.
Sep 21, 2026
26°C or below
$709 KL.
<1%
27°C
$300 KL.
<1%
28°C
$501 KL.
<1%
29°C
$135 KL.
1%
30°C
$296 KL.
<1%
31°C
$1,235 KL.
5%
32°C
$5,581 KL.
45%
33°C
$4,585 KL.
47%
34°C
$1,972 KL.
4%
35°C
$472 KL.
1%
36°C or higher
$155 KL.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Clear skies and light southerly winds under high pressure are driving Madrid's expected daily maximum near 32–33°C on September 21, with models showing strong daytime heating from September insolation and low humidity around 20–30% in the afternoon. Official observations, typically from stations like Retiro Park, will determine resolution, and slight differences in peak timing or boundary-layer mixing explain the near-even split between the two leading outcomes in trader consensus. Dry conditions and minimal cloud cover reduce uncertainty compared to typical early-autumn variability, while any minor easterly shift or delayed heating could tip the exact peak. Updated short-range model runs and AEMET guidance remain the key near-term catalysts.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Thị trường mở: Sep 19, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
Khối lượng
$15,940Ngày kết thúc
Sep 21, 2026Thị trường mở
Sep 19, 2026, 12:57 AM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemdNgười giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Clear skies and light southerly winds under high pressure are driving Madrid's expected daily maximum near 32–33°C on September 21, with models showing strong daytime heating from September insolation and low humidity around 20–30% in the afternoon. Official observations, typically from stations like Retiro Park, will determine resolution, and slight differences in peak timing or boundary-layer mixing explain the near-even split between the two leading outcomes in trader consensus. Dry conditions and minimal cloud cover reduce uncertainty compared to typical early-autumn variability, while any minor easterly shift or delayed heating could tip the exact peak. Updated short-range model runs and AEMET guidance remain the key near-term catalysts.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Khối lượng
$15,940Ngày kết thúc
Sep 21, 2026Thị trường mở
Sep 19, 2026, 12:57 AM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemdNgười giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...Clear skies and light southerly winds under high pressure are driving Madrid's expected daily maximum near 32–33°C on September 21, with models showing strong daytime heating from September insolation and low humidity around 20–30% in the afternoon. Official observations, typically from stations like Retiro Park, will determine resolution, and slight differences in peak timing or boundary-layer mixing explain the near-even split between the two leading outcomes in trader consensus. Dry conditions and minimal cloud cover reduce uncertainty compared to typical early-autumn variability, while any minor easterly shift or delayed heating could tip the exact peak. Updated short-range model runs and AEMET guidance remain the key near-term catalysts.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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